NH-GOV 2018: Molly Kelly (D) running

[Heisenberg]

^ Well, they can get back a congressional seat. NH-1 is a tilt R district, carried by Trump and Ayotte, Guinta just had too many scandals.

I don't think the 2nd district is out of reach either, although probably not happening in 2018.

Yeah, but for that to happen either wave or better candiddate, then rather bland Lawrence, is required...

Lawrence came shockingly close. Flanagan would have probably made it even closer, but still lost.

[Heisenberg]

Those Sununu numbers look off. Probably the people who didn't choose either will break heavily against him. Of course, the four Angries are popular, no surprise.

[Heisenberg]

Sununu approval rating in this new poll:

33% Approve
28% Disapprove

39% "Undecided"

The downward trend continues, excellent news! He was at like +40 as recently as one month ago. If you assume that most undecideds are Democratic-leaning (remember, Trump's approval in the same poll is 25/60) and this trend continues, we could see a Blanching here.

As usual, in New Hampshire it seems the undecideds are usually pretty Democratic leaning (as in all those polls that had Ayotte up by 5 or more), I'm surprised he was +40 that recently even after all his political defeats, such as right-to-work, which was never even popular there to begin with.