Iowa is Rubio Country
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UWS
Junior Chimp
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« on: February 24, 2017, 03:19:46 PM »
« edited: August 20, 2019, 09:12:18 AM by UWS »

Introduction


Own creation - modification


The 2016 Republican Iowa caucuses on February 1 2016, were concluded through pretty close results between Ted Cruz (who won the Iowa caucuses with 28 % of the vote), Donald Trump (who got 24 %) and Marco Rubio (who got 23 % of the vote).

If I made a timeline about an alternate scenario in which Donald Trump won the Iowa caucuses, it would not be interesting because I think that Trump would still have won the Republican nomination if he won the Iowa caucuses.

So I decided to make a timeline about what would have happened if Florida Senator Marco Rubio, rising star of the Republican Party, won the Iowa caucuses.
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UWS
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1 on: February 24, 2017, 03:44:24 PM »
« Edited: May 20, 2019, 08:54:05 AM by UWS »

Background, Part 1 :



After Mitt Romney's lost the 2012 US presidential election to Barack Obama, the Republican Party must decide which way to turn.

In 2013, first year of Barack Obama's second term as President of the United States, America faces many divisions among its people. The GOP is divided, mostly on immigration issues due to the Gang of Eight's comprehensive immigration reform bill that would have gave access to American citizenship for illegal immigrants. The American people is also divided on the gun control issue.




The Syrian Civil War opposing the dictatorial regime Bachar al-Assad, supported materially and militarily by Russia for economic purposes, and the Syrian rebellion intensifies, triggering debates on whether the United States should intervene militarily to support the Syrian rebellion. The Ukrainian revolution of 2014 is marked by protests against Russia's political and economic influence on Ukraine. After multiplied protests, pro-Russian Ukrainian President Viktor Yanukovych resigns, thus gradually freeing Ukraine from Russia's influence and orienting Kiev to the European Union, a tendency reinforced by the election of Petro Proshenko as President of Ukraine on May 2014. But days after Yanukovych fled Kiev on February 2014, an armed pro-Russian rebellion opposed to the Europeanization emerges in Crimea and eastern Ukraine, multiplying attacks against the Ukrainian army. Determined to protect it's economic interests in Ukraine, Vladimir Putin's Russia intervenes militarily in Ukraine, annexes Crimea, and materially supports the pro-Russian rebellion, all actions marking a violation of territorial integrity.



Due to US troops' and US allies' troops withdrawal from Iraq in 2011, this country witnesses the emergence of the jihadist group of Islamic State of Iraq and Syria (ISIS), a branch of Al Qaeda operating in Iraq and Syria. Led by Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi, ISIS takes most of the western part of Iraq and approaches Baghdad. It also extended its territory in eastern Syria. ISIS' rise forced the United States and their allies, including their Arab partners, to start an air-based military intervention in Iraq and Syria in order to fight ISIS through airstrikes.



Partly due to such increasing international insecurity and to Obama's decreasing job approval, the 2014 midterm elections were concluded through successes by the Republican Party who increased its dominance in the House of Representatives by gaining 13 more seats, which puts the party at 247 seats against 188 seats for the Democrats. Republicans also took control of the U.S. Senate by gaining 9 Senate seats, thus putting it at 54 seats against 46 seats for the Democrats. So Republicans control both chambers of the Congress, which is likely to complicate President Obama's political agenda.

At the end of 2014, the Obama administration normalized the relations between the United States and Cuba, thus reinforcing the possibility that the Cuban embargo would be lifted, a policy opposed by Republicans who think that it would increase the Castro regime's tyrannical and oppressive influence on the Cuban people. In 2014 and 2015, many innocent African-Americans were killed by white policemen or white supremacists (including in Charleston, South Carolina, on June 2015), which divides the country, triggers riots and contributes to the emergence of Black Lives Matter, a movement fighting for the African-American cause. On June 26 2015, the Supreme Court of the United States legalized gay marriage. On October of the same year the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action, an agreement of nuclear non-proliferation on Iranian nuclear, is adopted, thus lifting US sanctions against Iran though it increased concerns among the American people since the lifting of US sanctions would allow Iran to earn the necessary revenues to develop its uranium in order to construct nuclear weapons, which would be a threat to international security. And on December 2015, President Obama ratified the Paris Agreement dealing with, greenhouse gases emissions mitigation, adaptation and finance starting in the year 2020.

Obama's second term is also marked by an improvement of the economic situation through the decrease of unemployment rate. Job creation under Obama's presidency is mostly due to tax cuts for the middle class and small businesses, support to U.S. automobile industry and decreased imports of foreign oil and gas, thus reducing the unemployment rate to 5 % in January 2016. Yet, it's one of the slowest economic growths America has ever known due to increased taxes and regulations on the American people, businesses and energy industry, to a low GDP, to low minimum wage and to an increased national debt that almost hits 20 trillion dollars. In 2015, Obama has urged Congress to ratify a 12-nation free trade pact called the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP), a free trade deal that would lower tariffs and increase economic and trade relations between the United States and Asian countries in the Pacific region, except for China and North Korea, thus making America competitive in Pacific and Asian markets.

In 2015, national security concerns emerged among the American people due to multiplied terrorist attacks around the world, notably two attacks in Paris (January and November) and two attacks on the United States’ territory (the first one in Garland, Texas, on May 2015 and the second one in San Bernardino, California, on December 2015).
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UWS
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #2 on: February 24, 2017, 03:46:05 PM »
« Edited: August 17, 2019, 05:05:22 PM by UWS »

Background, Part 2 :



Source : (Own modification, original image attribution: [https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2015/08/the-republican-rivals-gather-in-cleveland/400712//John Minchillo] via Associated Press)


Meanwhile, the 2016 US presidential election race starts. On March 2015, Texas Senator Ted Cruz becomes the first Republican to announce his candidacy for President of the United States. A week later, it was Kentucky Senator Rand Paul's turn. On mid-April, former First Lady, former New York Senator and former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton announces that she launches a second presidential bid, eight years after her failed bid for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2008. The next day, Republican Florida Senator Marco Rubio announces his candidacy for President of the United States, declaring that yesterday is over and that America must look to the future. In total, 6 Democrats and 17 Republicans are running for President in the 2016 election cycle. This high number of candidates among Republicans makes the 2016 Republican primary race the most wide-open contest.

But one of the most controversial candidacies among Republicans is businessman, reality television and real estate developer Donald Trump's candidacy who declared his candidacy in mid-June 2015 while declaring that Mexican are « rapists, criminals and drug dealers ». Donald Trump calls for a deportation of all illegal immigrants, plans to build a wall on the US-Mexican borders to stop illegal immigration and seeks to renegotiate free trade deals. Trump multiplies it's controversial comments, especially on John McCain's war hero status, and mocked disabled reporter with the following words : « Uh, I don't know what I said. Uh, I don't remember. » He also promises to fight terrorism by killing women and children of terrorists. Despite these controversial comments, Donald Trump rises in the polls for the Republican nomination and even rises to the top of all the 17 Republican candidates for President. This is mostly due to the American people's increasing fatigue towards politicians and political elites which, they believe, abandoned them. Donald Trump's rise is also due to his populist message. This anti-establishment sentiment is not only felt among Republicans : it's also felt among Democrats due to Vermont Independent Senator Bernie Sanders' candidacy. Sanders opposes free trade deals and unveiled an agenda more progressive than Hillary Clinton's by promoting a 15 $ minimum wage, free education and by making green energy development one of his main priorities. This agenda helps Sanders to become Hillary Clinton's main rival for the Democratic nomination.

The 2016 presidential race goes on through markable or controversial declarations, presidential debates, town-halls, rallies, fundraising events and visits across the country, mostly in early voting states in the primary season. While Bernie Sanders gradually reduces the gap between him and Hillary Clinton in the polls, Marco Rubio dominates the debate stages thanks to his strong debate performances, especially on his voting attendance record in the Senate, on Hillary Clinton, on economic issues, on social issues and foreign policy issues. Rubio's debate performances helps him to progress in the Republican primary polls by rising from 7th place to third place behind Donald Trump and Ted Cruz. Rubio even edges his mentor and fellow Floridian former Florida Governor Jeb Bush (son of former President George H. W. Bush and brother of former President George W. Bush) when it comes to endorsements and becomes the favorite of the establishment.

As of January 2016, 12 of the 17 Republican presidential candidates are still in the race. Former Texas Governor Rick Perry, Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker, former Louisiana Governor Bobby Jindal, former New York Governor George Pataki and South Carolina Senator Lindsey Graham dropped out of the race due to their weak showing in the polls and their struggle to gain attraction and to raise money. Rick Perry endorsed his fellow Texan Ted Cruz while George Pataki endorsed Marco Rubio and Lindsey Graham endorsed Jeb Bush. On the Democratic side, on only 3 of the 6 Democratic candidates are still in the race. Former Rhode Island Governor Lincoln Chafee, former Virginia Senator Jim Webb and Professor at Harvard Law School Lawrence Lessig dropped out of the race.



