NH-GOV 2018: Molly Kelly (D) running

[libertpaulian]

Sununu is toast even if he governs as a moderate or liberal. Having an R next to your name is unacceptable in NH.

Cool story bro.

[libertpaulian]

Sununu approval rating in this new poll:

33% Approve
28% Disapprove

39% "Undecided"

The downward trend continues, excellent news! He was at like +40 as recently as one month ago. If you assume that most undecideds are Democratic-leaning (remember, Trump's approval in the same poll is 25/60) and this trend continues, we could see a Blanching here.

Please seek help.

[libertpaulian]

yaaay! yay! yay!!

This may become the most likely Democratic pickup in 2018 because IL dems could mess up their gubernatorial contest!

lol, Sununu is popular in a purple state.  Rauner is unpopular in a blue state.

[libertpaulian]

UNH is a notoriously terrible pollster, and Sununu being stuck at 41%/42% in a purple state despite his name recognition/approval numbers is terrible news for him. Most “undecideds” will break for the Democrat in the end.

FTFY

[libertpaulian]

I don't have a horse in this race, but I hope Sununu wins just because I know MT Treasurer's reaction will be priceless.

[libertpaulian]

Even if Sununu wins reelection this year (which I’ll concede is at least a somewhat conceivable scenario, although I still doubt it happens), there is no way he’s winning a federal race in a state like this, especially against a popular incumbent Democratic Senator. Sorry, but governors' races ≠ Senate races, ESPECIALLY in New England. Shaheen and Hassan are both safe.

If Trump somehow pulls off re-election in 2020 or Pence magically gets elected of his own accord in 2020, I'll agree with you.  Otherwise, no.