Sabato Initial Senate Rankings

[Keep cool-idge]

New changes:

I get that Moore is falling but it should be lean republican or toss up not lean democrat.
It’s Alabama not Massachusetts.

[Badger]

I really don't know why so many people think NV is a Tossup in a Democratic wave. It's not as if Heller is a particularly strong candidate either.

Major Prognosticators feel it's best to give the benefit of the doubt to the incumbent when the election is many months away, due to the fact that, historically speaking, the incumbent reelection rate is very high.

This, plus I'm not sure I've seen any polls with Heller firmly down by even a couple points.

I still think it's a bit premature to put Florida is a toss-up though

[Young Conservative]

I really don't know why so many people think NV is a Tossup in a Democratic wave. It's not as if Heller is a particularly strong candidate either.

Major Prognosticators feel it's best to give the benefit of the doubt to the incumbent when the election is many months away, due to the fact that, historically speaking, the incumbent reelection rate is very high.

This, plus I'm not sure I've seen any polls with Heller firmly down by even a couple points.

I still think it's a bit premature to put Florida is a toss-up though

It's supposed to measure the state of the race atm, not in a year.

[Badger]

I really don't know why so many people think NV is a Tossup in a Democratic wave. It's not as if Heller is a particularly strong candidate either.

Major Prognosticators feel it's best to give the benefit of the doubt to the incumbent when the election is many months away, due to the fact that, historically speaking, the incumbent reelection rate is very high.

This, plus I'm not sure I've seen any polls with Heller firmly down by even a couple points.

I still think it's a bit premature to put Florida is a toss-up though

It's supposed to measure the state of the race atm, not in a year.

I know. And I stand by my statement.

[Beet]

It's silly to have more than one rating before the calendar year of the election.

I still stand by my mid-year ratings.