Norway election, 11th September 2017

[Tender Branson]

I think the Center-Right government will be re-elected.

My prediction:

26.7% Labour Party
25.0% Conservative Party
15.3% Progress Party
  9.3% Centre Party
  6.0% Socialist Left Party
  4.8% Liberal Party
  4.5% Christian Democratic Party
  3.8% Green Party
  3.0% Red Party
  1.6% Others

49.6% Government
42.0% Opposition (48.8% incl. Greens + Red Party)

Turnout: 78.9%

[Tender Branson]

Are there any livestreams?

https://www.nrk.no/valg2017/

It works outside Norway too, because I can watch it.

[Tender Branson]

The other live stream from TV 2 also works outside Norway:

https://live.tv2.no/valg-2017

[Tender Branson]

Turnout looks to be really good: 80-81%.

That would be +2%.

[Tender Branson]

Very happy with my prediction, if true ...

[Tender Branson]

I think the Center-Right government will be re-elected.

My prediction:

26.7% Labour Party (actual result: 27.4%, underestimated by 0.7%)
25.0% Conservative Party (actual result: 25.0%, absolutely nailed it)
15.3% Progress Party (actual result: 15.2%, overestimated by 0.1%)
  9.3% Centre Party (actual result: 10.3%, underestimated by 1.0%)
  6.0% Socialist Left Party (actual result: 6.0%, absolutely nailed it)
  4.8% Liberal Party (actual result: 4.3%, overestimated by 0.5%)
  4.5% Christian Democratic Party (actual result: 4.2%, overestimated by 0.3%)
  3.8% Green Party (actual result: 3.2%, overestimated by 0.6%)
  3.0% Red Party (actual result: 2.4%, overestimated by 0.6%)
  1.6% Others (actual result: 2.0%, underestimated by 0.4%)

49.6% Government (actual result: 48.7%, overestimated by 0.9%)
42.0% Opposition (48.8% incl. Greens + Red Party) (actual result: 43.7%, 49.3%, underestimated by 1.7% and 0.5%)

Turnout: 78.9% (actual result: 78.0%, overestimated by 0.9%)

I was only off by an average of 0.42 points for every party (incl. others) ...