Which Toronto riding is more likely to flip Conservative next time?

[King of Kensington]

Eglinton-Lawrence was Conservative before and has a large Orthodox Jewish population, but Scarborough-Agincourt actually defy the trend and saw its Conservative vote increase.

There may be a difference federally and provincially also. 

[Hatman 🍁]

Depends on the Chinese, doesn't it?

[Vosem]

Are Chinese-Canadians likely to switch to Conservatives en masse in the near future?

[Tintrlvr]

Are Chinese-Canadians likely to switch to Conservatives en masse in the near future?

They're already a solid Conservative constituency in the Vancouver metro, but not so much in Toronto. Still probably the most Conservative-friendly visible minority group in Toronto, though.

[adma]

Consider how the Cons defied pundits and won the open Markham-Unionville seat while losing everything else around it.

And of course, monitor the Markham-Thornhill byelection.

[Hatman 🍁]

Are Chinese-Canadians likely to switch to Conservatives en masse in the near future?

They're already a solid Conservative constituency in the Vancouver metro, but not so much in Toronto. Still probably the most Conservative-friendly visible minority group in Toronto, though.

They are more Conservative than Whites, or are at least in Scarborough-Agincourt. They still lean Liberal on the whole though.

[2952-0-0]

If the party elects someone like Kellie Leitch as leader, then its support among Chinese Canadians and Jewish Canadians will collapse even more than average.

[Boston Bread]

Mainstreet has a relevant poll of Toronto's voting intentions broken down by region: https://www.scribd.com/document/340703366/Mainstreet-Toronto-February-2017#from_embed

Federally, the Liberals lead by 30 in Scarb. and 22 in North York. Provincially, the PCs lead in Scarb. by 2 with the NDP in second but the OLP leads in North York over the PCs by 5.