The following is a list of America's top 100 most populous Metropolitan Statistical Areas (urban core and deeply interconnected surrounding communities). The results are displayed as the percentage of the vote captured by Sec. of State Hillary Clinton (D) against Businessman Donald Trump (R) (independent and third party votes were excluded from the calculations; Utah's election results were heavily skewed by third party candidate Evan McMullin).
Location - 2012 Results | 2016 Results | Trend
United States - 52.0% | 51.1% | N/A
New York - 64.7% | 63.8% | 0.0%
Los Angeles - 63.3% | 69.2% | 6.8%
Chicago - 60.4% | 67.0% | 7.5%
Dallas - 42.4% | 46.2% | 4.7%
Houston - 44.1% | 49.5% | 6.3%
Washington - 68.7% | 72.4% | 4.6%
Philadelphia - 64.6% | 64.2% | 0.5%
Miami - 62.9% | 64.1% | 2.1%
Atlanta - 49.4% | 53.0% | 4.5%
Boston - 61.1% | 65.6% | 5.4%
San Francisco - 77.5% | 82.1% | 5.5%
Phoenix - 43.7% | 47.6% | 4.8%
Riverside - 51.2% | 53.6% | 2.5%
Detroit - 60.1% | 55.5% | -3.7%
Seattle - 64.7% | 68.6% | 4.8%
Minneapolis - 55.9% | 56.8% | 1.8%
San Diego - 52.6% | 59.5% | 7.8%
Tampa - 51.6% | 48.4% | -2.3%
Denver - 56.5% | 57.2% | 1.6%
St. Louis - 54.3% | 49.0% | -4.4%
Baltimore - 58.7% | 58.7% | 0.9%
Charlotte - 47.7% | 47.6% | 0.8%
Portland - 62.0% | 64.2% | 3.1%
Orlando - 53.9% | 56.1% | 3.1%
San Antonio - 45.9% | 49.4% | 4.4%
Pittsburgh - 49.4% | 47.4% | -1.1%
Sacramento - 53.8% | 57.2% | 4.3%
Cincinnati - 41.4% | 40.3% | -0.2%
Las Vegas - 57.4% | 55.7% | -0.8%
Kansas City - 48.6% | 48.9% | 1.2%
Cleveland - 61.7% | 58.1% | -2.7%
Columbus - 53.0% | 52.3% | 0.2%
Austin - 53.7% | 60.4% | 7.6%
Indianapolis - 46.0% | 45.2% | 0.1%
San Jose - 71.2% | 77.4% | 7.1%
Nashville - 40.8% | 41.4% | 1.5%
Virginia Beach - 55.4% | 54.0% | -0.5%
Providence - 62.6% | 57.1% | -4.6%
Milwaukee - 52.2% | 53.8% | 2.5%
Jacksonville - 40.4% | 40.7% | 1.2%
Oklahoma City - 36.5% | 37.1% | 1.5%
Memphis - 56.3% | 55.5% | 0.1%
Louisville - 48.7% | 46.5% | -1.3%
Raleigh - 52.4% | 55.8% | 4.3%
Richmond - 52.5% | 54.4% | 2.8%
New Orleans - 50.1% | 50.7% | 1.5%
Hartford - 61.4% | 60.1% | -0.4%
Salt Lake City - 39.3% | 55.5% | 17.1%
Birmingham - 39.7% | 38.7% | -0.1%
Buffalo - 56.6% | 50.2% | -5.5%
Rochester - 55.2% | 51.6% | -2.7%
Grand Rapids - 45.2% | 44.9% | 0.6%
Tucson - 53.0% | 57.1% | 5.0%
Honolulu - 69.8% | 66.0% | -2.9%
Tulsa - 33.9% | 32.7% | -0.3%
Fresno - 48.5% | 52.0% | 4.4%
Bridgeport - 55.5% | 60.6% | 6.0%
Worcester - 54.7% | 55.6% | 1.8%
Omaha - 44.5% | 44.1% | 0.5%
Albuquerque - 56.8% | 57.1% | 1.2%
Bakersfield - 40.3% | 42.1% | 2.7%
Albany - 58.5% | 52.7% | -4.9%
Greenville - 33.9% | 32.6% | -0.4%
Knoxville - 32.4% | 32.7% | 1.2%
New Haven - 62.5% | 56.2% | -5.4%
Oxnard - 52.9% | 58.9% | 6.9%
