2018 House Predictions

[Heisenberg]

-To the OP: There are always some upsets, but I would swap CA-21 and WI-08 for sure. Those two are trending in opposite directions, and Mike Gallagher destroyed someone considered the best possible Democrat by far more than expected. Valadao's district is stampeding left, and if the Senate and Governor races don't have Republicans, turnout will not be on his side either. Also, VA-05 will be a tough one for Democrats to wi against any incumbent not named Virgil Goode. Why NC-07? NC-09 and NC-13 are the Democrats' two best shots at picking up a House seat in North Carolina, after that it's not even close.

-I'll put my (very early) predictions later.

[Heisenberg]

My predictions (not going into detail with individual races yet):

Democrats gain 15 or so seats (still short of a majority), from but not limited to the following:
A bunch of CA seats (I think most will fall)
WA-03
WA-08
AZ-02
CO-06
NE-02
TX-07
TX-23
TX-32
MO-02
IL-06
IL-12
IL-14
GA-07
FL-26
FL-27
OH-16
WV-03
VA-02
VA-10
PA-06
PA-07
PA-08
NJ-02
NJ-03
NJ-07
NJ-11
NY-01
NY-19
NY-22

Just because I didn't mention it doesn't mean I think it's safe, I may have forgotten some.

Republicans gain:
MN-01
One or two of: FL-07, NV-03, AZ-01, NJ-05, IA-02, MN-07, MN-08, PA-17