VA-GOV 2017: Utter Panic and Doom (General election: Nov 7th)

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

NBC First Read: In Virginia, Democrats enjoy nearly every advantage:




Only advantage they give Gillespie is that Democratic turnout is typically low in non-Presidential years, but counter that by saying that Democrats were much more enthusiastic during the June primary.

Source

Pretty accurate analysis. Which is why a loss would be an unspinnable disaster for the Dems.

Honestly, Democrats seem to be great at snatching defeat from the jaws of victory as of late.

[Frodo]

And -at the moment- no one is under FBI investigation. 

[GeorgiaModerate]

Video of blocks-long line for the Northam-Obama rally in Richmond: https://twitter.com/VaughnHillyard/status/921114486706266113

[Devout Centrist]

Also preparing my "Don't Blame Me, I Supported Perriello" signature.

No one cares.

You cared enough to reply. Sorry you keep supporting boring losers over the smart choice.

ONE GODDAMN POLL PEOPLE! ONE F**KING POLL.

Jesus Christ.

[Holmes]

Also preparing my "Don't Blame Me, I Supported Perriello" signature.

Will you still use it after Northam wins? It can be like soooo ironic

[Lord Admirale]

Also preparing my "Don't Blame Me, I Supported Perriello" signature.

Guadagno is coming somewhat close to Phil Murphy, guess she’s gonna win!

[IceSpear]

Also preparing my "Don't Blame Me, I Supported Perriello" signature.

Guadagno is coming somewhat close to Phil Murphy, guess she’s gonna win!

It would be pretty hilarious if that happened honestly. The Democratic Party would basically need to disband at that point, lol.

[Mr. Smith]

Also preparing my "Don't Blame Me, I Supported Perriello" signature.

No one cares.

You cared enough to reply. Sorry you keep supporting boring losers over the smart choice.

ONE GODDAMN POLL PEOPLE! ONE F**KING POLL.

Jesus Christ.

Polls predicting victory for Thom Tillis? None!

Polls predicting victory for Ron Johnson? None!

Polls predicting single digits for Mark Warner or even a loss? None!

[heatcharger]

Polls predicting victory for Thom Tillis? None!

Polls predicting victory for Ron Johnson? None!

Polls predicting single digits for Mark Warner or even a loss? None!

Tillis was always within striking distance and had a bunch of tied polls. He was quite clearly carried in by the wave.

Warner's lead was indeed inflated and as expected, undecideds in VA broke toward Gillespie, just at an astounding magnitude. Also there hardly any polls towards the end.

I'll admit there's very little justification I can come up with Feingold's incredibly low-energy performance causing him to lose to a ghoul like Johnson and underperform HRC by 3%.

[HST1948]

Also preparing my "Don't Blame Me, I Supported Perriello" signature.

No one cares.

You cared enough to reply. Sorry you keep supporting boring losers over the smart choice.

ONE GODDAMN POLL PEOPLE! ONE F**KING POLL.

Jesus Christ.

Polls predicting victory for Thom Tillis? None!

Polls predicting victory for Ron Johnson? None!

Polls predicting single digits for Mark Warner or even a loss? None!

Between the end of September and the election Tillis lead in 6 polls and tied in 6.

[Mr. Smith]

Also preparing my "Don't Blame Me, I Supported Perriello" signature.

No one cares.

You cared enough to reply. Sorry you keep supporting boring losers over the smart choice.

ONE GODDAMN POLL PEOPLE! ONE F**KING POLL.

Jesus Christ.

Polls predicting victory for Thom Tillis? None!

Polls predicting victory for Ron Johnson? None!

Polls predicting single digits for Mark Warner or even a loss? None!

Between the end of September and the election Tillis lead in 6 polls and tied in 6.

Really? I only remember polls that had Hagan very narrowly ahead the entire way.

I guess I  "auto-junk polled" lots of those tillis leads back a lot back then.

[HST1948]

Also preparing my "Don't Blame Me, I Supported Perriello" signature.

No one cares.

You cared enough to reply. Sorry you keep supporting boring losers over the smart choice.

ONE GODDAMN POLL PEOPLE! ONE F**KING POLL.

Jesus Christ.

Polls predicting victory for Thom Tillis? None!

Polls predicting victory for Ron Johnson? None!

Polls predicting single digits for Mark Warner or even a loss? None!

Between the end of September and the election Tillis lead in 6 polls and tied in 6.

Really? I only remember polls that had Hagan very narrowly ahead the entire way.

I guess I  "auto-junk polled" lots of those tillis leads back a lot back then.

Yep, he lead in polls from Harper, High Point U, SUSA, Civitas, Gracie, and Vox. He tied in a bunch of others.

And Johnson in WI lead in 3 or 4 polls from Survey Monkey and 1 from Lorras.

If there's anything I've learned from these is that any poll has the potential to be right lol

[cvparty]

kinda want gillespie to win to see the atlas meltdowns lmao

[Frozen Sky Ever Why]

kinda want gillespie to win to see the atlas meltdowns lmao

Modern conservatism in a nutshell.

[IceSpear]

kinda want gillespie to win to see the atlas meltdowns lmao

2016 didn't give you enough schadenfreude?

[UncleSam]

Northam is in a very strong position - expect Gillespie to moderate now that he has secured the base / Bannon / Trump and Stewart is being pressured to endorse him, and expect this strategy to fail. Fairfax and Prince William will bury Gillespie, though I think he will do alright in the Hampton Roads area.