McAllen - 71.1% | 71.0% | 0.8%
El Paso - 66.4% | 72.6% | 7.1%
Allentown - 52.6% | 47.1% | -4.6%
Baton Rouge - 43.7% | 43.3% | 0.5%
Columbia - 50.4% | 50.6% | 1.1%
Dayton - 46.3% | 43.7% | -1.7%
North Port - 45.2% | 42.8% | -1.5%
Greensboro - 50.3% | 50.3% | 0.9%
Charleston - 46.9% | 48.2% | 2.2%
Little Rock - 44.2% | 44.8% | 1.5%
Stockton - 55.6% | 56.8% | 2.1%
Akron - 56.4% | 52.1% | -3.4%
Cape Coral - 41.7% | 39.5% | -1.3%
Colorado Springs - 38.8% | 37.0% | -0.9%
Boise - 39.8% | 38.4% | -0.5%
Syracuse - 58.6% | 52.0% | -5.7%
Winston-Salem - 42.8% | 41.4% | -0.5%
Lakeland - 46.6% | 42.7% | -3.0%
Toledo - 60.3% | 54.0% | -5.4%
Wichita - 38.1% | 36.9% | -0.3%
Ogden - 20.2% | 32.3% | 13.0%
Madison - 69.9% | 71.4% | 2.4%
Springfield - 66.7% | 63.1% | -2.7%
Deltona - 48.8% | 42.6% | -5.3%
Des Moines - 54.3% | 52.4% | -1.0%
Augusta - 46.0% | 44.6% | -0.5%
Provo - 10.0% | 21.3% | 12.2%
Jackson - 50.7% | 49.4% | -0.4%
Palm Bay - 43.6% | 39.7% | -3.0%
Harrisburg - 45.9% | 44.4% | -0.6%
Scranton - 56.8% | 44.3% | -11.6%
Durham - 69.8% | 73.5% | 4.6%
Youngstown - 60.2% | 47.0% | -12.3%
Spokane - 45.8% | 43.8% | -1.1%
Top 10 Metros Trend R
1. Youngstown
2. Scranton
3. Syracuse
4. Buffalo
5. New Haven
5. Toledo
7. Deltona
8. Albany
9. Allentown
9. Providence
Top 10 Metros Trend D
* Salt Lake City
* Ogden
* Provo
1. San Diego
2. Austin
3. Chicago
4. San Jose
4. El Paso
6. Oxnard
7. Los Angeles
8. Houston
9. Bridgeport
10. San Francisco
Top 10 R Metros
1. Provo
2. Ogden
3. Greenville
4. Tulsa
4. Knoxville
6. Wichita
7. Colorado Springs
8. Oklahoma City
9. Boise
10. Birmingham
Top 10 D Metros
1. San Francisco
2. San Jose
3. Durham
4. El Paso
5. Washington
6. Madison
7. McAllen
8. Los Angeles
9. Seattle
10. Chicago
Pretty cool thread---- thanks for posting!
Just curious about the source.... if I read correctly it sounds like combining results from MSAs, essentially combining a bunch of counties that the Census Bureau considers to be part of a standard Metropolitan Statistical Area.
Although this model definitely provides us with a baseline standard to discuss, I don't fully accept some of the concepts behind the MSA model....
Frequently it combines many counties that are only peripheral in terms of population to a "Core Metro", including frequently counties that are predominately rural in nature/population.
That being said, it was interesting to see Chicago pop up as #3 on the Dem trend, and New Haven and Providence as #5 and #9 respectively on the Rep trend list....
Most of the others didn't realize surprise, although my eyebrows shot up at Oxnard (!!!) since this is a place not on my radar, despite many years spent visiting family in various parts of Cali, let alone thinking of it as a Metro area....
