2018 House Predictions

[King Lear]

My current midterm forecast ranges from R+5 to R+8 in the senate and from Even to D+10 in the house. However I do believe democrats should make some progress in Governerships, which will improve redistricting and allow democrats to flip the house in 2022, especially considering this will probably be trumps second midterm which are known to be much worse for incumbent parties then the first one especially for republicans.

[King Lear]

My updated house forecast is D+10 if Democrats are having a bad midterm and getting blown out in the senate because their base didn’t show up while the republicans did. However my forecast is D+26 if Democrats are flipping the house and holding their ground if not flipping the senate because their base did show up while the republicans stayed home.