Under what conditions would the preceding poster win the preceding state?

[heatcharger]

General: For a relatively typical liberal Dem like yourself, you'll need an extremely unpopular Republican incumbent with a failed war record, along with a strong Libertarian candidate in the mold of Ron Paul.

Georgia

[heatcharger]

Following an unpopular Republican president, who privatized huge swaths of public land, leaves with a bad economy, and your opponent is an authoritarian Republican who promises to end welfare of all kinds, including the Alaska Permanent Fund.

Utah

[heatcharger]

Pick John Bel Edwards as your running mate and inspire unprecedented African-American turnout following a highly unpopular Republican president.

NE-02