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Solid4096
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« Reply #600 on: January 11, 2018, 09:55:22 PM »

This timeline is objectively overly optimistic (on the part of UWS)=, President Rubio would not be this popular; he would not accomplish this much; he would not have pushed Mark Kirk or Michael Bennett over the line in their Senate Races, he would not have won New Jersey or New Mexico, Ralph Northam still would have won.
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King Lear
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« Reply #601 on: January 11, 2018, 10:25:45 PM »

If UWS wanted to make his 2016 Electoral map more realistic he would have given New Jersey to Clinton, and Virginia to Rubio. Rubio probably would have won Virginia due to his Suburban appeal, but New Jersey would have stayed with Clinton no matter what, though it would have been much closer then in real life.
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Lord Admirale
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« Reply #602 on: January 11, 2018, 10:43:03 PM »

If UWS wanted to make his 2016 Electoral map more realistic he would have given New Jersey to Clinton, and Virginia to Rubio. Rubio probably would have won Virginia due to his Suburban appeal, but New Jersey would have stayed with Clinton no matter what, though it would have been much closer then in real life.

You're one to talk
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UWS
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« Reply #603 on: January 12, 2018, 12:51:54 AM »
« Edited: May 23, 2019, 12:47:17 AM by UWS »

Marco Rubio's Presidency
October 2018, Part 2

October 18 :
-President Rubio meets with Papua New Guinean Prime Minister Peter O'Neill at the White House promising to work on doing more trade deals and business between both countries.

October 19 :

-Israel conducts missile strikes against ISIS in the Egyptian city of El Gorah, thus facilitating the task for the Egyptian Army to recapture this city, which has been done a few hours later.

October 20 :
-President Rubio meets with a group of oil business people at the White House where he discusses plans to expand offshore drilling off U.S. coasts and to authorize oil drilling in ANWR.

October 21 :
-Speaking at the Denver Hispanic Chamber of Commerce, President Rubio expresses his wishes to see Leopoldo López, the Democratic Unity Roundtable nominee who is running for the presidency of Venezuela against dictator Hugo Chavez winning the 2018 Venezuelan presidential election that will be held on October 28. He declared that this will be a great turning point for Venezuela, for freedom, for democracy, for national security and for the relations between the United States and Venezuela.

October 23 :
-President Rubio campaigns for Republican congressman Mike Coffman in Colorado.

-ISIS is defeated in Rafah, on the borders between Israel and Egypt.

October 25 :

-President Rubio starts a 10-state marathon in the context of the 2018 midterm elections. He started this marathon in California where he campaigns for Republican congressional candidates as well as for Republican senatorial nominee Condoleezza Rice. During a rally in Los Angeles, he praised her business and economic expertise due to her membership among the board of directors of several businesses such as Hewlett Packard and Chevron Corporation.

October 26-28 :
-President Rubio campaigns for Mark Green in Wisconsin, John James in Michigan, John Kasich in Ohio and Mike Pence in Indiana, focusing mostly on economy, energy, trade, infrastructure as well as on the successful effects of the Rubionomics, including reduction of the unemployment at its lowest rate since 50 years thanks to the promotion of tax reform, free enterprise and free market.

October 27 :

-U.S. drones in Egypt all of ISIS' training bases in the east of the Sinai Province. The entire region is then secured by the Egyptian Army.

October 28 :

-Leopoldo López, the leader of the Democratic Unity Roundtable easily defeats Nicolas Maduro in the 2018 Venezuela presidential election with 66 % of the vote over Maduro's 34 % in this context of deep political and economic crisis in Venezuela marked by a drastic rise of inflation, which marks Venezuela's path to democracy.

-President Rubio speaks on the phone with Leopoldo López and congratulates him for his electoral victory in Venezuela, which he describes as a great day for democracy, freedom, justice, integrity and security. Both men then discussed issues such as economy, trade, energy, War on Drugs, democracy and human rights, Cuba and fight against terrorism.

October 29-31 :

-President Rubio campaigns for Republican midterm candidates in the states of Pennsylvania, New Jersey, New York and West Virginia, focusing mostly on coal, energy, economy, foreign policy as well as on his fulfilled promises to reform America's immigration system and to make America's free trade deals fair for American workers thanks to tax cuts for the manufacturing industry and also thanks to the reduction in half of the national corporate tax rate.

October 29 :

-With the support of U.S. drones that bombarded ISIS' positions and defenses in the city of Sheikh Zuweid, the Egyptian Army started the siege of this city that is none other than ISIS' last controlled position in the Sinai province.

