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| | |-+  Canadian by-elections, 2017 (next event: Calgary-Lougheed, AB prov.: Dec 14)
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Author Topic: Canadian by-elections, 2017 (next event: Calgary-Lougheed, AB prov.: Dec 14)  (Read 34619 times)
Jeppe
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« Reply #650 on: December 20, 2017, 10:23:53 am »

Another possible reason that the Sask Party might call an early election is because the Sask Party membership has tripled from 10,000 to almost 30,000. For a province as small as Saskatchewan, that’s a HUGE figure. That’s basically the amount of people living in Moose Jaw, one of the largest cities in the province.
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Governor
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #651 on: December 22, 2017, 03:37:16 pm »

Outremont: potential candidates include a Mulcair staffer for the NDP, 2015 candidate Rachel Bendayan for the Grits. Justin will presumably want a high-profile person in this seat (as usual, I pity the locals in that riding) Mulcair's resignation might not take effect till September.
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7.35, 3.65

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mileslunn
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« Reply #652 on: December 22, 2017, 05:06:13 pm »

Outremont: potential candidates include a Mulcair staffer for the NDP, 2015 candidate Rachel Bendayan for the Grits. Justin will presumably want a high-profile person in this seat (as usual, I pity the locals in that riding) Mulcair's resignation might not take effect till September.

Might be a three peat for the Liberals as this was traditionally a Liberal stronghold so I would put money on them retaking it.  That being said it is an urban multicultural riding so unlike the regions of Quebec where the NDP is probably dead in the water, they still might be competitive here.  BQ and Tories are not likely to be a factor and both will just be happy to get their deposits back.

Chicoutimi-Le Fjord should probably stay Liberal although not a Liberal stronghold by any means but none of the other three parties are in a strong enough position at the moment to snatch it although each of the other three could win it under the right conditions, but those don't exist at the moment.

Another by-election was hasn't been called but will have to be soon is Kelowna West in BC, although this should largely be a snoozer as it is a very safe BC Liberal riding.
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adma
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« Reply #653 on: December 23, 2017, 12:06:25 am »

Might be a three peat for the Liberals as this was traditionally a Liberal stronghold so I would put money on them retaking it.  That being said it is an urban multicultural riding so unlike the regions of Quebec where the NDP is probably dead in the water, they still might be competitive here.  BQ and Tories are not likely to be a factor and both will just be happy to get their deposits back.

Outremont may be a "traditional Liberal stronghold"; however, much of it *also* happens to be a present-day Quebec Solidaire/Projet Montreal stronghold, which is more than you can say of those "other Quebec regions".  That said, the Liberals will probably try hard to confine that element to its Mile End-ish bulwark while sweeping multiculti Cote-des-Neiges...
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136or142
Adam T
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« Reply #654 on: December 23, 2017, 02:21:04 am »

Outremont: potential candidates include a Mulcair staffer for the NDP, 2015 candidate Rachel Bendayan for the Grits. Justin will presumably want a high-profile person in this seat (as usual, I pity the locals in that riding) Mulcair's resignation might not take effect till September.

Might be a three peat for the Liberals as this was traditionally a Liberal stronghold so I would put money on them retaking it.  That being said it is an urban multicultural riding so unlike the regions of Quebec where the NDP is probably dead in the water, they still might be competitive here.  BQ and Tories are not likely to be a factor and both will just be happy to get their deposits back.

Chicoutimi-Le Fjord should probably stay Liberal although not a Liberal stronghold by any means but none of the other three parties are in a strong enough position at the moment to snatch it although each of the other three could win it under the right conditions, but those don't exist at the moment.

Another by-election was hasn't been called but will have to be soon is Kelowna West in BC, although this should largely be a snoozer as it is a very safe BC Liberal riding.

In Chicoutimi-Le Fjord, is there any chance the NDP could take it back if former M.P Dany Morin runs for them again?  He did pretty well in narrowly losing in 2015.
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On solutions: "No perfect solution is, not merely in practice, but in principle, possible in human affairs, and any determined attempt to produce it is likely to lead to suffering, disillusionment and failure." - Isaiah Berlin

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MaxQue
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« Reply #655 on: December 23, 2017, 02:33:11 am »

Outremont: potential candidates include a Mulcair staffer for the NDP, 2015 candidate Rachel Bendayan for the Grits. Justin will presumably want a high-profile person in this seat (as usual, I pity the locals in that riding) Mulcair's resignation might not take effect till September.

Might be a three peat for the Liberals as this was traditionally a Liberal stronghold so I would put money on them retaking it.  That being said it is an urban multicultural riding so unlike the regions of Quebec where the NDP is probably dead in the water, they still might be competitive here.  BQ and Tories are not likely to be a factor and both will just be happy to get their deposits back.

Chicoutimi-Le Fjord should probably stay Liberal although not a Liberal stronghold by any means but none of the other three parties are in a strong enough position at the moment to snatch it although each of the other three could win it under the right conditions, but those don't exist at the moment.

Another by-election was hasn't been called but will have to be soon is Kelowna West in BC, although this should largely be a snoozer as it is a very safe BC Liberal riding.

In Chicoutimi-Le Fjord, is there any chance the NDP could take it back if former M.P Dany Morin runs for them again?  He did pretty well in narrowly losing in 2015.

He's thinking about it.
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136or142
Adam T
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« Reply #656 on: December 23, 2017, 02:55:44 am »

Outremont: potential candidates include a Mulcair staffer for the NDP, 2015 candidate Rachel Bendayan for the Grits. Justin will presumably want a high-profile person in this seat (as usual, I pity the locals in that riding) Mulcair's resignation might not take effect till September.

Might be a three peat for the Liberals as this was traditionally a Liberal stronghold so I would put money on them retaking it.  That being said it is an urban multicultural riding so unlike the regions of Quebec where the NDP is probably dead in the water, they still might be competitive here.  BQ and Tories are not likely to be a factor and both will just be happy to get their deposits back.

Chicoutimi-Le Fjord should probably stay Liberal although not a Liberal stronghold by any means but none of the other three parties are in a strong enough position at the moment to snatch it although each of the other three could win it under the right conditions, but those don't exist at the moment.

Another by-election was hasn't been called but will have to be soon is Kelowna West in BC, although this should largely be a snoozer as it is a very safe BC Liberal riding.

In Chicoutimi-Le Fjord, is there any chance the NDP could take it back if former M.P Dany Morin runs for them again?  He did pretty well in narrowly losing in 2015.

He's thinking about it.

Thanks!
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On solutions: "No perfect solution is, not merely in practice, but in principle, possible in human affairs, and any determined attempt to produce it is likely to lead to suffering, disillusionment and failure." - Isaiah Berlin

Calling for civility is the last refuge to which a scoundrel clings.  - me
adma
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« Reply #657 on: December 24, 2017, 12:21:49 am »

If Valerie Plante is still in honeymoon mode, her support would be a big boost to whomever runs for the NDP in Outremont (though I could just as well see her being strategically neutral)
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