The Iowa caucuses of February 1 2016 are getting closer and closer and all the presidential candidates are strongly and fiercely investing their efforts in this rural state in order to boost their campaigns. On the Republican side, it's a close race between Donald Trump, Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio while the Democratic contest is announced to be a dual between Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders.
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UWS
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #3 on: February 24, 2017, 08:54:43 PM »
« Edited: February 26, 2017, 08:12:13 AM by UWS »

New polls

Nationwide polls

Republicans

Donald Trump : 43 %
Ted Cruz : 18 %
Marco Rubio : 14 %
John Kasich : 5 %
Jeb Bush : 4 %
Ben Carson : 4 %
Rannd Paul : 4 %
Mike Huckabee : 2 %
Chris Christie : 2 %
Carly Fiorina : 2 %
Rick Santorum : 1 %
Jim Gilmore : 1 %

Democrats

Hillary Clinton : 58 %
Bernie Sanders : 38 %
Martin O'Malley : 3 %
Undecided : 1 %

Iowa polls

Republicans

Donald Trump : 20 %
Ted Cruz : 19 %
Marco Rubio : 19 %
Ben Carson : 9 %
Rand Paul : 9 %
Jeb Bush : 5 %
Mike Huckabee : 4 %
John Kasich : 4 %
Carly Fiorina : 4 %
Chris Christie : 3 %
Rick Santorum : 2 %
Jim Gilmore : 1 %
Undecided : 1 %

Democrats

Hillary Clinton : 45 %
Bernie Sanders : 42 %
Martin O'Malley : 3 %
Undecided : 10 %

New Hampshire polls

Donald Trump : 30 %
Ted Cruz : 12 %
Marco Rubio : 11 %
John Kasich : 9 %
Chris Christie : 8 %
Jeb Bush : 6 %
Carly Fiorina : 4 %
Ben Carson : 3 %
Rand Paul : 3 %
Mike Huckabee : 1 %
Rick Santorum : 0 %
Jim Gilmore : 0 %
Undecided : 13 %

Democrats

Bernie Sanders : 57 %
Hillary Clinton : 34 %
Martin O'Malley : 1 %
Undecided : 8 %

South Carolina polls

Republicans

Donald Trump : 36 %
Ted Cruz : 20 %
Marco Rubio : 14 %
Jeb Bush : 9 %
Ben Carson : 8 %
Mike Huckabee : 2 %
Chris Christie : 2 %
John Kasich : 1 %
Carly Fiorina : 1 %
Rand Paul : 1 %
Rick Santorum : 0 %
Jim Gilmore : 0 %
Undecided : 6 %

Nevada polls

Democrats

Hillary Clinton : 50 %
Bernie Sanders : 27 %
Martin O'Malley : 1 %
Undecided : 22 %
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UWS
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #4 on: February 24, 2017, 10:52:38 PM »
« Edited: March 29, 2019, 11:30:11 AM by UWS »

Marco Rubio's schedule in Iowa


According to a poll released by Opinion Savvy on January 29, Marco Rubio is getting closer and closer to Donald Trump and Ted Cruz in the voting intentions in Iowa. So Rubio's presidential campaign decided to intensify its efforts in Iowa in order to win that state. The Florida Senator targets the Polk county (Des Moines' location), the Woodbury county (which seat is Sioux City), the Linn county (where Cedar Rapids is located), the Scott county (Davenport's county) and all the rural counties neighboring these urban counties.

Since agriculture is Iowa's main economic activity, Rubio promises, on campaign trail, to boost America's agriculture by cutting taxes for businesses, including tractor and seed companies, to help them to innovate and to manufacture more tractors and seeds in order to create jobs, improve agricultural technologies, ensure Iowa's and America's subsistence. This agenda is reiterated in an ad titled « Prosperity and subsistence » and that airs in Iowa, New Hampshire and South Carolina.

« Prosperity and subsistence » advertisement narration :
Narrator :
In this time of economic stagnation, the American people, including farmers, are struggling to recover and to prosper. Many farmers lost their jobs and rising inflation raised the cost of buying agricultural products, which hurts agricultural businesses. We need to reverse this situation. Marco Rubio has a plan to help farmers.






As President, Marco Rubio will cut taxes for businesses, including tractor and seed companies, to help them to innovate and to manufacture more tractors and seeds, which will boost job creation, improve agricultural technologies, ensure Iowa's and America's subsistence, reduce the food prices through the reduction of inflation and reduce Americans' dependence on food stamps, which will reinforce their purchasing power and give them more access to food. That's how we're going to make sure that the American people will live better lives by finding good-paying jobs, fulfilling their food needs and accomplishing their agricultural activities.

Marco Rubio for prosperity and subsistence!




Marco Rubio : I'm Marco Rubio and I approve this message.

In an effort to attract Iowa's evangelical voters, Rubio's campaign broadcasts an ad that describes the Florida Senator's plan to defend the freedom of religion. The ad titled « Fight for Liberty » airs in Iowa and South Carolina.

« Fight for liberty » advertisement narration :





Narrator : Fighting terrorism is necessary not only to ensure international security and to save innocent lives but also to defend freedom of religion. In the Middle East, ISIS is persecuting Christians and Muslims who are not sharing their views and even beheaded many of them.



It's in violation of freedom of religion, an important wall defending justice, freedom, democracy as well as gender equity and an important element of the First Amendment to the United States Constitution. If we take military action in the Middle East, we will not only destroy terrorism and reinforce security as well as innocent lives but also save Middle East Christians from persecution, which will save freedom of religion, freedom of speech, freedom of the press, the right to peaceably assemble and the right to petition.

If you want freedom to be maintained and your values to be defended here and abroad, I'm asking for your support.



Marco Rubio : I'm Marco Rubio and I approve this message.


In an effort to attract Iowa voters who selected the economy as the most important issue, Rubio's campaign broadcasts an attack ad against Ted Cruz on his VAT tax plan in order to question Cruz's conservative credentials while describing Rubio's economic plan. The ad titled « Principled Fiscal Conservative » airs in Iowa.

« Principled Fiscal Conservative » advertisement narration :


Narrator : Iowa is a great example of America's economic prosperity and opportunity.


CNBC's list of "Top States for Business in 2010" has ranked Iowa as the sixth best state in the nation. Scored in 10 individual categories, Iowa was ranked 1st when it comes to the cost of doing business, 12th when it comes to business friendliness, 16th in education, 17th in both the cost of living and the quality of life, 20th in workforce, 29th in technology and innovation and 32nd in transportation.


While Forbes Magazine ranked Des Moines among the top 10 of the best places in America to do business, it ranked this city at the first place in 2010 and 2013, which means that Des Moines was described as the best place to do business in the United States. This is mostly due to strong educational attainment (with 36 % of Des Moines' population who has a college degree and 92 % of this city's population who possesses a high school diploma) and also because energy costs here are 22 % below the national average, the cost of living in Des Moines is 10 % below the national average and business costs here are 18 % below the national average. Economic growth here outpaced the U.S. as a whole by 68 % since 2010. Here is an example of this matter of fact : Des Moines is a major center for the insurance industry and has a sizable financial services and publishing business base. And Des Moines is the headquarters for the Principal Financial Group, Meredith Corp., Ruan Transportation, EMC Insurance, Wellmark Blue Cross Blue Shield, MidAmerican Energy Company and Firestone Agricultural Tire Company.

So Des Moines is a great symbol of America's prosperity coming from free enterprise and free market as well as ingenuity, hard-work and entrepreneurship of the American people. Prosperity does not come from big government policies.



But unfortunately, Ted Cruz seeks to impose a value added tax like they have in Canada and European socialist countries, which will be harmful to new and marginal business activities, make America a harder place to do business and plummet consumerism by taxing it, thus hurting consumers' purchasing power and decrease businesses' competitiveness and their ability to produce, to sell and to create jobs.



Obama and Pelosi said they're open to a value added tax. President Reagan opposed it. No wonder that conservatives called the Cruz scheme a liberal's dream because it makes it so easy to raise taxes.


As Marco Rubio understands, Iowa represents an example of the importance of making America the best place in the world to do business, a goal that requires fully utilizing our energy resources, bringing our debt under control, repealing and replacing Obamacare, making higher education faster and easier to access, promoting free trade, reducing the cost of doing business in America and cutting taxes and regulations on the American people and on business owners, which will bring a stronger purchasing power to our people and increase our businesses' ability to grow, to expand, to produce, to sell and to create jobs.



These are all policies that Marco Rubio will adopt as President of the United States. As a member of the U.S. Senate Committee on Small Business and Entrepreneurship and of the U.S. Senate Committee on Commerce, Science and Transportation, he is candidate who has the best experience to ensure job creation, to make America the best place in the world to open and expand a business and to lead our country to permanent prosperity and opportunity.

So Iowa, for the sake of a new American prosperity and a New American Century, vote Rubio on Monday.




Marco Rubio : I'm Marco Rubio and I approve this message.

