2018 House Predictions

[MT Treasurer]

Democrats are already favored to gain 23 seats (!), so Republicans pretty much need to sweep all the Tossup races and most likely some of the Lean D seats to even stand a chance of holding the House. Definitely an uphill battle.

My ratings:

Safe R:

Any R seat not otherwise listed.

Likely R:

AK-AL (Young)
AL-02 (Roby)
AR-02 (Hill)
CA-04 (McClintock)
CA-22 (Nunes)
CA-42 (Calvert)
CO-03 (Tipton)
FL-06 (DeSantis)
FL-18 (Mast)
MI-01 (Bergman)
MI-06 (Upton)
MI-07 (Walberg)
NV-02 (Amodei)
NY-02 (King)
NY-21 (Stefanik)
NY-23 (Reed)
NY-27 (Collins)
NC-06 (Walker)
OH-10 (Turner)
OH-14 (Joyce)
OH-16 (Renacci)
PA-14 (OPEN) (FLIP)
SC-01 (Sanford)
SC-05 (Norman)
SD-AL (Noem)
VA-01 (Wittman)
WI-06 (Grothman)
TX-02 (Poe)
TX-03 (Johnson)
TX-06 (Barton)
TX-10 (McCaul)
TX-22 (Olson)
TX-24 (Marchant)
TX-31 (Carter)

Lean R:

AZ-06 (Schweikert)
AZ-08 (Lesko)
FL-16 (Buchanan)
FL-15 (Ross)
FL-25 (Diaz-Balart)
CA-50 (Hunter)
GA-06 (Handel)
GA-07 (Woodall)
MO-02 (Wagner)
MT-AL (Gianforte)
NM-02 (Pearce)
NY-01 (Zeldin)
NY-11 (Donovan)
NY-24 (Katko)
NC-02 (Holding)
NC-13 (Budd)
OH-12 (Balderson)
OK-05 (Russell)
PA-10 (Perry)
PA-16 (Kelly)
UT-04 (Love)
VA-05 (Garrett)
WA-03 (Herrera Beutler)
WA-05 (Rodgers)
WI-01 (Ryan)
TX-21 (Smith)

Tossup:

CA-21 (Valadao)
CA-45 (Walters)
FL-26 (Curbelo)
IA-01 (Blum)
IA-03 (Young)
IL-12 (Bost)
IL-13 (R. Davis)
IL-14 (Hultgren)
KS-02 (Jenkins)
KS-03 (Yoder)
KY-06 (Barr)
ME-02 (Poliquin)
MI-08 (Bishop)
MN-01 (Walz)
MN-08 (Nolan)
NE-02 (Bacon)
NJ-03 (McArthur)
NY-19 (Faso)
NC-09 (Pittenger)
OH-01 (Chabot)
PA-01 (Fitzpatrick)
VA-02 (Taylor)
VA-07 (Brat)
WV-03 (Jenkins)
TX-32 (Sessions)

Lean D:

CA-10 (Denham) (FLIP)
CA-25 (Knight) (FLIP)
CA-39 (Royce) (FLIP)
CA-48 (Rohrabacher) (FLIP)
CO-06 (Coffman) (FLIP)
IL-06 (Roskam) (FLIP)
MI-11 (Trott) (FLIP)
MN-02 (Lewis) (FLIP)
MN-03 (Paulsen) (FLIP)
MN-07 (Peterson)
NJ-07 (Lance) (FLIP)
NJ-11 (Frelinghuysen) (FLIP)
NY-22 (Tenney) (FLIP)
WA-08 (Reichert) (FLIP)
TX-07 (Culberson) (FLIP)
TX-23 (Hurd) (FLIP)

Likely D:

AZ-01 (O'Halleran)
AZ-02 (McSally) (FLIP)
CA-07 (Bera)
CA-49 (Issa) (FLIP)
FL-07 (Murphy)
FL-27 (Ros-Lehtinen) (FLIP)
NV-03 (Rosen)
NV-04 (Kihuen)
NJ-02 (LoBiondo) (FLIP)
NJ-05 (Gottheimer)
PA-07 (Dent) (FLIP)
PA-08 (Cartwright)
PA-17 (Rothfus/Lamb) (FLIP)
WI-03 (Kind)

Safe D:

PA-05 (Meehan) (FLIP)
PA-06 (Costello) (FLIP)
VA-10 (Comstock) (FLIP)

Any D seat not otherwise listed.