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November 19, 2019, 03:00:03 am
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  French Municipal elections - 15 and 22 March 2020
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Author Topic: French Municipal elections - 15 and 22 March 2020  (Read 570 times)
parochial boy
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« on: September 08, 2019, 12:30:46 pm »
« edited: September 08, 2019, 12:37:54 pm by parochial boy »

Is it time for a thread? I think it's time for a thread on the next installment of everybody's favourite series "Les aventures de Jupiter: La (pas tellement) mystérieuse disparition du parti Socaliste" (avec tout le monde sauf Les Républicains).

Anyway, reason for starting this thread - Yannick Jadot has ruled out a left alliance in Lyon (maybe in the second round, EELV got 21% in the Europeans you see), proving that the French left continue to collectively be a group of narcissistic arsewipes who deserve everything they get. Anyway, congratulations of your re-election M. Collomb.

More to follow. Maybe.
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Mangez des pommes !
Antonio V
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« Reply #1 on: September 08, 2019, 01:03:46 pm »

Apparently there is a rift within LREM in Paris, with two declared candidates. Any chance that Hidalgo could hang on as a result? I'm more emotionally invested in her hanging on than I perhaps should. She's one of the few in the PS with any integrity.
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parochial boy
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« Reply #2 on: September 09, 2019, 07:01:51 am »
« Edited: September 09, 2019, 02:20:30 pm by parochial boy »

Oh it would be sweet if Griveaux somehow lost in Paris. If anyone sums up the careerist snob with no fixed values its him. From what I can tell, its a bit more hopeful for Hidalgo than it was a year or so ago - her approval ratings are up, and a lot of the anger over the things like the alternance and pederstrianising the right bank of the Seine have died down. And hopefully most of the angry motorists don't actually live in Paris.

Vaguely trying to work out which big cities the left has the best chance of holding (ignoring the popularity or unpopularity of the incumbent of course), I went through the Euro election results to see what EELV, LFI, PS, Génération.S, PCF, Lutte Ouvrière and the Animalistes (I'm calling them left, what the hell...) got together. For interest if nothing else it was something like:

Rennes - 52.2%
Lille - 50.9%
Grenoble - 49.8%
Toulouse - 48.9%
Nantes - 48.5%
Bordeaux - 44.4%
Strasbourg - 43.2%
Paris - 42.6%
Lyon - 42.2%
Marseille - 35.5%
Nice - 28.3%

I'm not sure if anyone noticed at the time, but the geography of the Partie Animaliste was actually a little bit surprising. They very definitely underperformed in the larger towns and cities; with a few exceptions being the likes of Le Havre, ie no the idéopôle type places. Backing this up, their best departments in France where in places like Haute-Marne, Corsica, Oise, Eure and the Ardennes. Definitely seems like they were being used as a protest vote back in May
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parochial boy
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« Reply #3 on: November 15, 2019, 05:45:24 pm »
« Edited: November 15, 2019, 05:49:22 pm by parochial boy »

Rachida Dati will lead the Les Républicains (remember them?) list in Paris. Apparently it's been deemed to be a not-very-good idea; but LR have no hope so... meh.

Also causing a minor stir was noted Galaxy Brain Christophe Castaner's idea of getting rid of the traditional "DVG" and "DVD" lables for independent candidatures in smaller (ie population under 1'000) municipalities. Idea is that the growth of "citizens" lists, party dealignment and the general irrelvance of ideological leanings in small village municipal politics makes the labels irrelevant and arbitrary. Of course, there are lots of LREM aligned "independent" lists going to be standing, who would rather not have a "Right" or "Left" label attached to them. So guess who doing this would mostly wind up helping?
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