Rubio's foreign policy speech in Cedar Rapids, Iowa :

Iran wants Israel's death, which means a genocide against Judaism. That's why we can't let Iran getting nuclear weapons not only because it will threat international peace and security but also because it will represent a threat to freedom of religion, a basic element of the First Amendment to the Constitution of the United States alongside freedom of the press and freedom of the speech. That's why we need more sanctions against Tehran to make sure Iran won't get the necessary capitals to develop it's nuclear program. That's why we have to reinforce our defense relations with our local allies by creating an intergovernmental military alliance that I call the « South-Western Asia Defense Alliance » (that would include America, Turkey, Iraq, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Yemen, Jordan, Israel, Afghanistan, Pakistan and India) not only to fight jihadism in the Middle East but also to increase pressure on Iran and prevent it from pursuing its nuclear program. We need strength and collaboration with our allies if we want peace and we need peace to ensure liberty's defense.




In the days preceding the Iowa caucuses, Rubio receives endorsements from the Des Moines Register and Iowa Senator Joni Ernst, which could help him winning Iowa. In addition, Colorado Senator Cory Gardner announced his endorsement to Senator Rubio and campaigns for him in Iowa.
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UWS
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #5 on: February 24, 2017, 11:40:19 PM »
« Edited: March 25, 2019, 04:16:30 PM by UWS »

The Washington Post
Iowa caucuses

Political Geography: Tales from the campaign trail





                       The North
                         Ted Cruz focused on the northern corner of Iowa, an evangelical stronghold. But he's not alone in this region since Ben Carson is also competing there and Iowa caucus winners Mike Huckabee (2008) and Rick Santorum (2012) are hoping to repeat their successes.
↓↘

 The East
                                                                                                                  
                     Donald Trump hopes to make gains in the North in order to split Ted Cruz's  support   among evangelicals. He focused on eastern Iowa where he hopes to do well among mainstream voters.
                                                                                                          ↙↓

                                                                                                                                                                    ↖↑↗                                                        
                                                  

Border towns, businessmen and agricultural counties
Marco Rubio focused mostly on center, western and eastern Iowa, heavily Republican areas with active business communities, agricultural industries and evangelicals.

Nowhere men
Due to their poor showing in the Iowa polls, moderate candidates such as Jeb Bush, John Kasich and Chris Christie decided to skip Iowa to focus more on New Hampshire, a friendlier state where much less evangelical voters will be voting unlike Iowa.

Next up : the Iowa caucuses
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UWS
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #6 on: February 25, 2017, 07:15:16 AM »

IOWA CAUCUSES, 2016
PART 1

CNN America's Choice theme : https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6uvpd4myQXs



« Good evening ladies and gentlemen, I'm Wolf Blitzer in the CNN Election center and I have John King and Anderson Cooper accompanying me. Welcome to the coverage of the 2016 Iowa caucuses that are announcing very hot. Will Iowa maintain Donald Trump's momentum or will it undermine it and give other candidates a new boost. Iowans are gathering across the state for the leadoff contest at the presidential contest.

Blitzer : « It's 8 pm. Based on the entrance polls, it looks like it's a three-man race on the Republican side : Donald Trump, Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio. Ted Cruz in the lead thanks to massive support among evangelicals in Iowa's northern counties. »


Iowa Republican caucuses (1 % reported) - 30 delegates

Ted Cruz : 30 %
Donald Trump : 27 %
Marco Rubio : 19 %
Ben Carson : 10 %
Rand Paul : 5 %
Jeb Bush : 4 %
Mike Huckabee : 3 %
John Kasich : 1 %
Carly Fiorina : 2 %
Chris Christie : 1 %
Rick Santorum : 1 %
Jim Gilmore : 0 %
Undecided : 1 %

Blitzer : « On the Democratic side, look how close it's getting right now : 47 % of the vote for Hillary Clinton and 45 % for Bernie Sanders. Martin O'Malley is now distant third with only 1 % of the vote. Hillary Clinton's lead in Iowa is due to her dominance in Iowa's center counties, including in Des Moines while Bernie Sanders seems to do well in more rural counties. »

Iowa Democratic caucuses (1 % reported) - 51 delegates

Hillary Clinton : 47 %
Bernie Sanders : 45 %
Martin O'Malley : 1 %
Undecided : 7 %

Blitzer : « It's 8 : 30 pm. Donald Trump is catching Ted Cruz as he's leading right now in the Woodburry county (home to Sioux City). But Marco Rubio is making progress as he takes the lead in the Polk county (Des Moines' location) as well as all the neighboring counties, including the Jasper county (Newton's location) and the Story county (Ames' location). His last minute appeal to evangelical and rural voters seems to be effective. »


Iowa Republican caucuses (25 % reported) - 30 delegates

Ted Cruz : 27 %
Donald Trump : 27 %
Marco Rubio : 22 %
Ben Carson : 11 %
Rand Paul : 5 %
Jeb Bush : 2 %
Mike Huckabee : 2 %
John Kasich : 1 %
Carly Fiorina : 1 %
Chris Christie : 1 %
Rick Santorum : 1 %
Jim Gilmore : 0 %

Blitzer : « Bernie Sanders is now trailing Hillary Clinton by only one percentage point as he takes the lead in the Woodbury county and in the north of Des Moines. »

Iowa Democratic caucuses (25 % reported) - 51 delegates

Hillary Clinton : 48 %
Bernie Sanders : 47 %
Martin O'Malley : 1 %
Undecided : 4 %

Blitzer : « It's 9 pm. Marco Rubio and Donald Trump are battling for the second place. The Florida Senator is making progress in eastern Iowa as he wins the Johnson county (Iowa City's location), the Linn county (Cedar Rapids' location), the Scott county (Davenport's home) and the Muscatine county. »


Iowa Republican caucuses (50 % reported) - 30 delegates

Ted Cruz : 26 %
Donald Trump : 25 %
Marco Rubio : 25 %
Ben Carson : 10 %
Rand Paul : 4 %
Jeb Bush : 2 %
Mike Huckabee : 2 %
John Kasich : 1 %
Carly Fiorina : 1 %
Chris Christie : 1 %
Rick Santorum : 1 %
Jim Gilmore : 1 %
Undecided : 1 %

Blitzer : « Hillary Clinton increases her lead as she dominates in Iowa's southern counties. »

Iowa Democratic caucuses (50 % reported) - 51 delegates

Hillary Clinton : 50 %
Bernie Sanders : 48 %
Martin O'Malley : 1 %
Undecided : 1 %


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UWS
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #7 on: February 25, 2017, 07:16:30 AM »
« Edited: September 03, 2019, 08:36:41 AM by UWS »

IOWA CAUCUSES, 2016
PART 2

Blitzer : « It's 9 : 30 pm. Marco Rubio rises to the top. The Florida Senator takes the lead with 27 % of the vote, edging Ted Cruz and Donald Trump as he wins the Dubuque county (home to Dubuque). Rubio also wins most of the counties around the Woodbury county, Sioux City's county, such as the Ida county, the Cherokee county, the Sioux county and the O'Brien county.»

Iowa Republican caucuses (75 % reported) - 30 delegates

Marco Rubio : 27 %
Ted Cruz : 25 %
Donald Trump : 24 %
Ben Carson : 10 %
Rand Paul : 4 %
Jeb Bush : 2 %
Mike Huckabee : 2 %
John Kasich : 1 %
Carly Fiorina : 1 %
Chris Christie : 1 %
Rick Santorum : 1 %
Jim Gilmore : 0,5 %
Undecided : 1,5 %

Blitzer : « Uh. Anderson, you seem to have something important to tell us? »

Cooper : « Yeah. Ted Cruz's presidential campaign announced that retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson dropped out of the race after his poor showing in the Iowa caucuses. Now we have to see to which candidate Ben Carson's withdrawal will benifit. »


Blitzer : « Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders are in a dead heat as they are sharing supremacy in Iowa's eastern and the western counties. »

Iowa Democratic caucuses (75 % reported) - 51 delegates

Hillary Clinton : 50 %
Bernie Sanders : 50 %
Martin O'Malley : 0 %

Blitzer : « It's 10 pm and CNN projects that Marco Rubio, the Republican Florida Senator, will win the Iowa Republican caucuses. This is a major win for Marco Rubio he has done remarkably well. We never thought he could win this state, we expected him to finish a distant third, but he finished at the top due to his last minute efforts among evangelicals, farmers, mainstream voters and business communities. So Marco Rubio wins the Iowa Republican caucuses with 28 % of the vote, beating Ted Cruz who got 27 % of the vote. »

Iowa Republican caucuses (100 % reported) - 30 delegates

Marco Rubio : 28 % ✔
Ted Cruz : 27 %
Donald Trump : 22 %
Ben Carson : 8 %
Rand Paul : 4 %
Jeb Bush : 2 %
Mike Huckabee : 2 %
John Kasich : 2 %
Carly Fiorina : 2 %
Chris Christie : 1 %
Rick Santorum : 1 %
Jim Gilmore : 1 %

MARCO RUBIO WINS THE IOWA REPUBLICAN CAUCUSES

King : « So Rubio's surprising victory in Iowa risks of hurting Donald Trump badly since Trump came only third behind Cruz and Rubio. »

Cooper : « And that's also a major failure for Senator Cruz who counted on the evangelical vote to obtain victory in Iowa, but it did not work for him.