October 30 :

-Five months after Japan's remilitarization, Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe announced that Tokyo will reinforce its navy's presence in South China Sea in order to combat the jihadist group of Abu Sayyaf in the Philippines and in Malaysia.
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UWS
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« Reply #604 on: January 12, 2018, 11:37:39 AM »
« Edited: May 23, 2019, 07:10:54 AM by UWS »

2018 Senate Ads in October 2018

Ann Wagner's senatorial ad in Missouri :


Narrator : For years, Senator Claire McCaskill has claimed to be on the side of working class families, but time and time again, her votes prove she sides with liberals in Washington. She is one of the biggest proponents of higher taxes and big government America has ever known.


McCaskill voted at least 14 times for higher taxes on energy. She opposed death tax relief at least 8 times, voted 7 times against repealing Obamacare’s higher taxes, voted 5 times for income tax hikes, voted 4 times against extending the Bush tax cuts, voted 3 times against repealing the Obamacare « Cadillac » tax, voted twice against comprehensive tax reform legislation, voted twice to make it harder for the Senate to cut taxes, voted against reducing the Alternative Minimum Tax, voted against permanently banning the State and Local Taxation of Internet Access, voted against exempting Mobile Mammography Units from fuel excise taxes, voted against full repeal of the marriage penalty tax and voted against permanent extension of tax cuts for small business.


No wonder that many people around the country call her « Claire McTaxAll ».


Fortunately, Ann Wagner is running for U.S. Senate to solve problems and to defend the interests of taxpayers and hard working families. After working in her parents' small carpet business and serving in the U.S. House Committee on Financial Services, she knows what it takes to grow this economy and create jobs. As U.S. Senator, Ann Wagner will fight for small government, reduction of government spending and lower taxes for all Americans, including the middle class. She will also fight to facilitate America's path to energy independence, to increase our competitiveness in the world economy and to further strengthen our nation's status as the best place in the world to do business.


Ann Wagner for fiscal responsibility, more jobs and stronger prosperity.


Ann Wagner : I'm Ann Wagner and I approve this message.

Greg Gianforte senatorial ad in Montana :

Narrator : While Jon Tester claims to be in favor of America's energy independence, his record tells a different story.


Tester opposed allowing the Chairman of the Senate Budget Committee to increase funding for certain energy-related programs, including the development of natural gas off the coast of Virginia and the development of oil shale resources on public lands.


Even though Montana is America's 7th coal producer among the 50 states and despite the fact that coal manages 55 % of Montana's electricity, Jon Tester supported the War on Coal that increased taxes and regulations on the coal industry and shipped tens of thousands of American coal jobs overseas.


Jon Tester would rather keep handing money to terrorists through a deeper dependence on foreign energy due to oil imports from countries in throes of terrorism, which would increase terrorist groups' ability to finance and organize their terrorist activities and to commit terrorist attacks against our country and our allies. We can't afford this.


And that's why Greg Gianforte is running for U.S. Senate in order to guarantee America's energy independence and permanent economic prosperity. As a businessman, he knows that our prosperity requires small government, making America the best business-friendly environment in the world and reducing the fiscal burden for all Americans and for all businesses around the country, including for the energy industry.


President Marco Rubio ended the War on Coal, thus abolishing regulations on coal industry, bringing coal jobs back to America, developing clean coal technologies and giving the American people a better access to heat and electricity. Thanks to President Rubio's pro-growth leadership, we cut taxes and regulations on America's energy industry and encouraged oil drilling and production by doubling permits on federal lands and by building the Keystone XL, Dakota Access and TransAmerica pipelines, thus creating three and a half million new good-paying jobs. Thanks to the investment of a part of revenues from oil drilling into the development of renewable energies such as wind, nuclear, solar and hydroelectric energies, we will not only ensure further job creation but also ensure an improvement of America's ecological footprint. America's energy independence will also also reinforce our national security by depriving terrorists of revenues from our energy dependence.


Thanks to this leadership, America is about to permanently become energy dominant and to get to full-employment. That's why we need an additional conservative voice in favor of energy independence and that requires electing Greg Gianforte to the U.S. Senate.


Greg Gianforte : I'm Greg Gianforte and I approve this message.
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UWS
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« Reply #605 on: January 12, 2018, 05:50:33 PM »
« Edited: May 23, 2019, 07:35:08 AM by UWS »

Marco Rubio's Presidency
November 2018, Part 1

President Rubio's job approval rating :
Approve : 69 %
Disapprove : 26 %
Unsure : 5 %

November 1 :

-President Rubio campaigns for Condoleezza Rice in San Diego, California where he praises her experience as Secretary of State as well as the record of the last 2 years, including immigration reform, strong job creation through tax reform, small government, free trade and energy production and stronger and safer America thanks to a strong and modernized military and strengthened American leadership that is leading America to victory against terrorism. At the same occasion, he campaigns for Republican congressional candidates in California.

