NH-GOV 2018: Molly Kelly (D) running
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  NH-GOV 2018: Molly Kelly (D) running
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Author Topic: NH-GOV 2018: Molly Kelly (D) running  (Read 25814 times)
Nyvin
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« Reply #100 on: May 11, 2017, 12:10:09 PM »
« edited: May 11, 2017, 12:12:59 PM by AKCreative »

Van Ostern is such a flop of a candidate, the guy puts out no energy whatsoever.   I went to a rally of his and I got quite bored of listening to him talk in like 3 minutes.

Please please please not Ostern again.  

Marchand isn't a serious candidate either,  I think he has good intentions and is intelligent, but he has no connections and isn't a good fit for the state.   Sometimes I think he talks about drugs...a little too much.
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KingSweden
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« Reply #101 on: May 11, 2017, 12:37:51 PM »


For once I agree with you. Tongue

Yeah, this (most likely junk) poll isn't encouraging, but it's still way too early to call Sununu even slightly favored. A lot can happen in two years, and Democrats need to portray him as a radical, corporatist, anti-women governor who is way to the right of his state. I suspect Stefany Shaheen would take him down fairly easily.

If Stefany Shaheen proposed marriage to you, would you accept?
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Kingpoleon
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« Reply #102 on: May 18, 2017, 09:55:48 PM »

Van Ostern is such a flop of a candidate, the guy puts out no energy whatsoever.   I went to a rally of his and I got quite bored of listening to him talk in like 3 minutes.

Please please please not Ostern again.  

Marchand isn't a serious candidate either,  I think he has good intentions and is intelligent, but he has no connections and isn't a good fit for the state.   Sometimes I think he talks about drugs...a little too much.
What about Chris Pappas?
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Shameless Lefty Hack
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« Reply #103 on: May 18, 2017, 09:58:40 PM »

Van Ostern is such a flop of a candidate, the guy puts out no energy whatsoever.   I went to a rally of his and I got quite bored of listening to him talk in like 3 minutes.

Please please please not Ostern again.  

Marchand isn't a serious candidate either,  I think he has good intentions and is intelligent, but he has no connections and isn't a good fit for the state.   Sometimes I think he talks about drugs...a little too much.
What about Chris Pappas?

Pretty much Van Ostern but shorter.
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Kamala
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« Reply #104 on: June 29, 2017, 02:24:00 PM »

Sununu approval rating in this new poll:

33% Approve
28% Disapprove

39% "Undecided"

The downward trend continues, excellent news! He was at like +40 as recently as one month ago. If you assume that most undecideds are Democratic-leaning (remember, Trump's approval in the same poll is 25/60) and this trend continues, we could see a Blanching here.
]

Run, Stefani, run!
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libertpaulian
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« Reply #105 on: June 29, 2017, 02:27:17 PM »

Sununu approval rating in this new poll:

33% Approve
28% Disapprove

39% "Undecided"

The downward trend continues, excellent news! He was at like +40 as recently as one month ago. If you assume that most undecideds are Democratic-leaning (remember, Trump's approval in the same poll is 25/60) and this trend continues, we could see a Blanching here.
Please seek help.
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Heisenberg
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« Reply #106 on: June 29, 2017, 02:27:38 PM »

Sununu approval rating in this new poll:

33% Approve
28% Disapprove

39% "Undecided"

The downward trend continues, excellent news! He was at like +40 as recently as one month ago. If you assume that most undecideds are Democratic-leaning (remember, Trump's approval in the same poll is 25/60) and this trend continues, we could see a Blanching here.
As usual, in New Hampshire it seems the undecideds are usually pretty Democratic leaning (as in all those polls that had Ayotte up by 5 or more), I'm surprised he was +40 that recently even after all his political defeats, such as right-to-work, which was never even popular there to begin with.
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Ye We Can
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« Reply #107 on: June 30, 2017, 06:36:34 AM »