Blitzer : « Now CNN can project that former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton narrowly wins the Iowa Democratic caucuses with 50 % of the vote over Bernie Sanders' 49 % eight years after a humiliating defeat in favor of Barack Obama whose victory in the 2008 Iowa caucuses boosted him and propelled him to the Democratic nomination. At that time, Clinton finished not second but third behind John Edwards and Barack Obama. Now, Hillary Clinton won the Iowa Democratic caucuses, but it's close and the race is only at the begining. »

Iowa Democratic caucuses (100 % reported) - 51 delegates

Hillary Clinton : 50 % ✔
Bernie Sanders : 49 %
Martin O'Malley : 1 %

HILLARY CLINTON WINS THE IOWA DEMOCRATIC CAUCUSES

Blitzer : « Now CNN can report the delegate allocation to all the presidential candidates after the results of the Iowa caucuses : »

Iowa Republican caucuses (100 % reported) - 30 delegates

Marco Rubio : 28 % ✔ - 8 delegates
Ted Cruz : 27 % - 7 delegates
Donald Trump : 22 % - 7 delegates
Ben Carson : 8 % - 3 delegates
Rand Paul : 4 % - 1 delegate
Jeb Bush : 2 % - 1 delegate
Carly Fiorina : 2 % - 1 delegate
John Kasich : 2 % - 1 delegate
Mike Huckabee : 2 % - 1 delegate
Chris Christie : 1 % - 0 delegate
Rick Santorum : 1 % - 0 delegate
Jim Gilmore : 1 % - 0 delegate

Iowa Democratic caucuses (100 % reported) - 51 delegates

Hillary Clinton : 50 % ✔ - 29 delegates
Bernie Sanders : 49 % -22 delegates
Martin O'Malley : 1 % - 0 delegate

Cooper : « In addition, Mike Huckabee announced that he withdraws from the race. It's the same for Martin O'Malley on the Democratic side. »

King : « Even Senator Rand Paul dropped out of the race after disapointing results so he can fully focus on his re-election bid to the Senate. Rick Santorum too ended his campaign. »

MIKE HUCKABEE DROPS OUT OF THE RACE

RICK SANTORUM DROPS OUT OF THE RACE

RAND PAUL DROPS OUT OF THE RACE

MARTIN O'MALLEY DROPS OUT OF THE RACE
Blitzer : « Thank you ladies and gentlemen for following the coverage of the Iowa caucuses. We'll see you next week for the coverage of the New Hampshire primary. Have a good night. »


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« Reply #8 on: February 25, 2017, 01:20:05 PM »

Nice TL! How do you include the tick sign on election results, I haven't been able to figure it out!
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #9 on: February 25, 2017, 02:00:48 PM »
« Edited: July 15, 2020, 07:06:12 PM by UWS »

Nice TL! How do you include the tick sign on election results, I haven't been able to figure it out!

I found it on Microsoft Word among the signs. So if you have Microsoft Word, you can find it and copy/taste it.
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« Reply #10 on: February 25, 2017, 03:50:57 PM »
« Edited: March 20, 2019, 10:01:56 PM by UWS »

Republican Presidential Primaries - Map and Delegates Count


Marco Rubio : 8 delegates
Ted Cruz : 7 delegates
Donald Trump : 7 delegates
Ben Carson : 3 delegates
Jeb Bush : 1 delegate
Carly Fiorina : 1 delegate
John Kasich : 1 delegate
Chris Christie : 0 delegate
Jim Gilmore : 0 delegate
Rand Paul : 1 delegate
Mike Huckabee : 1 delegate
Rick Santorum : 0 delegate

2472 delegates in total
1237 delegates needed to win the nomination


Democratic Presidential Primaries - Map and Delegates Count


Hillary Clinton : 29 delegates
Bernie Sanders : 22 delegates
Martin O'Malley : 0 delegate

4763 delegates in total
2382 delegates needed to win the nomination
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« Reply #11 on: February 25, 2017, 04:44:26 PM »
« Edited: May 12, 2018, 06:34:09 AM by UWS »

Marco Rubio's victory speech in Iowa


Thank you, Iowa.

So this is the moment they said would never happen.

For months, for months they told us we had no chance. For months they told us because we offer too much optimism in a time of anger, we had no chance. For months they told us because we didn't have the right endorsements or the right political connections, we had no chance. They told me that we have no chance because my hair wasn't gray enough and my boots were too high. They told me I needed to wait my turn, that I needed to wait in line. But tonight, tonight here in Iowa, the people of this great state have sent a very great and clear message. After seven years of Barack Obama, we are not waiting any longer to take our country back.

This is not a time for waiting. For everything that makes this nation great now hangs in the balance. This is a time where we need a president that will preserve, protect the constitution of the United States. Not one that undermines, attacks, and ignores the constitution of the United States. This is a time for a president who will defend our Second Amendment rights. Not a president who undermines them. This is a time for a president that will rebuild the US military, because the world is a safer and a better place when the United States has the most powerful military in the world. This is no ordinary election. 2016 is not just a choice between two political parties. 2016 is a referendum. A referendum on our identity as a nation and as a people. In America, there are only two ways forward for us now.

We can either be greater than we've ever been or we can be a great nation in decline. Bernie Sanders or Hillary Clinton get elected, if they were to win, we will be a great nation in decline. If they win, Obamacare becomes permanent. If they win, these unconstitutional executive orders from this president become permanent. If they win, our military continues to decline. And if they win, the balance of our Supreme Court will be controlled by liberal justices for over a decade or longer. They cannot win.

Hillary Clinton is disqualified from being the president of the United States because she stored classified and sensitive information on her email server, because she thinks she's above the law. Anyone who lies to the families of people who lost their lives in service of this country can not be commander in chief of the United States. And so tonight I thank you here in Iowa. I thank you because tonight we have taken the first step, but an important step toward winning this election.

If I am our nominee — and I will be our nominee, thanks to what you have done here in this great state — when I am our nominee, we are going to unify this party, and we are going to unify the conservative movement. When I'm our nominee, we are going to grow the conservative movement. We're going to take our message to the people who are struggling paycheck to paycheck. To the students living under the burden of student loans. To the families struggling to raise their children with the right values, we will take our message to them and bring them to our side. When I am our nominee, we will defeat Hillary Clinton or Bernie Sanders or whoever they nominate.

I want to thank an all powerful and mighty God for the chance that he has given us to be a part of this endeavor here in Iowa. It's been a phenomenal experience. I want to thank my wife and my family. And I want to thank all of you for this contribution to our victory here in the Huckeye state.

I want to thank a good friend of mine, Gov. Mike Huckabee, for his service to our country. He's announced tonight he's suspending his campaign. We have tremendous admiration for Gov. Huckabee and we thank him for all he's done.

Two centuries ago an extraordinary generation living in one place at one time in America — colonists of an English colony — declared their independence from the most powerful empire in the world. They did it with the powerful words and principle that our rights come from our creator, they do not come from our government. And the rest is a two-century history of the most extraordinary nation known to mankind. I know America is special. I was raised to people who knew what life was like outside of America.

I was raised by people who came to this country with nothing, they barely spoke English at the time. They had no money. My father stopped going to school when he was nine years old, he had to go work.

He would never go back to school. He would work for the next 70 years of his life. My parents arrived in this country, they struggled. They were discouraged but they persevered. Less than a decade after they arrived here with nothing, my father a bartender on Miami beach, they owned a home. Not a mansion, but a safe and stable home in a safe and stable neighborhood. Decades later they would retire with dignity and security. And the most important thing of all for them, they left all four of their children with a life better than their own. This was the purpose of my parents' life: to give their kids, us, the chance to do all the things they never could.

That's not just my story. That's our story, that's America's story. That's the story of your parents — you know the stories of your parents who sacrificed and gave up so much so you could be what they could not. It's the story of those parents today who are doing the same for their children. It is this that makes America special. And this is what we fight now to preserve.

This is the kind of country that I want to leave for my children. This is the kind of country your children deserve to inherit as well. And this is what we must now decide. Whether we will remain that kind of country, or whether we will be the first generation to lose it. It's an important choice. And one that each generation before us has had to make. For America is not a special country by accident. America is a great nation. Because each generation before us did their part. Each generation before us sacrificed, they confronted their challenges, they embraced their opportunities, and for over two centuries, each generation has left the next better off than themselves.

Now the time has come for us to do the same. Now the moment has arrived for this generation of Americans to rise up to the calling of our heritage. Now the time has come for us to take our place and do what we must. And when I'm elected president of these great United States, we will do our part.

When I am elected president, when we together achieve this victory, we will embrace all the principles that made America great and we will apply them to the unique challenges of this new century. When our work is done, here is what history will say of this generation. It will say that we lived in the early years of this new century, in an uncertain and difficult time, but we remembered who we were. We rose up to the challenge of our time. We confronted our problems and solved them. Because they did, the American dream didn't just survive; it reached more people and changed more lives than ever before. Because we did, our children and grandchildren grew up to be the freest and most prosperous Americans that ever lived.

