GA-6 Special election discussion thread
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Author Topic: GA-6 Special election discussion thread  (Read 249010 times)
Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #2200 on: May 22, 2017, 04:04:55 PM »


Everyone look at predict it omg!
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heatcharger
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« Reply #2201 on: May 22, 2017, 04:08:16 PM »

WHOA

SurveyUSA poll of GA-6: Ossoff +7 (!)

Jon Ossoff - 51%
Karen Handel - 44%
Undecided - 6%

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=e944d747-cc05-4608-90db-ed0527267059

Those undecideds are mostly Temporarily Embarrassed Republicans, but it's good to see Ossoff above 50% in a public poll.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #2202 on: May 22, 2017, 04:10:50 PM »

Also:

Brian Lazaro‏ @brianwsb  2m2 minutes ago
Breaking: @wsbtv LIVE debate Karen Handel & Jon Ossoff 6/6 @ 8:00 p.m.  @JustinFarmerWSB host.  @RElliotWSB @bluestein @condo29 panelists
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Brittain33
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« Reply #2203 on: May 22, 2017, 04:29:51 PM »

BRING THE ORB, TRUMP
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #2204 on: May 22, 2017, 04:32:21 PM »

WHOA

SurveyUSA poll of GA-6: Ossoff +7 (!)

Jon Ossoff - 51%
Karen Handel - 44%
Undecided - 6%

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=e944d747-cc05-4608-90db-ed0527267059

Didn't someone recently post that the GOP was more worried about Montana than Georgia?
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Brittain33
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« Reply #2205 on: May 22, 2017, 04:47:02 PM »

If I had the confidence in making predictions from past polls and atmosphere that I last had on November 8, this is where I would expect this race to be...
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Classic Conservative
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« Reply #2206 on: May 22, 2017, 04:48:26 PM »

https://mobile.twitter.com/PatrickRuffini/status/866767614676271105

The electorate is Hillary +4 in this according to him.
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Hydera
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« Reply #2207 on: May 22, 2017, 04:56:43 PM »

WHOA

SurveyUSA poll of GA-6: Ossoff +7 (!)

Jon Ossoff - 51%
Karen Handel - 44%
Undecided - 6%

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=e944d747-cc05-4608-90db-ed0527267059

Didn't someone recently post that the GOP was more worried about Montana than Georgia?


I think its their more concerned that dems could pull an upset in Montana when before they didnt think it was likely. while in GA-6 they already expect the dem to be competitive.
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Holmes
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« Reply #2208 on: May 22, 2017, 05:09:43 PM »

Ossoff has the benefit of taking a large chunk of those new 5500+ voters (obviously) and there's no reason to believe his first round voters would dump him, whereas Handel has like 5 candidates worth of voters to consolidate and has very little room for error. And that's without taking into account what's going on in DC with Comey and health care.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #2209 on: May 22, 2017, 05:44:04 PM »

Special election electorates are almost certainly not going to be identical to a general election electorate.
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Terry the Fat Shark
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« Reply #2210 on: May 22, 2017, 05:45:32 PM »

FWIW I think there is a much higher chance of MT going dem than GA-6 too....
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Not_Madigan
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« Reply #2211 on: May 22, 2017, 05:46:41 PM »

I'm going to take this with caution, but I do believe Ossoff would win 51-49 if the election were held today, by June 20th however, Handel should win 52-48.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #2212 on: May 22, 2017, 05:51:12 PM »

I'm going to take this with caution, but I do believe Ossoff would win 51-49 if the election were held today, by June 20th however, Handel should win 52-48.

This is certainly possible, but what do you expect to happen that would cause it to flip like that?
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Not_Madigan
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« Reply #2213 on: May 22, 2017, 05:53:50 PM »

I'm going to take this with caution, but I do believe Ossoff would win 51-49 if the election were held today, by June 20th however, Handel should win 52-48.

This is certainly possible, but what do you expect to happen that would cause it to flip like that?

The latest Russia Scandal to blow over and the Senate to start giving the AHCA a heart, along with Pence coming to campaign and more time to attack Ossoff the district should move back to its norms.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #2214 on: May 22, 2017, 06:07:22 PM »

I'm going to take this with caution, but I do believe Ossoff would win 51-49 if the election were held today, by June 20th however, Handel should win 52-48.

This is certainly possible, but what do you expect to happen that would cause it to flip like that?

The latest Russia Scandal to blow over and the Senate to start giving the AHCA a heart, along with Pence coming to campaign and more time to attack Ossoff the district should move back to its norms.
The district's norms are gone. Democrats are not supposed to get 48% of the vote in GA-06, ever.
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Hindsight was 2020
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« Reply #2215 on: May 22, 2017, 06:27:06 PM »

I'm going to take this with caution, but I do believe Ossoff would win 51-49 if the election were held today, by June 20th however, Handel should win 52-48.

This is certainly possible, but what do you expect to happen that would cause it to flip like that?

The latest Russia Scandal to blow over and the Senate to start giving the AHCA a heart, along with Pence coming to campaign and more time to attack Ossoff the district should move back to its norms.
First off dude you guys have been saying "Ruisia will blow over nothing to see here" an it doesn't in fact it keeps getting worse.  2nd the AHCA being anywhere near the publics mind will not be a positive. Am 3rd Ossoff has been endlessly a attacked since the primiaries started
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Ebsy
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« Reply #2216 on: May 22, 2017, 07:33:55 PM »

Most of the attacks on Ossoff have backfired horribly.
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Barnes
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« Reply #2217 on: May 22, 2017, 07:39:46 PM »

Most of the attacks on Ossoff have backfired horribly.

That pathetic Star Wars thing has become a marketing asset for him now!

Republicans are getting so desperate here that they are litterely throwing sh**t at the wall and seeing if it sticks.

Case in point. I mean, this is really kind of sad. 
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ajc0918
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« Reply #2218 on: May 22, 2017, 07:52:41 PM »

Most of the attacks on Ossoff have backfired horribly.

Case in point. I mean, this is really kind of sad. 

Wow that's really bad.
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DrScholl
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« Reply #2219 on: May 22, 2017, 07:57:01 PM »

If anything, Handel is more like a yes person for Trump than Ossoff is for Pelosi.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #2220 on: May 22, 2017, 07:57:09 PM »

Most of the attacks on Ossoff have backfired horribly.

Case in point. I mean, this is really kind of sad. 

Wow that's really bad.

IKR, we should hold a poll to see which ad is more cringy, the star wars thing, or the SF one. As for the star wars ad, he was just a young and immature college kid having a good time with his friends, while harming no one. And you know what Karen Handel? At least he went to college and graduated.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #2221 on: May 22, 2017, 08:33:02 PM »

Pretty sizeable reaction to the poll on PredictIt:


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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #2222 on: May 23, 2017, 09:48:41 AM »

WHOA

SurveyUSA poll of GA-6: Ossoff +7 (!)

Jon Ossoff - 51%
Karen Handel - 44%
Undecided - 6%

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=e944d747-cc05-4608-90db-ed0527267059

DOMINATING. I guess Trump can’t handle all the winning…

But still too early to lean back, though Dems are on track to win.
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #2223 on: May 23, 2017, 11:31:49 AM »

If it works out how it usually does in GA, virtually all of those undecideds will go to Handel. I'm not sure why everybody's so excited about a 2-3 point lead in a poll.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #2224 on: May 23, 2017, 11:42:21 AM »

If it works out how it usually does in GA, virtually all of those undecideds will go to Handel. I'm not sure why everybody's so excited about a 2-3 point lead in a poll.

Unless they are lying, there is an equal amount of undecided Trump and Clinton voters.
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