Sununu's favored until Dems find someone other than Marchand or Hodes, like...idk Joe Foster maybe?
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MAINEiac4434
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« Reply #108 on: June 30, 2017, 12:49:42 PM »

Van Ostern would probably win in a Trump midterm. He nearly did in 2016.
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Virginiá
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« Reply #109 on: June 30, 2017, 01:52:51 PM »

NH is an interesting case for 2018 imo. Last year, basically every statewide race and the 2 Congressional districts were won only by small margins, which fits with a relatively small amount of ticket splitting. Trump has real potential to drag down Republicans in NH. The state has been trending Democratic since the early 90s, so that means Republicans have 3 things going against them in the Governor's race: (1) an incumbent whose performance was only marginally better than the top of the ticket, (2) a state which is already predisposed to leaning towards Democrats, and (3) an incumbent GOP president who is very unpopular - maybe not 20-ish% approval, but even 30s or low 40s is pretty bad.

However, we really need to wait and see what develops by next year. It's just too early to know if Sununu can develop his own brand and market himself in a way that detaches from Trump's all-encompassing presidential stench. I just think he has his work cut out for him.

One interesting thing about New Hampshire I think is being glossed over is the potential Democrats have for taking back the legislature. The state House is already swingy, but the state Senate has some real opportunities, and that is even factoring in a GOPmander. It's not hard to see Democrats sweeping the legislature next year if Trump is as unpopular as he is now.
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Kamala
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« Reply #110 on: June 30, 2017, 01:54:01 PM »

Maybe whoever the gubernatorial candidate is can ride on Kusty's coattails Tongue.
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Virginiá
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« Reply #111 on: June 30, 2017, 02:49:24 PM »

And this reminds me of why I never want to directly work in politics:

http://www.unionleader.com/politics/sununu-says-he-will-turn-over-nh-voter-data-to-federal-fraud-commission-20170630

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Such blatant lies and hypocrisy.

This entire commission is nothing but a sham for Trump and Republicans to justify more voter suppression. No matter how many times they say their measures are to increase confidence in the elections, nothing will ever be enough. They will keep coming back with more suppression laws, crying about integrity and confidence when it is Republicans themselves who are ruining confidence in our elections. They are the ones screaming about fraud day-in, day-out, knowing full well they can't even prove it because it just isn't happening like they say it is. That is why they are shifting to the "confidence" and "integrity" narrative. They know they have no proof.

My one hope is that next time Democrats get a unified state govt in New Hampshire, they repeal whatever Republicans did during their time in power and put a constitutional amendment on the ballot enshrining the right to vote, thus making it legally difficult to pass laws restricting the right to vote in NH. I really don't understand why Democrats are not doing this in more states. Follow Illinois' example.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #112 on: October 10, 2017, 05:26:09 PM »

*bump*

Sununu confirms he’s running for re-election in 2018

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He also said that he will never run for Senate

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Let's hope he doesn't change his mind.

Also: According to Morning Consult, Trump is more unpopular in New Hampshire (-19%) than he is in Pennsylvania (-6%), Nevada (-8%), Maine (-10%), New Mexico (-10%), Virginia (-11%), Wisconsin (-12%), Colorado (-13%), Michigan (-15%), Minnesota (-17%), and even Oregon (-18%).
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RINO Tom
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« Reply #113 on: October 13, 2017, 04:25:01 PM »


It seems really messed up that part of your distaste for NH is its perceived liberalism, but you wouldn't want it to start electing more conservative politicians...  It's almost as weird/annoying as Ice Spear WANTING Democrats to lose races in WV.
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Strudelcutie4427
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« Reply #114 on: October 13, 2017, 06:35:38 PM »


It seems really messed up that part of your distaste for NH is its perceived liberalism, but you wouldn't want it to start electing more conservative politicians...  It's almost as weird/annoying as Ice Spear WANTING Democrats to lose races in WV.