Because we did what needed to be done, the 21st century wasn't just as good as the 20th century, it was better. It was a new American century. This is the task before us. And I thank my lord and savior Jesus Christ, I thank God for allowing me the opportunity to come this far with each of you.

I am grateful to you, Iowa, you believed in me when others didn't think this night would be possible. When perhaps you were lost in the daily narrative, perhaps it was time to step aside, you believed in me. You walked with us, you made the calls and knocked on doors. You made a huge difference tonight. I will be back here in October of next year and September of this year because — I said next year, I'll be back next year too — but I'm going to be back in October and September of this year because when I'm our nominee, we are going to win Iowa, and we are going to win this election for this country. And so Iowa thank you so much. We will never forget you, we will see you soon again. And New Hampshire, we will see you in the morning. Thank you, God bless you. Thank you very much.
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« Reply #12 on: February 26, 2017, 07:36:36 AM »
« Edited: February 22, 2018, 03:20:43 PM by UWS »

CNN
Iowa Republican caucuses exit polls

Gender

                      Men (52 %)               Women (48 %)

Bush                  2 %                            3 %
Carson               8 %                            11 %
Christie              2 %                             2 %
Cruz                  27 %                          26 %
Fiorina               1 %                             2 %
Huckabee           2 %                             2 %
Kasich               2 %                              2 %
Paul                  5 %                              5 %
Rubio                28 %                            24 %
Santorum          1 %                              1 %
Trump               24 %                            23 %

Age

                     17-29 (12 %)              30-44 (16 %)         45-64 (46 %)         65 and older (27 %)

Bush                  1 %                            2 %                        2 %                         4 %
Carson               10 %                           6 %                       10 %                        10 %
Christie              2 %                             2 %                       2 %                          1 %
Cruz                  25 %                           29 %                      27 %                     26 %
Fiorina               1 %                             2 %                        2 %                         2 %
Huckabee           1 %                             1 %                        2 %                         2 %
Kasich               2 %                              2 %                        2 %                         2 %
Paul                  11 %                            7 %                         3 %                        2 %
Rubio                29 %                            28 %                       26 %                      25 %
Santorum          1 %                              0 %                         1 %                        1 %
Trump               18 %                            21 %                       24 %                      25 %

Race

                   White (97 %)              Non-white (3 %)
Bush                  2 %                             n/a                     
Carson               9 %                            n/a                       
Christie              2 %                              n/a                     
Cruz                  26 %                            n/a                   
Fiorina               2 %                              n/a                       
Huckabee           2 %                              n/a                       
Kasich               1 %                               n/a                       
Paul                  4 %                             n/a                         
Rubio                29 %                             n/a                       
Santorum          1 %                               n/a                         
Trump               22 %                             n/a
               
Ideology

       Very conservative (40 %)       Somewhat conservative (45 %)         Moderate (14 %)         
Bush                  1 %                            2 %                                           4 %                       
Carson               9 %                           11 %                                          6 %                       
Christie              1 %                             2 %                                          3 %                         
Cruz                  40 %                           18 %                                       8 %                       
Fiorina               2 %                             2 %                                          2 %                       
Huckabee           2 %                             2 %                                         1 %                         
Kasich               0 %                              2 %                                         6 %                         
Paul                  2 %                            5 %                                           5 %                       
Rubio                23 %                           33 %                                        33 %
Santorum          2 %                              1 %                                         0 %                       
Trump               19 %                            23 %                                       32 %

Most important issue

             Immigration (13 %)         Economy/Jobs (27 %)         Terrorism (25 %)        Govt. spending (32 %)

Bush                  1 %                            3 %                               1 %                         2 %
Carson               7 %                           9 %                               8 %                         11 %
Christie              1 %                             2 %                             2 %                         1 %
Cruz                  34 %                           17 %                           31 %                       26 %
Fiorina               1 %                             2 %                             1 %                         3 %
Huckabee           1 %                             1 %                            2 %                         2 %
Kasich               0 %                              3 %                            0 %                         2 %
Paul                  1 %                              4 %                              1 %                         9 %
Rubio                10 %                            35 %                        33 %                      24 %
Santorum          0 %                              1 %                           2 %                          1 %
Trump               44 %                            23 %                         19 %                       18 %

Top candidate quality

                     Can win (21 %)          Shares my values (42 %)    Tells it like it is (14 %) Can bring change (21%)

Bush                  2 %                            3 %                                          1 %                         2 %
Carson               1 %                           15 %                                         6 %                        8 %
Christie              1 %                             1%                                          3 %                          2 %
Cruz                  20 %                           35 %                                       10 %                     23 %
Fiorina               1 %                             2 %                                        3 %                         3 %
Huckabee           0 %                             2 %                                        0 %                         2 %
Kasich               2 %                              2 %                                       1 %                         2 %
Paul                  1 %                            6 %                                          3 %                        5 %
Rubio                49 %                            29 %                                      10 %                      22 %
Santorum          1 %                              2 %                                        0 %                        1 %
Trump               22 %                            4 %                                       62 %                      31 %
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« Reply #13 on: February 26, 2017, 08:07:00 AM »
« Edited: December 22, 2018, 02:49:32 PM by UWS »

New polls

Marco Rubio's victory in the Iowa caucuses boosted him in the polls and raised from third place to second place in the nationwide primary polls, thus considerably threatening Donald Trump's path to the nomination. So Rubio is likely to be the main target of all the other candidates from the establishment such as Jeb Bush, Chris Christie and John Kasich. If Rubio is to win the nomination, he will have to eliminate all the other establishment candidates as soon as possible. New Hampshire should be the state deciding who will be the favorite of the establishment. Rubio has to finish at least second in New Hampshire to keep his chances alive.

Nationwide polls

Republicans

Donald Trump : 40 %
Marco Rubio : 22 %
Ted Cruz : 21 %
John Kasich : 4 %
Jeb Bush : 3 %
Ben Carson : 3 %
Chris Christie : 3 %
Carly Fiorina : 2 %
Jim Gilmore : 1 %
Undecided : 1 %

Democrats

Hillary Clinton : 51 %
Bernie Sanders : 35 %
Undecided : 14 %

New Hampshire polls

Donald Trump : 30 %
Marco Rubio : 15 %
Ted Cruz : 11 %
John Kasich : 12 %
Jeb Bush : 10 %
Chris Christie : 6 %
Ben Carson : 4 %
Carly Fiorina : 3 %
Jim Gilmore : 0 %
Undecided : 9 %

Democrats

Bernie Sanders : 57 %
Hillary Clinton : 40 %
Undecided : 3 %

South Carolina polls

Republicans

Donald Trump : 34 %
Ted Cruz : 21 %
Marco Rubio : 19 %
Jeb Bush : 10 %
Ben Carson : 8 %
John Kasich : 2 %
Chris Christie : 1 %
Carly Fiorina : 1 %
Jim Gilmore : 0 %
Undecided : 4 %

Nevada polls

Democrats

Hillary Clinton : 45 %
Bernie Sanders : 45 %
Undecided : 10 %

Nevada polls

Republicans

Donald Trump : 34 %
Marco Rubio : 19 %
Ted Cruz : 16 %
Ben Carson : 9 %
Jeb Bush : 5 %
John Kasich : 4 %
Carly Fiorina : 3 %
Chris Christie : 2 %
Jim Gilmore : 1 %
Undecided : 5 %

South Carolina polls

Democrats

Hillary Clinton : 59 %
Bernie Sanders : 40 %
Undecided : 1 %
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« Reply #14 on: February 26, 2017, 08:34:52 AM »
« Edited: March 26, 2019, 06:24:51 PM by UWS »

On the campaign trail

Marco Rubio's endorsements are multiplying


After his victory in the Iowa Republican caucuses, Marco Rubio received many endorsements, notably from two former rivals for the Republican nomination : Bobby Jindal, former Louisiana Governor, and Rick Santorum, former Pennsylvania Senator. He's also endorsed by South Carolina Senator Tim Scott, wich could help Senator Rubio in the South Carolina primary in two and a half weeks. Pennsylvania Senator Pat Toomey also announced his endorsement to Marco Rubio. The Florida Senator is even endorsed by Congressman Trey Gowdy, one of the most conservative Representatives from South Carolina.

Donald Trump blasts Ted Cruz for « lying » about Ben Carson


On the campaign trail in New Hampshire, Donald Trump slammed Ted Cruz by accusing him of orchestrating dirty tricks during the Iowa caucuses :

Donald Trump : Yesterday, during the Iowa caucuses, not before or after, Ted Cruz said that my friend Dr. Ben Carson dropped out of the race, so many people voted for Ted instead of Ben. But you know what, Ben Carson is still in the race. He did not dropped out.

So Ted Cruz lied about Ben Carson during the Iowa caucuses in order to win more votes, hoping that it would help him winning the Iowa caucuses. But it did not work for him because despite of Ted's, I mean Lyin' Ted's dirty tricks, Marco Rubio won this state and topped Lyin' Ted. So remember how we henceforth should call Ted.


Crowd : Lyin' Ted, Lyin' Ted, Lyin' Ted (chant)

Donald Trump : So Lyin' Ted helds the Bible high, puts it down and then he starts lying. We will bring change in Washington, believe me, and the American people will no longer feel betrayed by career politicians.

