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|-+  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
| |-+  2016 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: Likely Voter, Attorney General TJ, Virginia)
| | |-+  2016 Presidential Election Results by Metro Area
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Author Topic: 2016 Presidential Election Results by Metro Area  (Read 3059 times)
Anarcho-Tolkienism
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« on: January 09, 2017, 07:14:54 pm »

The following is a list of America's top 100 most populous Metropolitan Statistical Areas (urban core and deeply interconnected surrounding communities). The results are displayed as the percentage of the vote captured by Sec. of State Hillary Clinton (D) against Businessman Donald Trump (R) (independent and third party votes were excluded from the calculations; Utah's election results were heavily skewed by third party candidate Evan McMullin).

Location - 2012 Results | 2016 Results | Trend

United States - 52.0% | 51.1% | N/A
New York - 64.7% | 63.8% | 0.0%
Los Angeles - 63.3% | 69.2% | 6.8%
Chicago - 60.4% | 67.0% | 7.5%
Dallas - 42.4% | 46.2% | 4.7%
Houston - 44.1% | 49.5% | 6.3%
Washington - 68.7% | 72.4% | 4.6%
Philadelphia - 64.6% | 64.2% | 0.5%
Miami - 62.9% | 64.1% | 2.1%
Atlanta - 49.4% | 53.0% | 4.5%
Boston - 61.1% | 65.6% | 5.4%
San Francisco - 77.5% | 82.1% | 5.5%
Phoenix - 43.7% | 47.6% | 4.8%
Riverside - 51.2% | 53.6% | 2.5%
Detroit - 60.1% | 55.5% | -3.7%
Seattle - 64.7% | 68.6% | 4.8%
Minneapolis - 55.9% | 56.8% | 1.8%
San Diego - 52.6% | 59.5% | 7.8%
Tampa - 51.6% | 48.4% | -2.3%
Denver - 56.5% | 57.2% | 1.6%
St. Louis - 54.3% | 49.0% | -4.4%
Baltimore - 58.7% | 58.7% | 0.9%
Charlotte - 47.7% | 47.6% | 0.8%
Portland - 62.0% | 64.2% | 3.1%
Orlando - 53.9% | 56.1% | 3.1%
San Antonio - 45.9% | 49.4% | 4.4%
Pittsburgh - 49.4% | 47.4% | -1.1%
Sacramento - 53.8% | 57.2% | 4.3%
Cincinnati - 41.4% | 40.3% | -0.2%
Las Vegas - 57.4% | 55.7% | -0.8%
Kansas City - 48.6% | 48.9% | 1.2%
Cleveland - 61.7% | 58.1% | -2.7%
Columbus - 53.0% | 52.3% | 0.2%
Austin - 53.7% | 60.4% | 7.6%
Indianapolis - 46.0% | 45.2% | 0.1%
San Jose - 71.2% | 77.4% | 7.1%
Nashville - 40.8% | 41.4% | 1.5%
Virginia Beach - 55.4% | 54.0% | -0.5%
Providence - 62.6% | 57.1% | -4.6%
Milwaukee - 52.2% | 53.8% | 2.5%
Jacksonville - 40.4% | 40.7% | 1.2%
Oklahoma City - 36.5% | 37.1% | 1.5%
Memphis - 56.3% | 55.5% | 0.1%
Louisville - 48.7% | 46.5% | -1.3%
Raleigh - 52.4% | 55.8% | 4.3%
Richmond - 52.5% | 54.4% | 2.8%
New Orleans - 50.1% | 50.7% | 1.5%
Hartford - 61.4% | 60.1% | -0.4%
Salt Lake City - 39.3% | 55.5% | 17.1%
Birmingham - 39.7% | 38.7% | -0.1%
Buffalo - 56.6% | 50.2% | -5.5%
Rochester - 55.2% | 51.6% | -2.7%
Grand Rapids - 45.2% | 44.9% | 0.6%
Tucson - 53.0% | 57.1% | 5.0%
Honolulu - 69.8% | 66.0% | -2.9%
Tulsa - 33.9% | 32.7% | -0.3%
Fresno - 48.5% | 52.0% | 4.4%
Bridgeport - 55.5% | 60.6% | 6.0%
Worcester - 54.7% | 55.6% | 1.8%
Omaha - 44.5% | 44.1% | 0.5%
Albuquerque - 56.8% | 57.1% | 1.2%
Bakersfield - 40.3% | 42.1% | 2.7%
Albany - 58.5% | 52.7% | -4.9%
Greenville - 33.9% | 32.6% | -0.4%
Knoxville - 32.4% | 32.7% | 1.2%
New Haven - 62.5% | 56.2% | -5.4%
Oxnard - 52.9% | 58.9% | 6.9%
McAllen - 71.1% | 71.0% | 0.8%
El Paso - 66.4% | 72.6% | 7.1%
Allentown - 52.6% | 47.1% | -4.6%
Baton Rouge - 43.7% | 43.3% | 0.5%
Columbia - 50.4% | 50.6% | 1.1%
Dayton - 46.3% | 43.7% | -1.7%
North Port - 45.2% | 42.8% | -1.5%
Greensboro - 50.3% | 50.3% | 0.9%
Charleston - 46.9% | 48.2% | 2.2%
Little Rock - 44.2% | 44.8% | 1.5%
Stockton - 55.6% | 56.8% | 2.1%
Akron - 56.4% | 52.1% | -3.4%
Cape Coral - 41.7% | 39.5% | -1.3%
Colorado Springs - 38.8% | 37.0% | -0.9%
Boise - 39.8% | 38.4% | -0.5%
Syracuse - 58.6% | 52.0% | -5.7%
Winston-Salem - 42.8% | 41.4% | -0.5%
Lakeland - 46.6% | 42.7% | -3.0%
Toledo - 60.3% | 54.0% | -5.4%
Wichita - 38.1% | 36.9% | -0.3%
Ogden - 20.2% | 32.3% | 13.0%
Madison - 69.9% | 71.4% | 2.4%
Springfield - 66.7% | 63.1% | -2.7%
Deltona - 48.8% | 42.6% | -5.3%
Des Moines - 54.3% | 52.4% | -1.0%
Augusta - 46.0% | 44.6% | -0.5%
Provo - 10.0% | 21.3% | 12.2%
Jackson - 50.7% | 49.4% | -0.4%
Palm Bay - 43.6% | 39.7% | -3.0%
Harrisburg - 45.9% | 44.4% | -0.6%
Scranton - 56.8% | 44.3% | -11.6%
Durham - 69.8% | 73.5% | 4.6%
Youngstown - 60.2% | 47.0% | -12.3%
Spokane - 45.8% | 43.8% | -1.1%

