2016: MI, PA adopt Maine/Nebraska EC rules; Hillary wins Florida
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  Past Election What-ifs (US) (Moderator: Dereich)
  2016: MI, PA adopt Maine/Nebraska EC rules; Hillary wins Florida
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Author Topic: 2016: MI, PA adopt Maine/Nebraska EC rules; Hillary wins Florida  (Read 215 times)
Krago
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« on: February 23, 2017, 11:56:01 AM »

After 2012, I remember some discussion from Republicans about adopting the Electoral College rules used in Maine and Nebraska (one vote for each Congressional District won, plus two for winning state-wide) across the country.  This would have resulted in Romney winning in the Electoral College by a 274-264 margin despite losing the popular vote by almost five million votes.  Two states where the talk was strongest were Michigan and Pennsylvania, where Republicans won a majority of CDs without winning state-wide since 1988.

What if the Republicans in those states had gone ahead and changed the rules in time for the 2016 election, but Hillary had managed to squeak out a victory in Florida?

Using the 2012 rules, Trump would have gained all 20 EC votes in Pennsylvania and 16 in Michigan and won the election 277-261.  Under the 2016 rules, 11 EC votes in those two states would have been awarded to Clinton instead, tipping the election to her by 272 to 266.

Exactly how ape-sh**t would the Republicans have gone?
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