November 2 :
-President Rubio campaigns for Dean Heller in Reno, Nevada where he praises his bi-partisan record as Senator.

-Vice-President Haley campaigns for Susana Martinez in New Mexico.

November 3 :

-President Rubio campaigns for Adam Laxalt in Las Vegas, Nevada before heading to Cincinnati to campaign for John Kasich where he highlights the Governor's job creation record and attacked Sherrod Brown's unwillingness to show bi-partisanship in the Senate to help the economy growing and America's national security strengthening for the sake of victory against terrorism.

November 4 :
-President Rubio campaigns for Mike Pence in Indiana and for Greg Gianforte in Montana.


-Vice-President Haley campaigns for Ann Wagner in Kansas City, Missouri where she praises Wagner's business experience and fiscal conservatism, which she calls a strong qualification to defend the interests of Missouri taxpayers in the Senate.

November 5 :

-President Rubio and House Speaker Paul Ryan campaign for Steve Toft in La Crosse, Wisconsin where they praised his military service, which, as they declared, demonstrate his knowledge of what it takes to keep America safe and lead it to victory against terrorism as America is increasingly making due to the efforts of the last 2 years, including strong and modernized U.S. military, strong alliances and strong American leadership.

November 6 :

-Voters across the country go to the polls ahead of the 2018 midterm elections.


-President Rubio campaigns for Rick Scott and Adam Putnam in Florida.


-President Rubio and his familiy go to the polls in Miami, Florida, where the President casts his vote for Rick Scott (at the Senate level), for Adam Putnam (at the gubernatorial level) and for Carlos Curbelo (at the congressional level). His wife Jeanette, his mother Oriales and his oldest daughter (who is now 18 years old and is thus eligible to vote) casted their votes for the same midterm candidates.

-Vice-President Haley casts her vote for Governor Henry McMaster in Charleston, South Carolina.

-President Rubio, his family, Vice-President Haley and all of the President's presidential cabinet watch the coverage of the 2018 midterm elections at the White House.
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Keep cool-idge
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« Reply #606 on: January 12, 2018, 05:56:25 PM »

The election is my favorite part.
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UWS
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« Reply #607 on: January 12, 2018, 06:09:37 PM »


Thanks. Smiley
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King Lear
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« Reply #608 on: January 14, 2018, 04:41:20 PM »

When's the next update?
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UWS
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« Reply #609 on: January 14, 2018, 05:56:54 PM »


Either tonight or tommorrow. And at this moment I will start the Election Night Coverage of the 2018 midterm elections.
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UWS
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« Reply #610 on: January 15, 2018, 10:29:48 AM »
« Edited: January 15, 2018, 05:58:32 PM by UWS »

Election Night 2018, Part 1

CNN's America's Choice theme : https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6uvpd4myQXs



Wolf Blitzer : Good evening ladies and gentlemen and welcome to CNN's coverage of the 2018 midterm elections. I'm Wolf Blitzer and my team and I are now covering a crucial night that will determine the balance of power for the second half of President Rubio's first term.

It's 7 pm and CNN can now make our first projections in the states of Vermont, Virginia and Indiana.

7:00 pm

Wolf Blitzer : CNN can now project that Senator Bernie Sanders will easily be re-elected for a third term with 65 % of the vote, and thus he defeats his Republican opponent former Vermont Governor Jim Douglas.

Vermont Senate - 1 % of the vote reported
Bernie Sanders : 65 %
Jim Douglas : 34 %

Wolf Blitzer : In the state of Virginia it is too close to call, but Senator Tim Kaine is narrowly in the lead. In the race for Joe Donnelly's seat in Indiana it is also to close to call but we can see that Indiana Governor Mike Pence is largely in the lead.

Virginia Senate - 1 % of the vote reported
Tim Kaine : 47 %
Corey Stewart : 41 %

Indiana Senate - 1 % of the vote reported
Mike Pence : 52%
Joe Donnelly : 43 %

Anderson Cooper : So until now, the Republicans are now controlling 46 seats over the Democrats' 22 seats.

7:30 pm

Wolf Blitzer : Right now it's 7:30 pm and we can now make projections in the states of Ohio and West Virginia. In Ohio it is too early to call but Ohio Governor John Kasich is largely leading Senator Sherrod Brown. In West Virginia it is too close to call. In the race for Ohio Governor, Lieutenant Governor Mary Taylor is leading her Democratic opponent Joe Schiavoni.