John Kasich indicates that he would drop out of the race if he gets smoked in New Hampshire


After making poor performance in the Iowa Republican caucuses, Ohio Governor John Kasich indicated that he would drop out of the race if he doesn't finish at least third in New Hampshire.

« If we don't do well, we're not going to be dragging around like some band of minstrels who beg people to come to our show, » Kasich said at a Bloomberg Politics breakfast in Manchester, New Hampshire.
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« Reply #15 on: February 26, 2017, 09:17:21 AM »
« Edited: March 20, 2019, 10:23:47 PM by UWS »

Fifth Democratic presidential debate



Date : February 4, 2016

Place : Durham, New Hampshire

Host : NBC News

Moderators : Chuck Todd and Rachel Maddow

Podium order :

                                
Sanders          Clinton


Question from Chuck Todd : Three days ago, Senator Marco Rubio surprisingly won the Iowa Republican caucuses and is making progress in the polls. Now he raised in second place in Republican national polls and in the New Hampshire primary polls, thus becoming Donald Trump's main rival for the Republican nomination. So let me ask you the following question : assuming that Marco Rubio becomes the Republican nominee, what will be the main argument you would use against him if you're the Democratic nominee? Secretary Clinton you go first.


Hillary Clinton : Well Chuck, during all my career, I've been tested over and over again whether it's as First Lady of the United States, as Senator of New York or as Secretary of State and thanks to my leadership, we improved social services for everyday Americans and we led an effective fight against terrorism. Senator Rubio does not have the national security experience to lead this nation. Now he's missing many Senate votes in order to focus on his campaign, which means that he's missing occasions to take a position on very important issues.

Chuck Todd : Senator Sanders?

Bernie Sanders : First of all, Secretary, I don't think that attacking Senator Rubio on his vote record will be enough to win the White House. Do you remember during the third Republican primary debate in Colorado last October when Jeb Bush used this argument against Senator Rubio? This attack backfired because Rubio slammed Bush for using this argument only against politicians running for the same office while Governor Bush did not complained about John McCain's vote record when Senator McCain was running in 2008. So if you're running against Rubio as the Democratic nominee, he could turn this argument against you because when you were Senator, you missed many votes as well when you were running in 2008. I don't even remember you complaining about Barack Obama's vote record in 2008 or about John Kerry's vote record in 2004.

But let's come back to your question Chuck. Senator Rubio's positions are very conservative : he's against abortion on every circumstance, he's in favor of free trade and oil drilling. He's in favor of sending ground troops in the Middle East to fight terrorism, which will be a disastrous for stability in the Middle East. Senator Rubio is sharing positions with Secretary Clinton because, Secretary, you voted in favor of military intervention in Iraq in 2002, you supported the military intervention in Libya in 2011 as Senator Rubio did while I opposed it. When you were Secretary of State, you supported the Trans-Pacific Partnership as Senator Rubio did while I opposed it because unlike you I will always defend our workers. When it comes to energy, you remained unclear about energy issues because you did not answer the question on whether you would be in favor of a carbon tax, which Senator Rubio, of course, opposes. I'm in favor of it and I will make sure that we put fossil energies aside and ensure energy independent through developping green energies. You remained unclear on whether you would raise the minimum wage to 15 $/hour, which Senator Rubio opposes and which I support.

So let me say this, Secretary, if you are too similar to conservatives, how can we trust you to lead this party? How can you lead us to victory?

That's why I should be the nominee because my nomination will bring all progressives and liberals voters, which will help us defeating whoever the Republicans will chose as their nominee, even Senator Rubio.


Who won the debate?

Bernie Sanders : 65 %
Hillary Clinton : 35 %
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« Reply #16 on: February 26, 2017, 09:44:25 AM »
« Edited: March 21, 2019, 08:29:03 AM by UWS »

Marco Rubio's schedule in New Hampshire

February 2, 2016

Education policy speech - University of New Hampshire, Manchester, New Hampshire



We are a nation of immigrants and diversity is a good reputation for America. We need to make sure they can be integrated while our borders are secured. I was raised paycheck to paycheck and many immigrant families are living paycheck to paycheck so their kids don't have the same chance as other families to have the skills to succeed in America's schools.

The America my parents came to 60 years ago was one where you could find a middle income job even without a higher education. That is how they succeeded to the middle class, working as a bartender and a maid. But they desperately wanted their children to have even more than that. Giving us the chance at a better life was their American Dream. My parents did not make enough to save for our education. But I managed to use Pell grants, student loans, work study and summer jobs to pay for a four-year degree and eventually law school.

Not all college majors have the same success rate in terms of students' connection with good jobs. At the national level, majors like business, liberal arts, and hospitality have underemployment rates at 50 percent if not more. There are more graduates than jobs in these sectors. Meanwhile, engineering, health services and education all have underemployment rates under 25 percent. It's imperative that we reverse this tendency.

We need to promote school choice, which will cost families, including these immigrant families living paycheck to paycheck, less and produce higher outcomes compared to public education. It will grant parents the power to orientate their children out of poorly-performing schools assigned by zip code and look for better education elsewhere. It will expand opportunities for low-income students—especially minorities—to attend high-quality schools that would otherwise be accessible only to higher-income families, thus increasing their chances of success and of entry into the workforce.

China & India graduate more science & engineering PhDs, which is boosting their innovation knowledge faster than ours, boosting their industries and helping them creating much more new businesses and jobs than we do. So we need to increase education investing to make it easier to create the jobs of tomorrow and help students studying in business administration or in engineering to create, open and develop new businesses that will create more jobs thanks to increased knowledge. New Hampshire can be proud of one of its remarkable families : the Sununu family, a great and honorable family of innovators that is prominent in the fields of business and politics represents a great example of job creation and prosperity through knowledge. Let's give all American people this chance.

That's how we will create the good-paying jobs of tomorrow and strengthen America's reputation as the land of opportunity.

That's what we can call the knowledge economy. We must put our children's needs first, ahead of the teacher unions' interests. School choice will give a chance for all Americans to accomplish the American Dream. By investing in education, we will create more companies and remain the number one country in the world in terms of job creation.

Thank you! Que Dios bendiga los Estados Unidos de América!


February 3, 2016

After learning that John Kasich would drop out of the race if he doesn't finish at least third in New Hampshire, Rubio's presidential campaign decided to produce negative ads against Kasich in order to drown him in the Granite State. So the Florida Senator's campaign orchestrated ad filmings during the day.

In the same day, Rubio makes debate preparations because he's certain that he will be one of the main targets during the next debate in Goffstown, NH, since he won the Iowa caucuses.

February 4, 2016

Senator Rubio's presidential campaign broadcasted an ad attacking Governor Kasich on comments during an interview in 2006. At that time Kasich said during this interview that « no matter if George W. Bush or John Kerry won the 2004 US presidential election, America will be fine ». The ad titled « Lack of judgement and leadership » airs in New Hampshire.

« Lack of judgement and leadership » advertisement narration :

During an interview in 2006, John Kasich showed that lack of judgement, especially on national security.




John Kasich's quote during the interview :  « If Kerry OR Bush wins, America will be fine. »

No, Governor!




If John Kerry won the 2004 presidential election, America would not have been fine. Under a Kerry presidency the government would have got bigger and bigger, taxes on the American people would have been raised, we would have been much more dependent on foreign oil due to higher taxes on energy industries, government spending would have considerably expanded, the deficit would have been much higher today and President Kerry would have imposed protectionism, thus making us less competitive in the world economy. Many American jobs would have been lost under a Kerry administration.



On national security, if John Kerry was elected President, our defense budget would have been reduced, thus decreasing our troops' readiness, which would have encouraged terrorists to commit more attacks against us and our allies. Osama Bin Laden would still have been on the run today, Al Qaida would have won and democracy would have been in much stronger danger around the world.

We need to cut taxes for all the American people and business owners in order to make them able to hire and to reinforce our consumers' purchasing power. We have to encourage oil drilling in order to make us energy independent and to develop renewable energies with a part of the revenues from oil drilling. We need to promote free trade to make us competitive in the world economy through lower tarifs. We must cut government spending and balance our budget.

We have to increase our military spending, which will help us modernizing our military and to fight terrorism more effectively.

That's what Marco Rubio will do as President of the United States.



So the choice for this election is clear : lack of judgement and risky ideas or proven leadership.



I'm Marco Rubio and I approve this message.
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« Reply #17 on: February 26, 2017, 11:33:05 AM »

Wow Rubio, are you seriously invoking John Kerry? A secretary of state that hasn't been relevant for 12 years?
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« Reply #18 on: February 26, 2017, 12:10:21 PM »
« Edited: May 20, 2019, 09:01:32 AM by UWS »

Eighth Republican presidential primary debate


Date : February 6, 2016

Place : Saint Anselm College in Goffstown, New Hampshire

Host : ABC News

Moderators :  David Muir and Martha Raddatz

Podium order based on the candidates' standing in the polls :

Kasich   Bush   Cruz   Trump   Rubio   Carson   Christie


Chris Christie : The fact is that what we need to have in this country is not to make the same mistake we made eight years ago. The fact is it does matter when you have to make decisions and be held accountable for them. It does matter when the challenges don't come on a list of a piece of paper of what to vote yes or no every day, but when the problems come in from the people that you serve.

