VA-GOV 2017: Utter Panic and Doom (General election: Nov 7th)

[Frodo]

official VA GOP twitter basically calling Ralph Northam a race traitor  loool

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So the Virginia GOP has moved beyond barely subtle racial dog whistle politics, and now openly aligned itself with neo-Confederates and white supremacists, shedding any pretense of being a responsible governing party.

That's good to know.    

[Virginiá]

https://www.washingtonpost.com/local/virginia-politics/democratic-megadonor-tom-steyer-to-spend-2-million-in-virginia-governors-race/2017/08/21/0f2486a2-81fc-11e7-902a-2a9f2d808496_story.html

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[henster]

https://www.washingtonpost.com/local/virginia-politics/democratic-megadonor-tom-steyer-to-spend-2-million-in-virginia-governors-race/2017/08/21/0f2486a2-81fc-11e7-902a-2a9f2d808496_story.html

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I remember NextGen spending tens of million on some GOTV operation in 2016/2014... I wish Steyer would just give directly to the DGA.

[Dr. Arch]

official VA GOP twitter basically calling Ralph Northam a race traitor  loool

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So the Virginia GOP has moved beyond barely subtle racial dog whistle politics, and now openly aligned itself with neo-Confederates and white supremacists, shedding any pretense of being a responsible governing party.

That's good to know.    

GL with that. The VA GOP is a lock for a steamroll out of relevance, it seems.

[Gass3268]

Gillespie decided to attack the Washington Post in an official statement for some reason today:



I don't know if attacking the newspaper with the largest circulation in Virginia, with big influence in NOVA is the best way to go.

[The Other Castro]

Oof, sweating like a dog that one.

[KingSweden]

Gillespie and the VA GOP seem to be trying their hardest to piss away a pretty winnable race

[MAINEiac4434]

I don't think there'll be much drama in this race on election night...

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

I don't think there'll be much drama in this race on election night...

I think it will be fairly close with Northam winning later into the night.

[BlueDogDemocrat]

I don't think there'll be much drama in this race on election night...

I think it will be fairly close with Northam winning later into the night.

I think it will be around Hillary's margin in 2016 give or take 1% or 2% on election night.

[Mr. Smith]

I don't think there'll be much drama in this race on election night...

I think it will be fairly close with Northam winning later into the night.

I think it will be around Hillary's margin in 2016 give or take 1% or 2% on election night.

Sounds about right, probably flips over to D at 86 or 88% [which is also where it flipped for Obama] instead of 92%.

[Gass3268]

Gillespie came out in favor of Tom Cotton's plan to restrict LEGAL immigration as part of a DACA solution.



Does he realize Virginia isn't Arkansas?

[UncleSam]

I mean the Post is left-leaning, but this shows how strong Northam is honestly. Gillespie clearly has seen internal polling suggesting he is facing enthusiasm / approval / support gaps and has to make a move somewhere, so he is throwing out red meat for the base and hoping that left-leavers in NOVA don't notice / care.

Smart money says they will though and he loses enough moderates to take a fatal hit in Fairfax. Likely / lean D tbh

[💥💥 brandon bro (he/him/his)]

Gillespie came out in favor of Tom Cotton's plan to restrict LEGAL immigration as part of a DACA solution.



Does he realize Virginia isn't Arkansas?

Why does he even mention crime in a post about DACA? DACA enrollees pass a background check and have no criminal records...

[Holmes]

I mean the Post is left-leaning, but this shows how strong Northam is honestly. Gillespie clearly has seen internal polling suggesting he is facing enthusiasm / approval / support gaps and has to make a move somewhere, so he is throwing out red meat for the base and hoping that left-leavers in NOVA don't notice / care.

Smart money says they will though and he loses enough moderates to take a fatal hit in Fairfax. Likely / lean D tbh

You raise a good point. If Gillespie is confident in his support from the base, he's not showing it wih the ads or policy positions he's releasing.

[Gass3268]

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[Suburbia]

Gillespie could still win parts of NOVA. He could win some of the ancestral Republicans that are still there and could win some Independents as well.

This race is Tilt D/Tossup. Gillespie is not Cuccinelli.

[Deblano]

Gillespie could still win parts of NOVA. He could win some of the ancestral Republicans that are still there and could win some Independents as well.

This race is Tilt D/Tossup. Gillespie is not Cuccinelli.

I think Vogel being the LG pick could help Ed in NoVA.

However, the president is very unpopular, and this will hurt Gillespie regardless.

Gillespie has been in a "pick your poison" moment since he nearly got beaten by Stewart. He can either go through the barest motions of keeping Stewart/Trump voters in line, and risk alienating moderates in NoVA, or he can go relatively NeverTrump (as he was somewhat essentially until he became more neutral) and risk alienating Stewart voters and those lose by a comfortable margin. As someone who will likely vote for Gillespie, he has a very difficult choice at his hands that could easily doom his campaign either way.

I'd say Gillespie is trying to muddy the waters for now and hope for the best in November.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

I'm feeling better now ever since Gillespie has started to move right. I think this could sink him in nova, and cause minimal change in rural areas. Back to Lean D.

[heatcharger]

Gillespie could still win parts of NOVA. He could win some of the ancestral Republicans that are still there and could win some Independents as well.

Haha.

[Unconditional Surrender Truman]

Gillespie decided to attack the Washington Post in an official statement for some reason today:

This is an excellent strategy that historically has always worked for Republicans.

[Panhandle Progressive]

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Great point.

[fluffypanther19]

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Great point.

yeah he done. his path was being a moderate swampy establishment type republican that could get enough votes out of nova combined with the more conservative/trumplican voters. its going to get real hard for a republican to win in Virginia unless they moderate for those nova suburbs

[🐒Gods of Prosperity🔱🐲💸]

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Great point.

Except that it isn't accurate ?

[MAINEiac4434]

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Great point.

Except that it isn't accurate ?

Lmao at the notion that electoral politics have anything to do with what is or is not accurate.