Top 10 Metros Trend R
1. Youngstown
2. Scranton
3. Syracuse
4. Buffalo
5. New Haven
5. Toledo
7. Deltona
8. Albany
9. Allentown
9. Providence

Top 10 Metros Trend D
* Salt Lake City
* Ogden
* Provo
1. San Diego
2. Austin
3. Chicago
4. San Jose
4. El Paso
6. Oxnard
7. Los Angeles
8. Houston
9. Bridgeport
10. San Francisco

Top 10 R Metros

1. Provo
2. Ogden
3. Greenville
4. Tulsa
4. Knoxville
6. Wichita
7. Colorado Springs
8. Oklahoma City
9. Boise
10. Birmingham

Top 10 D Metros
1. San Francisco
2. San Jose
3. Durham
4. El Paso
5. Washington
6. Madison
7. McAllen
8. Los Angeles
9. Seattle
10. Chicago
« Last Edit: January 09, 2017, 09:28:10 pm by Jacobin American »Logged

ExtremeConservative
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« Reply #1 on: January 09, 2017, 07:47:54 pm »

So, the following metro areas flipped:

R-->D
Atlanta, GA
Salt Lake City, UT
Fresno, CA

D-->R
Tampa, FL
St. Louis, MO
Allentown, PA
Jackson, MS
Scranton, PA
Youngstown, OH
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« Reply #2 on: January 09, 2017, 08:36:42 pm »

I didnt know Milwaukee was a dem metro area that is surprising.
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Attorney General TJ
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« Reply #3 on: January 09, 2017, 08:58:17 pm »

I didnt know Milwaukee was a dem metro area that is surprising.

