VA-GOV 2017: Utter Panic and Doom (General election: Nov 7th)

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Corey Stewart seems likely to drop out on the GOP Side today.

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Lots of conflicting numbers floating around.

Makes it far more interesting than the GOP Primary.

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Corey no get back in the museum.  The civil war ended 152 years ago.

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COREY GET BACK IN THE MUSEUM YOU'LL MAKE THE RACE SAFE D!

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You must be logged in to read this quote.

*facepalm*

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Yeah, I watched the first 45 minutes of this thing and Gillespie did really well. He's a fairly strong candidate and a decent fit for a state like VA, which also explains why he came pretty close to winning in 2014.

Are you joking??  You were saying in the monmouth poll thread he's still gonna lose kek.

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And here we see the tradeoffs of Gillespie, we can get more centrist independents like Deblano here, but we lose people further to the right like Mr. Reactionary, question is how many of each group are there.  I tend to think there are more of the former, but i'm not a Virginian so i'd defer to the natives on this.

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Hopefully these people who were killed and injured in the tragic events in Charlottesville Virginia did not die and get hurt in vain. Hopefully their legacy will be boosting Northam in the polls, while bringing down Gillespie.

Seriously?  People died and you hope that their deaths boost someone's polling numbers?!

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Liam Donovan (sharp ex-GOP campaign guru, and NeverTrumper) linked to a medium.com post by a Dem operative in VA who thinks Northam is on a trajectory to lose. Has anyone seen evidence of this? Polls seem to show a consistent 4-5 point lead for Dems

Nope, no evidence, Northam is obviously secure, no need to worry, ignore that fool completely.

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>Monmouth

Look the race has been tightening but I doubt Gillespie is leading, I won't throw out this poll but most are showing a narrow Northam lead.  (I am one of the people saying Gillespie will pull it off btw)

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Alright I'm gonna offer my #HotTake.

The race appears to be tightening to an MOE race, but Northam still has a slight edge. Tossup/Tilt D, Northam should win, but Gillespie certainly has a chance

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The non-Fairfax flier, which only exists because some union was mad about his lack of support for natural gas pipelines, is only being distributed in Northern Virginia. This is not a region with a lot of black people, and we’re voting for him based on his last name anyway.

Wait that flier is real?  I thought it was photoshopped?

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I think that poll is wrong and I'm going with the majority of polls that show the race is close, Gillespie is not leading though.

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The real way to settle this: Monmouth plays basketball at Quinnipiac on Dec. 28.

Go Monmouth

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Gillespie is now running ads on radio stations like 100.3 Big 100 a classic rock station out of MD that has reach in DC and NoVA all the way down to Fredericksburg and below. I heard it this morning driving to work and it went something like "Northam believes that $17,000 is rich and that's why he's never voted for any tax cut. I'm Ed Gillespie and I believe that tax cuts will grow Virginia's economy and will provide more money for education and give our teachers a needed pay raise."

He is pivoting to the center to hook NoVA voters. I don't think many will switch their votes based off of this alone, but it will stick in the minds of many undecideds, especially if they vote on economics. Gillespie is trying his best to make Ralph Northam look like a tax increase lover and friend of gangs. It's shameful but it might stick.

He botched this campaign, it seems, by focusing on Confederate statues and illegal immigration much more than necessary in a Virginia election.

Found the video ad of the radio one I heard this morning: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=10NdvbPVaE8

Typical consultant maneuver that all of his videos have comments disabled.

Disabling comments is pretty standard protocol for all campaign ads.

Not for Northam's Campaign

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cDonPK5bJoM
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yPSUw92M-L0
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YGgh9tBeNZo
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MlIE_X3vZag

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I want to ask, why exactly is Fairfax weaker than Northam? 

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Reporter thrown down, arrested by police over Gillespie filming

>Shareblue

Lol.

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I would buy some shares but I’m only 15 and I’m broke since I spent all my money on battlefront 2.

Suddenly everything makes sense.

Did you know that Chris Gregoire actually won the 2004 election by 6% but Rossi actually hired Idahoans to vote illegally in Spokane. This is as true as any story Mr Greedo spins.

10/10

Lel

Did you guys know that Dino Rossi won the 8th under a more democrat map everytime he ran?
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Washington_gubernatorial_election,_2004
Oh look he won the first count and the second count oh wait the crybaby democrats won’t stop oh what do you know they found random ballots in king county which magically showed up.

Seriously you guys are all political hacks and I’m not someone who thinks every election is rigged. But I do think that Washington gubernatorial 2004 and Minnesota senate 2008 and *maybe* North Carolina gubernatorial race in 2016.
But those first two are 100% rigged just like how Illinois was rigged in 1960.

I'll see you, and raise you Florida 2000.

I see you two, and raise you Illinois Governor 2010.

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Look there is really no point in arguing endlessly about this. Greedo is not going to change his mind, and I doubt many of us are either. I don't think he is correct but in the end I can't say for sure what will happen next week.

Let's just wait and see, because this isn't really accomplishing anything.

Agreed but Atlas don't let this distract you from the fact that Greedo never shot first or simultaneously but was shot by Han first like the little punk he was.

#GreedoDidNothingWrong
#Justice4Greedo

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https://twitter.com/geoffreyvs/status/925906866164719621

Another minor controversy in an increasingly bad week for Ralph Northam.

Is it a controversy because he's kind of flip flopping along with explaining himself?

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I still think Northam will win, but holy hell this is amazing to watch.

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FIRE UP THOSE #HOTTAKES, WE'VE GOT 4 DAYS LEFT OF THIS STUFF!

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THE TAKES CAPTAIN, THEY'RE TOO HOT, THEY'RE MELTING THE HULL

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Gillespie+3

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/VA_TPC_Topline_Oct_30-Nov_2.pdf

>The Polling Company

I swear i'm never going to get over that name.

Anyway still Tossup/Tilt D.

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http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2017/virginia/election_2017_virginia_governor

Rasmussen Appears, calling the race tied, 45-45.

Weirdly, 2% saying they'd vote for "Other"