Yeah I seriously dont get it. Okay its fine if you dont like a state, but you should atleast not wanna concede it entirely to the other party. Like I hate California, but I'll still always support Cali Republicans. If you dont like NH and lean right, root for the NH Republicans
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #115 on: October 21, 2017, 05:30:31 PM »

New UNH/WMUR poll:

Shaheen (D) approval: 56/26 (+30) (+45 among females, +14 among males)
Hassan (D) approval: 50/29 (+21) (+35 among females, +6 among males)
Shea-Porter (D) approval: 38/27 (+11) (+22 among females, +2 among males)
Kuster (D) approval: 37/23 (+14) (+22 among females, +4 among males)

Link.

Smiley
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mvd10
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« Reply #116 on: October 21, 2017, 05:37:51 PM »

New UNH/WMUR poll:

Shaheen (D) approval: 56/26 (+30) (+45 among females, +14 among males)
Hassan (D) approval: 50/29 (+21) (+35 among females, +6 among males)
Shea-Porter (D) approval: 38/27 (+11) (+22 among females, +2 among males)
Kuster (D) approval: 37/23 (+14) (+22 among females, +4 among males)

Link.

Smiley

Where did you find to money to commission this poll?
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IceSpear
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« Reply #117 on: October 21, 2017, 06:03:05 PM »

Shaheen at North Korea levels among females!
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Kingpoleon
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« Reply #118 on: October 21, 2017, 09:00:29 PM »

Hopefully one of the good Democrats, like Colin Van Ostern or Chris Pappas, doesn’t run this time.
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The world will shine with light in our nightmare
Just Passion Through
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« Reply #119 on: October 21, 2017, 11:38:05 PM »

New UNH/WMUR poll:

Shaheen (D) approval: 56/26 (+30) (+45 among females, +14 among males)
Hassan (D) approval: 50/29 (+21) (+35 among females, +6 among males)
Shea-Porter (D) approval: 38/27 (+11) (+22 among females, +2 among males)
Kuster (D) approval: 37/23 (+14) (+22 among females, +4 among males)

Link.

Smiley

Such a great state.

I notice they didn't poll Chris "not a woman" Sununu for his approval rating.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #120 on: October 22, 2017, 03:22:39 AM »

New UNH/WMUR poll:

Shaheen (D) approval: 56/26 (+30) (+45 among females, +14 among males)
Hassan (D) approval: 50/29 (+21) (+35 among females, +6 among males)
Shea-Porter (D) approval: 38/27 (+11) (+22 among females, +2 among males)
Kuster (D) approval: 37/23 (+14) (+22 among females, +4 among males)

Link.

Smiley

Such a great state.

I notice they didn't poll Chris "not a woman" Sununu for his approval rating.

Why bother polling a lame duck? They should be more concerned with Gov.-elect Stefany Shaheen's approval rating.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #121 on: October 22, 2017, 03:35:07 AM »


It seems really messed up that part of your distaste for NH is its perceived liberalism, but you wouldn't want it to start electing more conservative politicians...  It's almost as weird/annoying as Ice Spear WANTING Democrats to lose races in WV.

Haha, I just noticed you mentioned me a couple days before I came back! What a coincidence. I'm glad to know you still remembered me a year later. Wink

Anyway, I don't WANT Dems to lose races in WV...I just know they definitely will no matter what, so it's not worth trying. If Manchin had even a 1% chance of winning re-election I'd support him, but he doesn't. That's why I support Paula Jean Swearengin. If she wins, everyone will accept the race is safe R and won't throw money into a sinkhole trying to save the doomed Manchin, and she can troll WV voters the entire general election. Smiley

These days, the only "Democrats" that can get elected in WV are ones that switch to their true party a few months after their inauguration. LOL.
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Free Bird
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« Reply #122 on: October 22, 2017, 09:18:30 PM »

He's probably thinking Ayotte tries a comeback
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MAINEiac4434
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« Reply #123 on: October 22, 2017, 10:14:20 PM »

He's probably thinking Ayotte tries a comeback
She will lose.
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #124 on: October 23, 2017, 11:24:13 AM »


Climbing Maggie shall climb and nothing else.
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