IN-SEN: Brains or Braun?
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 24, 2024, 03:17:02 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  IN-SEN: Brains or Braun? 		« previous next »
Pages: 1 ... 12 13 14 15 16 [17] 18 19 20 21 22 ... 25
Author Topic: IN-SEN: Brains or Braun?  (Read 68317 times)
Hoosier_Nick
Nicholas_Roberts
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 754
United States


Political Matrix
E: -3.03, S: -7.22

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #400 on: August 20, 2018, 08:48:19 PM »
Quote from: Anarcho Communists 4 Heller on August 20, 2018, 01:18:54 PM
Quote from: Mondale on August 19, 2018, 09:00:24 PM
Quote from: RubioRepublican on August 18, 2018, 05:36:58 AM
Quote from: Prolocutor Bagel23 on August 16, 2018, 04:35:12 PM
Quote from: LimoLiberal on August 16, 2018, 04:24:35 PM
Wow. Check out Mexico Joe's latest ad:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?time_continue=29&v=VmD8fYF4Rzg

It's clear he's down bigly to Mike Braun if he's putting up overtly pro-Trump ads.

Cringe, Manchin has done something similar too, oh well, they have free pass cards to do anything to win, so do what's necessary ma bois.

What a poorly done ad. The part in the middle where Donnelly flimsily talks into the camera from driving the RV is just LOL

You can tell that was filmed in Indiana too because he kept hitting potholes every couple of seconds

LOL
Logged
brucejoel99
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,713
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -3.30

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #401 on: August 20, 2018, 08:55:06 PM »
Quote from: SnowLabrador on August 20, 2018, 09:13:37 AM
The race is going to be very close. Gun to my head, Braun Donnelly wins.
Logged
SnowLabrador
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,577
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #402 on: September 05, 2018, 01:06:09 PM »
New poll coming at 5 PM!
Logged
Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,986
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.13, S: -0.87

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #403 on: September 05, 2018, 01:07:13 PM »
Prediction: Donnelly +3, and the resident concern trolls lecture us about how it's a single poll and Bayh didn't win in 2016 and Indiana is Titanium R.
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #404 on: September 05, 2018, 01:36:43 PM »
Quote from: Stirring Wolf🥣🐺 on September 05, 2018, 01:19:04 PM
Regardless of the result, this will be the first real high-quality poll of the race post-primary.  I don't even remember if we had a high-quality poll pre-primary; but knowing Indiana's polling laws probably not.  Whatever we get will probably be our first real indication of where the race stands.

Personal opinion, but if Donnelly is behind by any more than two points then I don't see how he'd make up the deficit by election day as an incumbent.

We never got a decent poll for this race. In fact, we've only gotten 3 polls total throughout all of 2017 and 2018. Gravis, SurveyMonkey, and Trafalgar. lol
Logged
SnowLabrador
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,577
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #405 on: September 05, 2018, 01:42:35 PM »
Prediction: Braun +3.
Logged
MycroftCZ
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 586


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #406 on: September 05, 2018, 01:52:46 PM »
I’m thinking Donnelly +2
Logged
Zaybay
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,076
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.25, S: -6.50

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #407 on: September 05, 2018, 01:56:08 PM »
Im going to be bold....and not announce an answer so I dont look stupid.
Logged
GeorgiaModerate
Moderator
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,679


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #408 on: September 05, 2018, 02:23:51 PM »
Quote from: Zaybay on September 05, 2018, 01:56:08 PM
Im going to be bold....and not announce an answer so I dont look stupid.

This is the biggest outlier yet. Smiley
Logged
windjammer
Atlas Politician
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,513
France


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #409 on: September 05, 2018, 02:25:20 PM »
Finally we will have some polls, it's not from a garbage company right?
Logged
Zaybay
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,076
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.25, S: -6.50

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #410 on: September 05, 2018, 02:25:48 PM »
Quote from: King Louis XVI on September 05, 2018, 02:25:20 PM
Finally we will have some polls, it's not from a garbage company right?
quite the opposite, its Marist, A pollster
Logged
Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,303
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #411 on: September 05, 2018, 03:26:34 PM »
Watch it end up being another tie, since we've been getting a lot of those recently.
Logged
libertpaulian
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,611
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #412 on: September 05, 2018, 04:07:33 PM »
JOE +6!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Logged
junior chįmp
Mondale_was_an_insidejob
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,396
Croatia
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #413 on: September 05, 2018, 04:15:02 PM »