It is on the presidential level, but generally isn't in other statewide races. That's one of the main reasons why prior to Trump, the Republicans could win Wisconsin for other races, but not the presidency.

It basically comes down to the city vs. the suburbs and the city is more likely to vote only in presidential elections.
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A midwesterner in another world.
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« Reply #4 on: January 10, 2017, 01:42:12 am »

The following is a list of America's top 100 most populous Metropolitan Statistical Areas (urban core and deeply interconnected surrounding communities). The results are displayed as the percentage of the vote captured by Sec. of State Hillary Clinton (D) against Businessman Donald Trump (R) (independent and third party votes were excluded from the calculations; Utah's election results were heavily skewed by third party candidate Evan McMullin).

Location - 2012 Results | 2016 Results | Trend

United States - 52.0% | 51.1% | N/A
New York - 64.7% | 63.8% | 0.0%
Los Angeles - 63.3% | 69.2% | 6.8%
Chicago - 60.4% | 67.0% | 7.5%
Dallas - 42.4% | 46.2% | 4.7%
Houston - 44.1% | 49.5% | 6.3%
Washington - 68.7% | 72.4% | 4.6%
Philadelphia - 64.6% | 64.2% | 0.5%
Miami - 62.9% | 64.1% | 2.1%
Atlanta - 49.4% | 53.0% | 4.5%
Boston - 61.1% | 65.6% | 5.4%
San Francisco - 77.5% | 82.1% | 5.5%
Phoenix - 43.7% | 47.6% | 4.8%
Riverside - 51.2% | 53.6% | 2.5%
Detroit - 60.1% | 55.5% | -3.7%
Seattle - 64.7% | 68.6% | 4.8%
Minneapolis - 55.9% | 56.8% | 1.8%
San Diego - 52.6% | 59.5% | 7.8%
Tampa - 51.6% | 48.4% | -2.3%
Denver - 56.5% | 57.2% | 1.6%
St. Louis - 54.3% | 49.0% | -4.4%
Baltimore - 58.7% | 58.7% | 0.9%
Charlotte - 47.7% | 47.6% | 0.8%
Portland - 62.0% | 64.2% | 3.1%
Orlando - 53.9% | 56.1% | 3.1%
San Antonio - 45.9% | 49.4% | 4.4%
Pittsburgh - 49.4% | 47.4% | -1.1%
Sacramento - 53.8% | 57.2% | 4.3%
Cincinnati - 41.4% | 40.3% | -0.2%
Las Vegas - 57.4% | 55.7% | -0.8%
Kansas City - 48.6% | 48.9% | 1.2%
Cleveland - 61.7% | 58.1% | -2.7%
Columbus - 53.0% | 52.3% | 0.2%
Austin - 53.7% | 60.4% | 7.6%
Indianapolis - 46.0% | 45.2% | 0.1%
San Jose - 71.2% | 77.4% | 7.1%
Nashville - 40.8% | 41.4% | 1.5%
Virginia Beach - 55.4% | 54.0% | -0.5%
Providence - 62.6% | 57.1% | -4.6%
Milwaukee - 52.2% | 53.8% | 2.5%
Jacksonville - 40.4% | 40.7% | 1.2%
Oklahoma City - 36.5% | 37.1% | 1.5%
Memphis - 56.3% | 55.5% | 0.1%
Louisville - 48.7% | 46.5% | -1.3%
Raleigh - 52.4% | 55.8% | 4.3%
Richmond - 52.5% | 54.4% | 2.8%
New Orleans - 50.1% | 50.7% | 1.5%
Hartford - 61.4% | 60.1% | -0.4%
Salt Lake City - 39.3% | 55.5% | 17.1%
Birmingham - 39.7% | 38.7% | -0.1%
Buffalo - 56.6% | 50.2% | -5.5%
Rochester - 55.2% | 51.6% | -2.7%
Grand Rapids - 45.2% | 44.9% | 0.6%
Tucson - 53.0% | 57.1% | 5.0%
Honolulu - 69.8% | 66.0% | -2.9%
Tulsa - 33.9% | 32.7% | -0.3%
Fresno - 48.5% | 52.0% | 4.4%
Bridgeport - 55.5% | 60.6% | 6.0%
Worcester - 54.7% | 55.6% | 1.8%
Omaha - 44.5% | 44.1% | 0.5%
Albuquerque - 56.8% | 57.1% | 1.2%
Bakersfield - 40.3% | 42.1% | 2.7%
Albany - 58.5% | 52.7% | -4.9%
Greenville - 33.9% | 32.6% | -0.4%
Knoxville - 32.4% | 32.7% | 1.2%
New Haven - 62.5% | 56.2% | -5.4%
Oxnard - 52.9% | 58.9% | 6.9%
McAllen - 71.1% | 71.0% | 0.8%
El Paso - 66.4% | 72.6% | 7.1%
Allentown - 52.6% | 47.1% | -4.6%
Baton Rouge - 43.7% | 43.3% | 0.5%
Columbia - 50.4% | 50.6% | 1.1%
Dayton - 46.3% | 43.7% | -1.7%
North Port - 45.2% | 42.8% | -1.5%
Greensboro - 50.3% | 50.3% | 0.9%
Charleston - 46.9% | 48.2% | 2.2%
Little Rock - 44.2% | 44.8% | 1.5%
Stockton - 55.6% | 56.8% | 2.1%
Akron - 56.4% | 52.1% | -3.4%
Cape Coral - 41.7% | 39.5% | -1.3%
Colorado Springs - 38.8% | 37.0% | -0.9%
Boise - 39.8% | 38.4% | -0.5%
Syracuse - 58.6% | 52.0% | -5.7%
Winston-Salem - 42.8% | 41.4% | -0.5%
Lakeland - 46.6% | 42.7% | -3.0%
Toledo - 60.3% | 54.0% | -5.4%
Wichita - 38.1% | 36.9% | -0.3%
Ogden - 20.2% | 32.3% | 13.0%
Madison - 69.9% | 71.4% | 2.4%
Springfield - 66.7% | 63.1% | -2.7%
Deltona - 48.8% | 42.6% | -5.3%
Des Moines - 54.3% | 52.4% | -1.0%
Augusta - 46.0% | 44.6% | -0.5%
Provo - 10.0% | 21.3% | 12.2%
Jackson - 50.7% | 49.4% | -0.4%
Palm Bay - 43.6% | 39.7% | -3.0%
Harrisburg - 45.9% | 44.4% | -0.6%
Scranton - 56.8% | 44.3% | -11.6%
Durham - 69.8% | 73.5% | 4.6%
Youngstown - 60.2% | 47.0% | -12.3%
Spokane - 45.8% | 43.8% | -1.1%