I like Marco Rubio, and he's a smart person and a good guy, but he simply does not have the experience to be president of the United States and make these decisions. We've watched it happen, everybody. For the last seven years, the people of New Hampshire are smart. Do not make the same mistake again.


Marco Rubio: Well, I think the experience is not just what you did, but how it worked out. Under Chris Christie's governorship of New Jersey, they've been downgraded nine times in their credit rating. This country already has a debt problem, we don't need to add to it by electing someone who has experience at running up and destroying the credit rating of his state.

And let me tell you this, Chris : President Obama did not fail because of his experience. He failed because of his ideas that weakened our national defense, encouraged our ennemies, weakened free enterprise through bigger government, higher and excessive regulations and higher taxes that weakened the American people's purchasing power.

As President, I will do exactly the opposite by reinforcing our military, cutting taxes for all the American people and encouraging free enterprise.

And leadership means taking the right decisions and that's exactly what I did through my career in the Senate by approving sanctions against the Hezbollah, reforming the VA, military intervention in Libya that contributed to Gaddafi's fall, by supporting recent free trade deals such as the Trans-Pacific Partnership and by voting in favor of the crusade we are leading against ISIS in the Middle East. I took all these decisions for the good of the American people. So don't question my leadership, that's not a badge of honor.


APPLAUSE

[...]



Martha Raddatz : Governor Kasich, Senator Rubio recently attacked you for your statement during an interview in 2006 during which you said, I quote : « If Kerry OR Bush wins, America will be fine. » What did you mean by that?

John Kasich : What I meant is that our party was still controlling both chambers of the Congress, the Senate and the House of the Representatives. So the Congress would have been able to block any policy put in place by a Kerry administration if these policies' eventual results would not have been good for the American people whether it's on economic issues or foreign policy issues. And if the 2008 Financial crisis ere still to happen, then the Democrats would have been blamed for this, not the Republicans.



Marco Rubio : Well Governor, even if our party controlled both houses of the Congress under a Kerry administration, John Kerry would still have used his veto in order to pass his policies, which would not have been good for our country. When it comes to the 2008 financial crisis, one of the reasons why it happened is because we lost the 2006 midterm elections, so the Democrats were able to block any policy that President Bush put in place in order to grow the US economy. As a result, we remained dependent on foreign oil, government spending raised, our deficit got bigger and our budget remained unbalanced.

If Kerry became President in 2004, international terrorism would have been stronger, much more innocent people would be dead today and we would have lost the War on Terror. Kerry's liberal agenda would have destroyed the economy and killed many American jobs or overshipped them overseas.

We can't afford to elect at the White House another man with judgement deficit like Barack Obama. We need a leader that will bring America to a safer, more prosperous and brighter future. And I believe I am that leader.


APPLAUSE

Who won the debate
Marco Rubio : 34 %
Ted Cruz : 27 %
Jeb Bush : 16 %
John Kasich : 9 %
Chris Christie : 7 %
Donald Trump : 5 %
Ben Carson : 2 %
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« Reply #19 on: February 26, 2017, 04:31:13 PM »
« Edited: March 21, 2019, 02:26:18 PM by UWS »

On the campaign trail

Chris Sununu endorses Marco Rubio


Yesterday, during a rally in Concord, New Hampshire, Chris Sununu, son of former New Hampshire Governor John H. Sununu and Republican candidate for Governor of New Hampshire, announced that he gives his endorsement to Senator Marco Rubio. Here are some quotes from his speech :

Marco Rubio will keep the American Dream alive by reforming our immigration system, by fixing our education system to make it more accessible to the American people, by getting us energy independence to allow us to develop alternative energies, by making American businesses competitive, by cutting taxes for all Americans including the middle class, by standing with our precious allies and by modernizing our military. He has both the right economic background and the right foreign policy background to lead our nation to success, security, victory and unity.

Jeb Bush slams John Kasich


Yesterday in Durham, New Hampshire, former Florida Governor Jeb Bush echoes Marco Rubio's recent attacks against John Kasich. Here the some parts of his speech :

I l like Governor Kasich, but we need to tell things like they are. My friend Senator Rubio is right : my brother kept us safe. After 9/11, he drastically increased defense budget, which helped us reinforcing our military and to reinforce our alliances. As a result, we overthrowed the Taliban regime, killed many of Al Qaida's leaders, including Osama Bin Laden (even if it's under Barack Obama), overthrowed Saddam Hussein, restored democracy in Afghanistan and Iraq.

And if we kept the majority in the Congress in 2006, under my brother's presidency, we could have avoided the 2008 Financial crisis by taking advantage of all of our resources, including oil, gas, coal, nuclear, wind, solar, etc. By pursuing tax cuts, our people's purchasing power would have been stronger, thus avoiding stronger unemployment rate as it happened in 2008.

That's why if I'm President I will accomplish what my brother couldn't have.


Marco Rubio delivers a speech about his plan for renewable energy develoment speech at  the Seabrook Nuclear Power Plant


We first have to clinch energy independence through increased oil drilling and production, which will reduce our dependence on foreign oil, boost America's automobile industry and deprive terrorists and dictarors in the Middle East of providing money from oil imports. Energy independence will also bring massive job creation in America and give us enough funds, which a part will be invested into the development of alternative and renewable energies, especially nuclear, solar, wind and hydrolelectricity, which will allow us to create jobs and to reduce our ecological footprint. The Energy Information Administration reported that New Hampshire's energy consumption and per capita energy consumption are among the lowest in the country. We need to increase it if we want to create new jobs. New Hampshire represents a perfect example of this desire to develop the electric industry since the Seabrook Nuclear Power Plant is the largest nuclear reactor in New England and provides about 30 % of New Hampshire's electricity. I have a plan to boost our electric industry as well as our nuclear industry. I support an expansion of the Quebec–New England Electric Power Transmission (also called Northern Pass Transmission) to create new American jobs and develop new electric technologies that will help us creating more jobs. I will also, as President of the United States, in the World Economic Forum in Davos (Switzerland) woo French investors with electric industry skills in order to help our electric and nuclear industries growing thanks to nuclear technologies adopted by France, one of our greatest partners and one of the greatest electric powers in the world. That way, not only new American jobs will be created, but more Americans will have access to electricity.
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« Reply #20 on: February 26, 2017, 04:41:10 PM »

These presidential candidates need to quit indulging in alternate history.
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« Reply #21 on: February 27, 2017, 06:30:26 AM »
« Edited: March 25, 2019, 04:17:10 PM by UWS »

The Washington Post
New Hampshire primary

Political Geography: Tales from the campaign trail

Working-class south                                                                  
With his populist and protectionist message, Donald Trump
is appealing among blue-collar workers in southern and center New Hampshire.
↓↘                                                                            

Conservative core
Even though New Hampshire is less friendly for Ted Cruz than Iowa due to lower evangelical base, Ted Cruz is hoping to do well here to gain momentum in South Carolina.

                                 
 ↖↑↗
                               
                                          
McCain/Romney terrain
New Hampshire's southern counties including Concord, Manchester, etc., seem friendly for establishment candidates like Marco Rubio. From 2000 to 2012, these counties voted massively in favor of John McCain and Mitt Romney. So the Florida Senator targeted this part of the Granite State. But other establishment candidates like Jeb Bush, John Kasich and Chris Christie are competing there as well.


Everywhere men
Jeb Bush, John Kasich and Chris Christie, desperatly in quest of establishment voters, are campaigning in all the four corners of New Hampshire, competing with Marco Rubio among that electoral base. For Jeb Bush, this primary is announced to be very crucial for his campaign because a surprise win or a strong finish here could boost him in South Carolina where his brother George W. Bush is still popular.
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« Reply #22 on: February 27, 2017, 07:37:03 AM »
« Edited: March 21, 2019, 02:28:19 PM by UWS »

NEW HAMPSHIRE PRIMARY, 2016
PART 1


CNN America's Choice theme : https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6uvpd4myQXs




« Good evening ladies and gentlemen, I'm Wolf Blitzer in the CNN Election Center. Welcome to the coverage of the 2016 New Hampshire primary, the first primary in state. »

Blitzer : « It's 8 pm. and we can project that Donald Trump is leading in the Cheshire county with 32 % of the vote over Marco Rubio's 16 %. »


New Hampshire Republican primary (1 % reported) - 23 delegates

Donald Trump : 33 %
Marco Rubio : 16 %
Ted Cruz : 12 %
Jeb Bush : 10 %
John Kasich : 9 %
Chris Christie : 7 %
Carly Fiorina : 7 %
Ben Carson : 5 %
Jim Gilmore : 1 %

Blitzer : « On the Democratic side, Bernie Sanders is largely leading Hillary Clinton in the Cheshire county with 66 % of the vote. »