Looks like the RV ad worked
Logged
Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,303
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #414 on: September 05, 2018, 04:44:28 PM »
inb4 "Braun is a recruitment fail/the worst Republican challenger of the cycle"
Logged
Zaybay
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,076
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.25, S: -6.50

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #415 on: September 05, 2018, 04:51:43 PM »
guessing your celebrating about this poll, huh?
Logged
Wisconsin SC Race 2019
hofoid
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,030


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #416 on: September 05, 2018, 05:04:55 PM »
Reminder that the margin narrows as the Libertarian (who will surely get votes) is put into the equation. This is by no means over. Senator Evan Bayh would like to say hi.
Logged
new_patomic
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,217


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #417 on: September 05, 2018, 05:07:03 PM »
The poll seems to show Donnelly getting what he needs, and from where he needs it. Doing well in Marion and the Northwest and keeping his losses down in small towns and other places. Pleasantly surprised.
Logged
KingSweden
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,227
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #418 on: September 05, 2018, 05:10:16 PM »
Quote from: xīngkěruì on September 05, 2018, 04:44:28 PM
inb4 "Braun is a recruitment fail/the worst Republican challenger of the cycle"

He’s not. He was clearly better than the hacks he beat... but by beating those hacks people overrated his strength a little, I think
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #419 on: September 05, 2018, 05:13:37 PM »
Quote from: KingSweden on September 05, 2018, 05:10:16 PM
Quote from: xīngkěruì on September 05, 2018, 04:44:28 PM
inb4 "Braun is a recruitment fail/the worst Republican challenger of the cycle"

He’s not. He was clearly better than the hacks he beat... but by beating those hacks people overrated his strength a little, I think

I wonder what this poll would've shown if Donnelly was up against Rokita. The GOP might have started considering triage, lol.
Logged
wesmoorenerd
westroopnerd
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,600
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.16, S: -7.13

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #420 on: September 05, 2018, 05:13:49 PM »
Comparing Donnelly to Bayh completely ignores the reason why Bayh lost. Bayh lost because:

A) Indiana swung hard for Trump
B) he was imploding because of his lobbying and the fact that he had just moved back to Indiana

Donnelly has neither of these problems. Based on the GCB and Trump's approval in the state, Indiana's 2016 Trumpslide was something of an anomaly. In addition, Donnelly has none of Bayh's personal problems. He's a sitting Senator, not a retread.
Logged
libertpaulian
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,611
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #421 on: September 05, 2018, 05:15:52 PM »
Quote from: GOP-dominated Wisconsin on September 05, 2018, 05:04:55 PM
Reminder that the margin narrows as the Libertarian (who will surely get votes) is put into the equation. This is by no means over. Senator Evan Bayh would like to say hi.
The difference is that Bayh started out in the polls as the victor but ended up as the underdog closer to the end.

Here, Donnelly started out as the underdog but seems to be climbing back up.
Logged
MycroftCZ
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 586


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #422 on: September 05, 2018, 05:16:46 PM »
DONNELLY BY 6!!

YESSSSSSSSSS
Logged
new_patomic
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,217


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #423 on: September 05, 2018, 05:31:22 PM »
Quote from: Maga Like A Mofo on September 05, 2018, 05:13:49 PM
Comparing Donnelly to Bayh completely ignores the reason why Bayh lost. Bayh lost because:

A) Indiana swung hard for Trump
B) he was imploding because of his lobbying and the fact that he had just moved back to Indiana

Donnelly has neither of these problems. Based on the GCB and Trump's approval in the state, Indiana's 2016 Trumpslide was something of an anomaly. In addition, Donnelly has none of Bayh's personal problems. He's a sitting Senator, not a retread.
It didn't help that Bayh was the non-incumbent Senator who wasn't even running until that July.
Logged
Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #424 on: September 05, 2018, 06:34:45 PM »
Logged
Pages: 1 ... 12 13 14 15 16 [17] 18 19 20 21 22 ... 25  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.07 seconds with 11 queries.