2017-18 Population Census round (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 30, 2024, 07:40:25 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  General Politics
  International General Discussion (Moderators: afleitch, Hash)
  2017-18 Population Census round (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: 2017-18 Population Census round  (Read 6278 times)
SoLongAtlas
VirginiaModerate
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,219
United States
« on: August 29, 2017, 09:16:29 AM »

They are on track to hit 364,283,000 by 2100 (using the INED sim https://www.ined.fr/en/everything_about_population/population-games/tomorrow-population/, which uses an inaccurate UN figure of 196,744,600 total 2015 pop).

This is unsustainable growth and will become disastrous as climate change kicks in and the river valleys start to lose water due to glacial retreat, shortage of drinking water. India will have the same problem but on a grander scale.
Logged
SoLongAtlas
VirginiaModerate
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,219
United States
« Reply #1 on: August 29, 2017, 10:25:19 AM »

They are on track to hit 364,283,000 by 2100 (using the INED sim https://www.ined.fr/en/everything_about_population/population-games/tomorrow-population/, which uses an inaccurate UN figure of 196,744,600 total 2015 pop).

This is unsustainable growth and will become disastrous as climate change kicks in and the river valleys start to lose water due to glacial retreat, shortage of drinking water. India will have the same problem but on a grander scale.

Ehh ... using current trends (+4.5 million annually), Pakistan will already hit that number in 2050, not 2100.

Which is also the time when Pakistan should overtake Indonesia as 4th-largest country.

Pakistan is then on track to overtake the US in population by 2060, with both having around 405 million people.

Obviously, the big unknown is Nigeria - which still has huge population growth rates (+3% each year) and could overtake Indonesia, Pakistan and the US by then.

Census figures in Nigeria are highly inaccurate and even the Census planned for next year isn't a sure thing yet. It was already planned for 2016, then it was delayed to 2017 and now delayed to 2018 and there are funding problems.

US will be #4 by 2050



https://www.forbes.com/sites/niallmccarthy/2017/06/22/the-worlds-most-populous-nations-in-2050-infographic/#72b7875b39f6
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.023 seconds with 12 queries.