[Cactus Jack]

You cared enough to reply. Sorry you keep supporting boring losers over the smart choice.

You're a fine one to talk about boring losers.

[SoLongAtlas]

Gillespie is now running ads on radio stations like 100.3 Big 100 a classic rock station out of MD that has reach in DC and NoVA all the way down to Fredericksburg and below. I heard it this morning driving to work and it went something like "Northam believes that $17,000 is rich and that's why he's never voted for any tax cut. I'm Ed Gillespie and I believe that tax cuts will grow Virginia's economy and will provide more money for education and give our teachers a needed pay raise."

He is pivoting to the center to hook NoVA voters. I don't think many will switch their votes based off of this alone, but it will stick in the minds of many undecideds, especially if they vote on economics. Gillespie is trying his best to make Ralph Northam look like a tax increase lover and friend of gangs. It's shameful but it might stick.

[TheSaint250]

Gillespie is now running ads on radio stations like 100.3 Big 100 a classic rock station out of MD that has reach in DC and NoVA all the way down to Fredericksburg and below. I heard it this morning driving to work and it went something like "Northam believes that $17,000 is rich and that's why he's never voted for any tax cut. I'm Ed Gillespie and I believe that tax cuts will grow Virginia's economy and will provide more money for education and give our teachers a needed pay raise."

He is pivoting to the center to hook NoVA voters. I don't think many will switch their votes based off of this alone, but it will stick in the minds of many undecideds, especially if they vote on economics. Gillespie is trying his best to make Ralph Northam look like a tax increase lover and friend of gangs. It's shameful but it might stick.

He botched this campaign, it seems, by focusing on Confederate statues and illegal immigration much more than necessary in a Virginia election.

[SoLongAtlas]

Gillespie is now running ads on radio stations like 100.3 Big 100 a classic rock station out of MD that has reach in DC and NoVA all the way down to Fredericksburg and below. I heard it this morning driving to work and it went something like "Northam believes that $17,000 is rich and that's why he's never voted for any tax cut. I'm Ed Gillespie and I believe that tax cuts will grow Virginia's economy and will provide more money for education and give our teachers a needed pay raise."

He is pivoting to the center to hook NoVA voters. I don't think many will switch their votes based off of this alone, but it will stick in the minds of many undecideds, especially if they vote on economics. Gillespie is trying his best to make Ralph Northam look like a tax increase lover and friend of gangs. It's shameful but it might stick.

He botched this campaign, it seems, by focusing on Confederate statues and illegal immigration much more than necessary in a Virginia election.

Found the video ad of the radio one I heard this morning: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=10NdvbPVaE8

Typical consultant maneuver that all of his videos have comments disabled.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Gillespie is now running ads on radio stations like 100.3 Big 100 a classic rock station out of MD that has reach in DC and NoVA all the way down to Fredericksburg and below. I heard it this morning driving to work and it went something like "Northam believes that $17,000 is rich and that's why he's never voted for any tax cut. I'm Ed Gillespie and I believe that tax cuts will grow Virginia's economy and will provide more money for education and give our teachers a needed pay raise."

He is pivoting to the center to hook NoVA voters. I don't think many will switch their votes based off of this alone, but it will stick in the minds of many undecideds, especially if they vote on economics. Gillespie is trying his best to make Ralph Northam look like a tax increase lover and friend of gangs. It's shameful but it might stick.

He botched this campaign, it seems, by focusing on Confederate statues and illegal immigration much more than necessary in a Virginia election.

Found the video ad of the radio one I heard this morning: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=10NdvbPVaE8

Typical consultant maneuver that all of his videos have comments disabled.

Disabling comments is pretty standard protocol for all campaign ads.

[_]

Gillespie is now running ads on radio stations like 100.3 Big 100 a classic rock station out of MD that has reach in DC and NoVA all the way down to Fredericksburg and below. I heard it this morning driving to work and it went something like "Northam believes that $17,000 is rich and that's why he's never voted for any tax cut. I'm Ed Gillespie and I believe that tax cuts will grow Virginia's economy and will provide more money for education and give our teachers a needed pay raise."

He is pivoting to the center to hook NoVA voters. I don't think many will switch their votes based off of this alone, but it will stick in the minds of many undecideds, especially if they vote on economics. Gillespie is trying his best to make Ralph Northam look like a tax increase lover and friend of gangs. It's shameful but it might stick.

He botched this campaign, it seems, by focusing on Confederate statues and illegal immigration much more than necessary in a Virginia election.

Found the video ad of the radio one I heard this morning: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=10NdvbPVaE8

Typical consultant maneuver that all of his videos have comments disabled.

Disabling comments is pretty standard protocol for all campaign ads.

Not for Northam's Campaign

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cDonPK5bJoM
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yPSUw92M-L0
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YGgh9tBeNZo
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MlIE_X3vZag

[MT Treasurer]

Apparently there's low enthusiasm for Gillespie in rural/SWVA.

Obviously Gillespie needs them to turn out in high numbers on election day.

[KingSweden]

Apparently there's low enthusiasm for Gillespie in rural/SWVA.

Obviously Gillespie needs them to turn out in high numbers on election day.

The “wearing a coal miners hat” money quote does more to underline our identity-obsessed politics than anything else I’ve seen in a while

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

A Trump rally wouldn't help Gllespie.