West Virginia Senate - 1 % of the vote reported
Evan Jenkins : 48 %
Joe Manchin : 42 %

Ohio Senate - 1 % of the vote reported
John Kasich : 50 %
Sherrod Brown : 43 %

Ohio Governor - 1 % of the vote reported
Mary Taylor : 47 %
Joe Schiavoni : 42 %

8:00 pm

Wolf Blitzer : It is now time for the 8 pm poll closings. We can now project that Republican senator Bob Corker will be re-elected for a third term, defeating his Democratic opponent Andy Berke.

Tennessee Senate - 1 % of the vote reported
Bob Corker : 64 %
Andy Berke : 35 %

Wolf Blitzer : In President Rubio's home state of Florida, we can see that Governor Rick Scott clearly took the advantage of the fact that it's the President's home state. He leads Bill Nelson after sweeping most of Florida's northern counties, including Jacksonville. In the same state, Adam Putnam is dominating the gubernatorial race over Andrew Gillum.

Florida Senate - 1 % of the vote reported
Rick Scott : 55 %
Bill Nelson : 41 %

Florida Governor - 1 % of the vote reported
Adam Putnam : 47 %
Andrew Gillum : 40 %

Wolf Blitzer : In the state of Missouri, a state won by Marco Rubio with a 20 percentage point margin in 2016, it is too early to call even though it starts with a wide lead for Congresswoman Ann Wagner.

Missouri Senate - 1 % of the vote reported
Ann Wagner : 55 %
Claire McCaskill : 41 %

Wolf Blitzer : In Mississippi, Senator Roger Wicker will be re-elected for a third term, defeating his Democratic challenger former Governor Ray Mabus. In the state of Maryland, Ben Cardin will be re-elected after defeating his Republican opponent Sam Faddis. The same for Delaware Senator Tom Carper, New Jersey Senator Bob Menendez, Connecticut Senator Chris Murphy, Rhode Island Senator Sheldon Whitehouse and Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren.

Mississippi Senate - 1 % of the vote reported
Roger Wicker : 60 %
Ray Mabus : 39 %

Maryland Senate - 1 % of the vote reported
Ben Cardin : 56 %
Sam Daffis: 41 %

Delaware Senate - 1 % of the vote reported
Tom Carper : 64 %
Chuck Boyce : 35 %

New Jersey Senate - 1 % of the vote reported
Bob Menendez : 55 %
Rich Pezzullo : 44 %

Rhode Island Senate - 1 % of the vote reported
Sheldon Whitehouse : 63 %
Robert Nardolillo : 34 %

Connecticut Senate - 1 % of the vote reported
Chris Murphy : 53 %
Matthew Corey : 42 %

Massachusetts Senate - 1 % of the vote reported
Elizabeth Warren : 62 %
Geoff Diehl : 33 %

Wolf Blitzer : We can also project that the Republicans orchestrated their first pick-up in the senate for that night. In Indiana, Mike Pence defeats Democratic Senator Joe Donnelly with 55 % of the vote over Donnelly's 41 %.

Indiana Senate - 50 % of the vote reported
Mike Pence : 55 % (Republican pick-up)
Joe Donnelly : 41 %


Republicans : 49 seats
Democrats : 28 seats
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2016
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« Reply #611 on: January 15, 2018, 11:20:45 AM »

UWS,
How are Republicans doing in the Governor Races like Massachusetts, New Hampshire, Vermont, Connecticut, Rhode Island, Maryland, Michigan, Illinois, Colorado, etc.

I'm guessing Bruce Rauner is losing his Re-Election due to his unpopularity.
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UWS
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« Reply #612 on: January 15, 2018, 04:15:21 PM »
« Edited: May 23, 2019, 08:00:22 AM by UWS »

Election Night 2018, Part 2

CNN's America's Choice theme : https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6uvpd4myQXs



8:30 pm

Wolf Blitzer : It's 8:30 pm and CNN can now make an important projection. In the state of Ohio, Governor John Kasich will be elected Senator with 53 % of the vote, thus marking another senate pick-up for the Republicans.

Ohio Senate - 50 % of the vote reported
John Kasich : 53 % (Republican pick-up)
Sherrod Brown : 43 %

Ohio Governor - 50 % of the vote reported
Mary Taylor : 50 %
Joe Schiavoni : 44 %

John King : Also in Maine, Independent Senator Angus King will be re-elected.

Maine Senate - 25 % of the vote reported
Angus King : 52 %
Eric Brakey : 35 %
Benjamin Pollard : 13 %

Anderson Cooper : Let's take a look at the gubernatorial races. In the state of Massachusetts, Governor Charlie Baker will be re-elected, beating his Democratic opponent Setti Warren. In the state of New Hampshire, Republican Governor Chris Sununu has won re-election with 53 % over Steve Marchand's 45 %. The same for Phil Scott in Vermont, Gina Raimondo in Rhode Island and Larry Hogan in Maryland. In Connecticut, Republican Tony Hwang narrowly defeats Governor Dannel Malloy.