New Hampshire Democratic primary (1 % reported) - 32 delegates

Democrats

Bernie Sanders : 66 %
Hillary Clinton : 34 %

Blitzer : « It's 8 : 30 pm and we can project that Donald Trump wins the Hillsborough county by 9 percentage points while Marco Rubio wins the Rockingham county, where his message for energy production seems to be working due to the location of the Seabrook Station Nuclear Power Plant there. »


New Hampshire Republican primary (25 % reported) - 23 delegates

Donald Trump : 28,33 %
Marco Rubio : 22 %
Ted Cruz : 12,33 %
Jeb Bush : 11,66 %
John Kasich : 8,66 %
Chris Christie : 7,33 %
Ben Carson : 2,66 %
Carly Fiorina : 6 %
Jim Gilmore : 1 %


Blitzer : « Bernie Sanders wins both the Rockingham and Hillsborough counties. »

New Hampshire Democratic primary (25 % reported) - 32 delegates

Democrats

Bernie Sanders : 60,66 %
Hillary Clinton : 39,34 %

Blitzer : « It's 9 pm . Donald Trump wins the Strafford and Belknap counties while Senator Rubio wins the Merrimack county. »

New Hampshire Republican primary (50 % reported) - 23 delegates

Donald Trump : 31 %
Marco Rubio : 19,83 %
Ted Cruz : 13 %
Jeb Bush : 11,66 %
John Kasich : 9,5 %
Chris Christie : 6,5 %
Carly Fiorina : 4,66 %
Ben Carson : 2,16 %
Jim Gilmore : 1 %

Blitzer : « On the Democratic side, Bernie Sanders sweeps all the three counties I just mentionned. »

New Hampshire Democratic primary (50 % reported) - 32 delegates

Democrats

Bernie Sanders : 61,66 %
Hillary Clinton : 38,34 %
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« Reply #23 on: February 27, 2017, 09:21:14 AM »
« Edited: May 20, 2019, 09:04:24 AM by UWS »

NEW HAMPSHIRE PRIMARY, 2016
PART 2


CNN America's Choice theme : https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6uvpd4myQXs

Blitzer : « It's 9 : 30 pm. Donald Trump wins the Strafford and Belknap counties while Senator Rubio wins the Merrimack county. Ted Cruz and Jeb Bush are battling for third place. »

New Hampshire Republican primary (75 % reported) - 23 delegates

Donald Trump : 30,44 %
Marco Rubio : 21,77 %
Ted Cruz : 12,55 %
Jeb Bush : 12,33 %
John Kasich : 9,77 %
Chris Christie : 6,44 %
Carly Fiorina : 4,11 %
Ben Carson : 1,88 %
Jim Gilmore : 1 %

Blitzer : « On the Democratic side, Bernie Sanders wins all the counties I just mentionned. »

New Hampshire Democratic primary (75 % reported) - 32 delegates

Democrats

Bernie Sanders : 63,44 %
Hillary Clinton : 36,56 %

Blitzer : « It's 10 pm. We can project that Donald Trump wins the New Hampshire primary with 31,4 % of the vote, followed by Marco Rubio with 21,4 % of the vote. »

New Hampshire Republican primary (100 % reported) - 23 delegates

Donald Trump : 31,4 % ✔ - 11 delegates
Marco Rubio : 21,4 % - 6 delegates
Ted Cruz : 12,5 % - 3 delegates
Jeb Bush : 12,2 % - 3 delegates
John Kasich : 9,6 % - 0 delegate
Chris Christie : 6,4 % - 0 delegate
Carly Fiorina : 3,9 % - 0 delegate
Ben Carson : 1,9 % - 0 delegate
Jim Gilmore : 1 % - 0 delegate

DONALD TRUMP WINS THE NEW HAMPSHIRE REPUBLICAN PRIMARY


Blitzer : « On the Democratic side, Bernie Sanders easily wins the New Hampshire Democratic primary with 64 % of the vote over Hillary Clinton's 36 %. »

New Hampshire Democratic primary (75 % reported) - 32 delegates

Democrats

Bernie Sanders : 64 % ✔ - 20 delegates
Hillary Clinton : 36 %- 12 delegates

BERNIE SANDERS WINS THE NEW HAMPSHIRE DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY

John King : « We just learned that Chris Christie, Carly Fiorina and Jim Gilmore announced that they are leaving the race. »

Anderson Cooper : « That's not all : John Kasich just announced that he drops out of the race after finishing at the 5th place in New Hampshire and winning 0 delegate with less than 10 % of the vote. »

JOHN KASICH DROPS OUT OF THE RACE

CHRIS CHRISTIE DROPS OUT OF THE RACE

CARLY FIORINA DROPS OUT OF THE RACE

JIM GILMORE DROPS OUT OF THE RACE
King : « So we can say that Marco Rubio accomplished the greatest part of his mission in New Hampshire that was to eliminate the three other establishment candidates. He now has to eliminate Jeb Bush. In addition, he finished second in the Granite State, which keeps his chances alive and well. »

Cooper : « Yeah that's right because the New Hampshire primary winners didn't always won their party's nomination. In 1996, Bob Dole finished second in New Hampshire behind Pat Buchanan but still won the Republican nomination. It's the same for George W. Bush in 2000 when he was edged by John McCain in the Granite State and still won the nomination. And the same for Barack Obama who lost New Hampshire to Hillary Clinton after he finished second and still won the Democratic nomination. »

King : « I think this race for the nomination is still long. »

Blitzer : « Thank you ladies and gentlemen for following the coverage of the New Hampshire primary. We'll see you in two weeks for the coverage of the South Carolina primary. Have a good night. »


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« Reply #24 on: March 02, 2017, 06:56:32 AM »
« Edited: March 03, 2017, 08:30:04 AM by UWS »

CNN
New Hampshire Republican primary exit polls

Gender

                      Men (52 %)               Women (48 %)

Bush                  11 %                            16 %
Carson               2 %                            3 %
Christie              5 %                             4 %
Cruz                  12 %                          11 %
Fiorina               4 %                             4 %
Kasich               8 %                              9 %
Rubio                22 %                            23 %
Trump               35 %                            30 %

Age

                     18-29 (15 %)              30-44 (17 %)         45-64 (49 %)         65 and older (19 %)

Bush                  12 %                            7 %                        12 %                         16 %
Carson               1 %                           2 %                       2 %                        2 %
Christie              2 %                             4 %                       7 %                          6 %
Cruz                  17 %                           12 %                      11 %                     9 %
Fiorina               2 %                             5 %                        4 %                         5 %
Kasich               7 %                              9 %                        15 %                         16 %
Rubio                22 %                            24 %                       14 %                      16 %
Trump               35 %                            36 %                       34 %                      30 %

Race

                   White (96 %)              Non-white (4 %)
Bush                  13 %                             n/a                    
Carson               2 %                            n/a                      
Christie              4 %                              n/a                    
Cruz                  12 %                            n/a                    
Fiorina               4 %                              n/a                                              
Kasich               8 %                               n/a                                              
Rubio                22 %                             n/a                                              
Trump               34 %                             n/a
              
Ideology

       Very conservative (26 %)       Somewhat conservative (45 %)         Moderate (27 %)        
Bush                  9 %                            13 %                                           16 %                        
Carson               4 %                           2 %                                          1 %                      
Christie              3 %                             9 %                                          6 %                          
Cruz                  23 %                           9 %                                       4 %                      
Fiorina               5 %                             4 %                                          4 %                                                
Kasich               4 %                              11 %                                         18 %                                                
Rubio                16 %                           17 %                                       17 %                      
Trump               36 %                            34 %                                       33 %


Party identification

       Republicans (55 %)       Independents (42 %)        
Bush                  12 %                            11 %                                                                  
Carson               3 %                           2 %                                                                
Christie              5 %                             5 %                                                                  
Cruz                  12 %                           9 %                                                              
Fiorina               4 %                             4 %                                                                                          
Kasich               9 %                              13 %                                                                                        
Rubio                22 %                           20 %                                                            
Trump               33 %                            35 %

Most important issue

             Immigration (15 %)         Economy/Jobs (33 %)         Terrorism (24 %)        Govt. spending (26 %)

Bush                  5 %                            15 %                               16 %                         12 %
Carson               2 %                           2 %                               4 %                         2 %
Christie              2 %                             5 %                             7 %                         6 %
Cruz                  21 %                           6 %                           12 %                       13 %
Fiorina               2 %                             4 %                             3 %                         6 %
Kasich               4 %                              17 %                            10 %                         11 %
Rubio                12 %                            20 %                        21 %                      17 %
Trump               52 %                            30 %                         28 %                       32 %

Top candidate quality

                     Electability (12 %)          Shares my values (34 %)    Tells it like it is (24 %) Can bring change (28 %)

Bush                  10 %                            17 %                                          3 %                         11 %
Carson               1 %                           4 %                                         2 %                             1 %
Christie              4 %                             3%                                          9 %                            5 %
Cruz                  6 %                           21 %                                       2 %                        10 %
Fiorina               0 %                             5 %                                        2 %                              5 %
Kasich               11 %                              16 %                                       4 %                         15 %
Rubio                37 %                            19 %                                      15 %                         16 %
Trump               31 %                            14 %                                      59 %                         37 %
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