Canadian Redistribution - Federal, Provincial, Municipal

[MaxQue]

Might have to add Nova Scotia, as the court ruled the abolition of the 3 protected Acadian ridings by the previous government was unconstitutionnal.

[MaxQue]

I love this page!  https://www.electoralboundaries.pe.ca/new-electoral-map?platform=hootsuite

It has one of those before/after sliders (I don't know the technical term) so that you can compare the old boundaries with the new ones.  The problem is that the position of the province and the insets are completely different in the two versions, so you can't do an actual comparison.  What genius came up with that?

Also, the populations of the existing districts on page 8 of the report adds to 99,837 but the populations of the proposed districts (on page 21) adds to 100,005.  Sample map 1.1 has populations that add to 99,955, while sample map 3.1 adds to 99,904.

Quick notionials have PC gaining two seats on Liberals, Summerside-Wilcot and Brackley - Hunter River.

NDP gets screwed as their best riding gets a tons of Charlottetown suburbs added on, while losing parts of the core city. Greens are helped, their best areas in Charlotteton are moved in the same riding.

[MaxQue]

The Far North Electoral Boundaries Commission has released their preliminary report.



What are the odds that the first MPP from Mushkegowuk will be a white francophone, and not an indigenous person?

Well, it's only 15% indigenous.

[MaxQue]

https://bcebc.ca/

Preliminary report of the BC Commission, who proposes adding 6 seats (Burnaby, Kelowna, Langley, Surrey, Vancouver, South Vancouver Island).

Using Ridingbuilder, the results would be:

NDP 61 (+4)
Lib 30 (+2)
Grn 2

New NDP seats are Burnaby-New Westminster, Langley-Willoughby, Surrey Central, Juan de Fuca-Malahat and Vancouver-South Granville
The new Liberal seat is Kelowna Centre

NPD gain over Green in Cowichan Valley, Green gain over Liberal in West Vancouver-Sea to Sky, Liberal gains over NDP in Vancouver-Yaletown (former Vancouver-False Creek) and Langley-Aldergrove (former Langley East).

[MaxQue]

https://bcebc.ca/

Preliminary report of the BC Commission, who proposes adding 6 seats (Burnaby, Kelowna, Langley, Surrey, Vancouver, South Vancouver Island).

Using Ridingbuilder, the results would be:

NDP 61 (+4)
Lib 30 (+2)
Grn 2

New NDP seats are Burnaby-New Westminster, Langley-Willoughby, Surrey Central, Juan de Fuca-Malahat and Vancouver-South Granville
The new Liberal seat is Kelowna Centre

NPD gain over Green in Cowichan Valley, Green gain over Liberal in West Vancouver-Sea to Sky, Liberal gains over NDP in Vancouver-Yaletown (former Vancouver-False Creek) and Langley-Aldergrove (former Langley East).

The riding of New Westminster-Mallardville is very odd, What's that justification? it looks gerrymandered but why? Wouldn't it make more sense to have the boundary be either:
a) for Coquitlam, everything south of Hwy1 be in the riding (something like that) or
b) for Coquitlam, everything west of Blue Mountain St (something like that)

Maillardville claims to be the only Francophone community in BC (even if barely any of them still speak French), cutting it in two will cause problems and probably a "New Brunswick federal ridings 2004" style lawsuit.

[MaxQue]

I don't know exactly when the next Quebec provincial redistribution will be but I added some numbers following the provincial elections. The website of the director of elections claims there were 6 302 789 electors.

I added the number of electors from the riding results of every riding on the island of Montreal (27 ridings). I got 1 292 848 voters.

This represents 20.51% of all voters live on the island of Montreal. With 125 ridings in total, 20.51%  equals 25.63 ridings so Montreal is overrepresented. It will probaly lose 1 riding. It could lose two with projections showing Montreal growing slower than the provincial average and if they draw a map thinking more in the future but removing ridings is tricky, two might be too much.

The lowest population among the Montreal ridings is Viau (39,883). Pointe-aux-Trembles is at 40,527. In the east Anjou-Louis-Riel is 41,956 and Lafontaine 42,199.

The group of QS seats could be a target to remove a riding. Hochelaga-Maisonneuve (40,699), Sainte-Marie-Saint-Jacques (40,988), Mercier (43,387), Gouin (42,164), Laurier-Dorion (44,943).  

Law says the preliminary report is due by October 3rd, 2023.