Massachusetts Governor - 40 % of the vote reported
Charlie Baker : 62 %
Setti Warren : 34 %

New Hampshire Governor - 60 % of the vote reported
Chris Sununu : 53 %
Steve Marchand : 45 %

Vermont Governor - 50 % of the vote reported
Phil Scott : 54 %
James Ehlers : 42 %

Connecticut Governor - 100 % of the vote reported
Tony Hwang : 51 %
Dannel Malloy : 48 %

Rhode Island Governor - 100 % of the vote reported
Gina Raimondo : 51 %
Allan Fung : 46 %

Maryland Governor - 100 % of the vote reported
Larry Hogan : 52 %
Rushern Baker : 45 %

9:00 pm

Wolf Blitzer : Right now at 9 pm it is now possible to make a wave of new projections. In the state of New York, Kirsten Gillibrand easily wins re-election over Chris Gibson. In the state of Texas, Republican senator George P. Bush unsurprisingly wins re-election over Congressman Beto O'Rourke. In Nebraska, no surprise, Senator Deb Fischer will also win re-election over her opponent Jane Raybould. The same for John Barasso in Wyoming.

New York Senate - 1 % of the vote reported
Kirsten Gillibrand : 57 %
Chris Gibson : 39 %

Texas Senate - 1 % of the vote reported
George P. Bush : 63 %
Beto O'Rourke: 37 %

Nebraska Senate - 1 % of the vote reported
Deb Fischer : 59 %
Jane Raybould : 36 %

Wyoming Senate - 1 % of the vote reported
John Barasso : 78 %
Gary Trauner : 21 %

Wolf Blitzer : And another senate gain for the Republicans : in the state of Missouri, Ann Wagner defeats Claire McCaskill with 56 % of the vote over McCaskill's 42 %.

Missouri Senate - 50 % of the vote reported
Ann Wagner : 56 % (Republican pick-up)
Claire McCaskill : 42 %

Wolf Blitzer : So now that the Republicans are now controlling over 51 senate seats, CNN can now project that the Republicans will hold their majority in the U.S. Senate and surely reinforce it with the pick-ups they just made.


REPUBLICANS TO HOLD MAJORITY IN THE U.S. SENATE



Republicans : 54 seats
Democrats : 29 seats
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2016
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« Reply #613 on: January 15, 2018, 04:56:38 PM »
« Edited: January 15, 2018, 05:20:27 PM by 2016 »

Some of the Senate Races will be very close I think. Once South Florida gets reported I wouldn't be surprised of an Automatic Recount, same might be happening in New Mexico and North Dakota and they will certainly count California Votes tomorrow all Day before that Race is decided...maybe a Recount there too.

Going to take awhile before we know if Republicans get their 60th Seat.

Also I expect Sanders, Warren and Gillibrand to run for President challenging President Rubio given these 3 won their Races so easily. Going to be fun to watch those 3 attacking each other.

Given that California Senator Kamala Harris helped draft President Rubios Immigration Bill with Jeff Flake during the first two years of his Presidency she stays put I think and runs in 2024 when Rubio is termed out. Could be a historic Race then between Vice President Nikki Haley and Kamala Harris. Would be my Dream, two Women, one Indian-American and one African American.
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« Reply #614 on: January 16, 2018, 04:20:43 AM »

When’s the next update?
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UWS
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« Reply #615 on: January 16, 2018, 08:49:10 AM »
« Edited: May 23, 2019, 08:05:23 AM by UWS »

Election Night 2018, Part 3

CNN's America's Choice theme : https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6uvpd4myQXs



9:30 pm

Wolf Blitzer : It is now 9:30 pm and we can now make new important projections : in the state of Michigan, Republican John James, an Iraq War veteran and a businessman, narrowly leads Debbie Stabenow by 3 percentage points. In Wisconsin, Mark Green, former director of the USGLC, former U.S. Ambassador to Tanzania and 2006 Republican nominee for Wisconsin Governor is now leading Tammy Baldwin by 4 percentage points after sweeping the most of state's northeast, including Green Bay. In Minnesota, Democrats are leading both senatorial races. In West Virginia, one of the states nicknamed « coal country », Evan Jenkins defeats Joe Manchin, handing another gain for the Republican Party. In the state of Pennsylvania, Senator Bob Casey Jr. wins by a decently fair margin. In the state of Ohio, we can project that Lieutenant Governor Mary Taylor will be elected Governor of Ohio, thus becoming the first woman to occupy Ohio's governorship.

