What would have been your prediction a year before each election

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1976: Scoop Jackson defeats Gerald Ford
1980: Kennedy narrowly defeats Reagan or Reagan narrowly defeats Carter. It would've depended on the Dem. Primaries
1984: Reagan defeats Mondale or Hart
1988: Hart narrowly defeats Bush
1992: Bush decisively defeats generic Democrat
1996: Clinton defeats Dole
2000: Gore, like Bush 41 in 1988, goes from being the underdog in the polls to pulling off a respectable (though not quite large) win
2004: Bush beats Dean by a similar margin to Bill Clinton's victory in 1996
2008: Hillary defeats McCain or Giuliani.
2012: Romney narrowly defeats Obama . The Bin Laden Bump had worn off (Obama's poll #'s were in the 30s), Unemployment was still north of 8%, and the credit downgrade happened.
2016: Either Rubio or some other generic Republican narrowly defeats Clinton, or Clinton narrowly defeats Bush or Cruz.