Top 10 Metros Trend R
1. Youngstown
2. Scranton
3. Syracuse
4. Buffalo
5. New Haven
5. Toledo
7. Deltona
8. Albany
9. Allentown
9. Providence

Top 10 Metros Trend D
* Salt Lake City
* Ogden
* Provo
1. San Diego
2. Austin
3. Chicago
4. San Jose
4. El Paso
6. Oxnard
7. Los Angeles
8. Houston
9. Bridgeport
10. San Francisco

Top 10 R Metros

1. Provo
2. Ogden
3. Greenville
4. Tulsa
4. Knoxville
6. Wichita
7. Colorado Springs
8. Oklahoma City
9. Boise
10. Birmingham

Top 10 D Metros
1. San Francisco
2. San Jose
3. Durham
4. El Paso
5. Washington
6. Madison
7. McAllen
8. Los Angeles
9. Seattle
10. Chicago

Pretty cool thread---- thanks for posting!

Just curious about the source.... if I read correctly it sounds like combining results from MSAs, essentially combining a bunch of counties that the Census Bureau considers to be part of a standard Metropolitan Statistical Area.

Although this model definitely provides us with a baseline standard to discuss, I don't fully accept some of the concepts behind the MSA model....

Frequently it combines many counties that are only peripheral in terms of population to a "Core Metro", including frequently counties that are predominately rural in nature/population.

That being said, it was interesting to see Chicago pop up as #3 on the Dem trend, and New Haven and Providence as #5 and #9 respectively on the Rep trend list....

Most of the others didn't realize surprise, although my eyebrows shot up at Oxnard (!!!) since this is a place not on my radar, despite many years spent visiting family in various parts of Cali, let alone thinking of it as a Metro area....

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