Michigan Senate - 25 % of the vote reported
John James : 48 %
Debbie Stabenow : 45 %

Michigan Governor - 25 % of the vote reported
Bill Schuette : 44 %
Gretchen Whitmer: 42 %

Wisconsin Senate - 25 % of the vote reported
Mark Green : 47 %
Tammy Baldwin : 43 %

Wisconsin Governor - 25 % of the vote reported
Scott Walker : 49 %
Paul Soglin : 42 %

Minnesota Senate - 25 % of the vote reported
Amy Klobuchar : 55 %
Jim Newberger : 44 %

Minnesota Special Senate - 25 % of the vote reported
Tina Smith : 52 %
Erik Paulsen : 45 %

Minnesota Governor - 25 % of the vote reported
Jeff Johnson : 52 %
Mark Dayton : 47 %

Pennsylvania Senate - 100 % of the vote reported
Bob Casey Jr. : 54 %
Lou Barletta : 46 %

West Virginia Senate - 100 % of the vote reported
Evan Jenkins : 51 % (Republican pick-up)
Joe Manchin : 46 %

Ohio Governor - 100 % of the vote reported
Mary Taylor : 53 %
Joe Schiavoni : 44 %

10:00 pm

Wolf Blitzer : It is now 10 pm and we can now make new major projections : in the state of Florida, President Rubio's home state, we can project that Rick Scott will be elected to the U.S. Senate. On the gubernatorial level, Agriculture Commissioner Adam Putnam, the Republican gubernatorial nominee, will defeat his Democratic opponent Tallahassee Mayor Andrew Gillum.

Florida Senate - 100 % of the vote reported
Rick Scott : 52 % (Republican pick-up)
Bill Nelson : 46 %

Florida Governor - 100 % of the vote reported
Adam Putnam : 54 %
Andrew Gillum : 43 %

Wolf Blitzer : The projections are now intensifying in the West. In the state of Utah, Josh Romney, the son of 2012 Republican presidential nominee and Secretary of Treasury Mitt Romney, will easily win the senate race for Orrin Hatch's seat, crushing Jenny Wilson with 74 % of the vote. In Arizona, Senator Jeff Flake will be re-elected to the U.S. Senate for a second term. In the state of North Dakota, former Governor Jack Dalrymple is currently leading Heidi Heitkamp while Greg Gianforte has now the upper hand in Montana.

Utah Senate - 1 % of the vote reported
Josh Romney : 74 %
Jenny Wilson : 23 %

Arizona Senate - 1 % of the vote reported
Jeff Flake : 53 %
Kyrsten Sinema : 41 %

North Dakota Senate - 1 % of the vote reported
Jack Dalrymple : 50 %
Heidi Heitkamp : 43 %

Montana Senate - 1 % of the vote reported
Greg Gianforte : 54%
Jon Tester : 43 %



✔ Republicans : 58 seats
Democrats : 30 seats
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UWS
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« Reply #616 on: January 16, 2018, 01:11:42 PM »
« Edited: May 23, 2019, 08:38:41 AM by UWS »

Election Night 2018, Part 4

CNN's America's Choice theme : https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6uvpd4myQXs



10:30 pm

Wolf Blitzer : At 10:30 pm and we can project that Tim Kaine, the 2016 Democratic vice-presidential nominee wins re-election by a fair margin. In the state of Illinois, Chris Kennedy, a nephew of former President John F. Kennedy is elected Governor of Illinois over Bruce Rauner.

Virginia Senate - 100 % of the vote reported
Tim Kaine: 52 %
Corey Stewart : 47 %

Illinois Governor - 75 % of the vote reported
Chris Kennedy : 55 %
Bruce Rauner: 45 %

Wolf Blitzer : Another success for the Republicans. We can now declare Mark Green the winner of the senate race in Wisconsin. He did well in Wisconsin's northeastern, center, western regions as well as in some southern counties like Kenosha, which put him over the top. In the gubernatorial race, Governor Scott Walker will be re-elected with 54 % of the vote, defeating Paul Soglin who got 45 % of the vote.

Wisconsin Senate - 100 % of the vote reported
Mark Green : 53 % (Republican pick-up)
Tammy Baldwin : 46 %

Wisconsin Governor - 100 % of the vote reported
Scott Walker : 54 %
Paul Soglin : 45 %

Anderson Cooper : In the state of Colorado, Colorado State Treasurer Walker Stapleton, the Republican candidate for Colorado Governor, is currently leading his Democratic opponent Cary Kennedy. In the state of Nevada, the Republicans seem to have the upper hand. On the senate level, incumbent Senator Dean Heller is now leading Democrat Jacky Rosen due to his strong performance in the Washoe County, which is home to Reno. On the gubernatorial level, Adam Laxalt is leading. In New Mexico, Susana Martinez is tied with Martin Heinrich. John Sanchez is the leader of the gubernatorial race in New Mexico. Also in Minnesota, Senator Klobuchar wins re-election.

Colorado Governor - 25 % of the vote reported
Walker Stapleton : 47 %
Cary Kennedy : 44 %

Nevada Senate - 25 % of the vote reported
Dean Heller : 49 %
Jacky Rosen : 40 %

Nevada Governor - 25 % of the vote reported
Adam Laxalt : 48 %
Steve Sisolak : 43 %

New Mexico Senate - 25 % of the vote reported
Susana Martinez : 43 %
Martin Heinrich : 43 %

New Mexico Governor - 25 % of the vote reported
John Sanchez : 47 %
Michelle Lujan Grisham : 46 %

Minnesota Senate - 75 % of the vote reported
Amy Klobuchar : 56 %
Jim Newberger : 44 %

11:00 pm

Wolf Blitzer : Right now at 11 pm that Democrat Maria Cantwell will be re-elected in the state of Washington. The same for Senator Mazie Hirono in Hawaii. In the state of California, a state that could elect a Republican to the U.S. Senate for the first time in 25 years, Condoleezza Rice and Dianne Feinstein are tied. So for now it is too close to call. At the gubernatorial race in California it is also too close to call between Republican John H. Cox and Democrat Gavin Newsom.

Washington Senate - 1 % of the vote reported
Maria Cantwell : 58 %
Jaime Herrera Beutler : 41 %

Hawaii Senate - 1 % of the vote reported
Mazie Hirono : 60 %
Eddie Pirkowski : 38 %

California Senate - 1 % of the vote reported
Condoleezza Rice : 50 %
Dianne Feinstein : 50 %

California Governor - 1 % of the vote reported
Gavin Newsom : 50 %
John H. Fox : 48 %

Wolf Blitzer : We now have development in the senate races that haven't been called yet. In the state of Michigan, John James will defeat Debbie Stabenow with 52 % of the vote. Bill Schuette wins the local gubernatorial race. In Minnesota, Tina Smith is re-elected. In the race for Minnesota Governor, Jeff Johnson wins. In the state of Montana, we can project that Greg Gianforte defeats Jon Tester, making another pick-up for the Republican Party.

Michigan Senate - 100 % of the vote reported
John James : 51 % (Republican pick-up)
Debbie Stabenow : 45 %

Michigan Governor - 100 % of the vote reported
Bill Schuette : 50 %
Gretchen Whitmer : 49 %

Minnesota Special Senate - 1 % of the vote reported
Tina Smith : 53 %
Erik Paulsen : 47 %

Minnesota Governor - 100 % of the vote reported
Jeff Johnson : 52 %
Mark Dayton : 48 %

Montana Senate - 75 % of the vote reported
Greg Gianforte : 56 % (Republican pick-up)
Jon Tester : 40 %



✔ Republicans : 63 seats
Democrats : 33 seats
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2016
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #617 on: January 16, 2018, 01:56:10 PM »

UWS,
How about the House of Representatives? Safe bet the Republicans retained it but what are the margin. Given how this Night is unfolding I would not be shocked if Debbie Wasserman-Schultz loses her Seat in South Florida. Republicans will very likely have the biggest House Majority since WWII with 250+ Seats.

I think Republicans will pick up a Governor Seat in Colorado and retain their Seats in Arizona, New Mexico and Nevada. Democrats will take California and Oregon.
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UWS
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #618 on: January 16, 2018, 02:03:02 PM »

UWS,
How about the House of Representatives? Safe bet the Republicans retained it but what are the margin. Given how this Night is unfolding I would not be shocked if Debbie Wasserman-Schultz loses her Seat in South Florida. Republicans will very likely have the biggest House Majority since WWII with 250+ Seats.

I think Republicans will pick up a Governor Seat in Colorado and retain their Seats in Arizona, New Mexico and Nevada. Democrats will take California and Oregon.

After the senatorial and gubernatorial results, I will make a list of the results of the midterm elections at the House of Representatives and signal which House seats are picked-up, which incumbents are defeated and by who.
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Computer89
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« Reply #619 on: January 16, 2018, 02:25:55 PM »

UWS,
How about the House of Representatives? Safe bet the Republicans retained it but what are the margin. Given how this Night is unfolding I would not be shocked if Debbie Wasserman-Schultz loses her Seat in South Florida. Republicans will very likely have the biggest House Majority since WWII with 250+ Seats.

I think Republicans will pick up a Governor Seat in Colorado and retain their Seats in Arizona, New Mexico and Nevada. Democrats will take California and Oregon.


I would say 265-270 seats
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UWS
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« Reply #620 on: January 16, 2018, 04:02:54 PM »
« Edited: May 23, 2019, 08:34:44 AM by UWS »

Election Night 2018, Part 5

CNN's America's Choice theme : https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6uvpd4myQXs



11:30 pm

Wolf Blitzer : Right now we can watch in North Dakota that Jack Dalrymple will be elected U.S. Senator. In the state of Nevada, Dean Heller is re-elected for a third term with 55 % of the vote, defeating Jacky Rosen. And also, Adam Laxalt will be elected as Brian Sandoval's successor as Governor of Nevada. In the state of Arizona, Republican Governor Doug Ducey defeats his Democratic opponent David Garcia and wins re-election for a second term.

North Dakota Senate - 100 % of the vote reported
Jack Dalrymple : 57 % (Republican pick-up)
Heidi Heitkamp : 43 %

Nevada Senate - 100 % of the vote reported
Dean Heller : 55 %
Jacky Rosen : 44 %

Nevada Governor - 100 % of the vote reported
Adam Laxalt : 50 %
Steve Sisolak : 45 %

Arizona Governor - 100 % of the vote reported
Doug Ducey : 55 %
David Garcia : 40 %

Colorado Governor - 100 % of the vote reported
Walker Stapleton : 53 %
Cary Kennedy : 47 %

12:00 am

Wolf Blitzer : At midnight, we can project that Susana Martinez wins the senate race in New Mexico while John Sanchez does the same for the local gubernatorial race. In the state of Oregon, Governor Kate Brown wins re-election over Knute Buehler while Gavin Newsom will be elected Governor of California.

New Mexico Senate - 100 % of the vote reported
Susana Martinez : 49 % (Republican pick-up)
Martin Heinrich : 48 %

New Mexico Governor - 100 % of the vote reported
John Sanchez : 51 %
Michelle Lujan Grisham : 47 %

Oregon Governor - 100 % of the vote reported
Kate Brown : 54 %
Knute Buehler : 46 %

California Governor - 100 % of the vote reported
Gavin Newsom : 54 %
John H. Fox : 46 %

12:30 am

Wolf Blitzer : The senatorial race in California is still too close to call as Secretary Rice is doing well in southern California, including Los Angeles, San Diego, Anaheim, Santa Monica and San Bernardino while Senator Feinstein performs well in San Francisco and Santa Monica.

California Senate - 75 % of the vote reported
Dianne Feinstein : 51.8 %
Condoleezza Rice : 48.2 %

1:00 am

Wolf Blitzer : At 1 am, we can project that Condoleezza Rice will be elected Senator, marking the first time in 25 years that California elected a Republican at the U.S. Senate.

California Senate - 100 % of the vote reported
Condoleezza Rice : 51.5 % (Republican pick-up)
Dianne Feinstein : 48.5 %


Republicans : 67 seats
Democrats : 33 seats
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Solid4096
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« Reply #621 on: January 16, 2018, 04:04:42 PM »

Hackery is strong.
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King Lear
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« Reply #622 on: January 16, 2018, 04:05:36 PM »



California Senate - 1 % of the vote reported
Condoleezza Rice : 42 %
Dianne Feinstein : 42 %

California Governor - 1 % of the vote reported
Gavin Newsom : 43 %
John H. Fox : 41%
Not to be picky, but you do realize that California has a top-two primary? This means that instead of Having Feinstein and Rice tied at 42%, you should have them tied at 50%, and instead of having Newson leading Fox 43-41, you should have him leading 51-49.
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UWS
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #623 on: January 16, 2018, 04:13:52 PM »



California Senate - 1 % of the vote reported
Condoleezza Rice : 42 %
Dianne Feinstein : 42 %

California Governor - 1 % of the vote reported
Gavin Newsom : 43 %
John H. Fox : 41%
Not to be picky, but you do realize that California has a top-two primary? This means that instead of Having Feinstein and Rice tied at 42%, you should have them tied at 50%, and instead of having Newson leading Fox 43-41, you should have him leading 51-49.

Fixed
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King Lear
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« Reply #624 on: January 16, 2018, 04:18:09 PM »

Overall, I’d say you’re senate Results are quite realistic, with the exception of California. I don’t care who the Republicans nominate but they would never win a senate race in California. Feinstein would easily be able to tie Condy Rice to the disastrous foriegn policy of the bush administration, and this would cause her to win reelection. The best Condy could Realistically do is have a 55-45 defeat. If I were you, I’d change the result in California to a narrow Feinstein victory, because having California flip Republican makes your whole TL look really hackish (You already pushed the limit by having Rubio carry New Jersey, when in real life he would have carried Virginia Instead).
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