Congressional Special Elections Results Thread (OLD, PLEASE UNSTICKY)
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« on: April 03, 2017, 12:00:21 PM »
« edited: August 08, 2018, 09:51:19 AM by Lincoln Assemblyman Dwarven Dragon »

Over the course of 2017 and 2018, several congressional special elections were held. Final Predictions and results coverage were posted here. This was the schedule:

Tuesday 4 April 2017   California - Special Primary Election House CD 34
Tuesday 11 April 2017   Kansas - Special Election House CD 4
Tuesday 18 April 2017   Georgia - Special Election House CD 6
Tuesday 2 May 2017   South Carolina - Special Primary House CD 5
Tuesday 16 May 2017   South Carolina - Special Runoff (if necessary) House CD 5
Thursday 25 May 2017   Montana - Special Election House At-Large
Tuesday 6 June 2017   California - Special General Election (if necessary) House CD 34

Tuesday 20 June 2017   Georgia - Special Runoff (if necessary) House CD 6
South Carolina - Special General Election House CD 5

Tuesday 15 August 2017   Alabama - Special Primary Senate Class 2
Utah - Special Primary House CD 3

Tuesday 26 September 2017   Alabama - Special Runoff (if needed) Senate Class 2

Tuesday 7 November 2017   
Utah - Special Election House CD 3

Tuesday 12 December 2017   Alabama - Special Election Senate Class 2

Tuesday 27 February 2018   Arizona - Special Primary House CD 8

Tuesday 13 March 2018   Pennsylvania - Special Election House CD 18

Tuesday 24 April 2018   Arizona - Special Election House CD 8

Tuesday 8 May 2018    Ohio - Special Primary House CD 12

Saturday 30 June 2018  Texas - Special Election House CD 27

Tuesday 7 August 2018   Ohio - Special Election House CD 12


-------------

Information on the first two elections has been removed due to the character limit. View it here: https://docs.google.com/document/d/1mmVSzpm5VI1r1sufK8eYtrzmitRmnNLtpCortHRWVqk

----------------------

The third election was held on Tuesday, April 18th, in the 6th district of Georgia. Polls closed at 7 PM EST. This was to replace Tom Price, who is now the Director of Health and Human Services. All candidates from all parties were on the same ballot, and no primary election occurred to lower the # of candidates. There were a total of 18 candidates on the ballot. If someone had received 50% of the vote, that person would have been elected to Congress. Since no one received a majority, a runoff was held on June 20th. These were the candidates:

Name   Party   
Abroms, David   GOP   
Bhuiyan, Mohammad Ali   GOP   
Edwards, Ragin   Dem   
Grawert, Keith   GOP   
Gray, Bob   GOP   
Handel, Karen   GOP   
Hernandez, Alexander   Ind   
Hill, Judson   GOP   
Keatley, Richard   Dem   
Kremer, Amy   GOP   
Levell, Bruce   GOP   
Llop, William   GOP   
Moody, Dan   GOP   
Ossoff, Jon   Dem   
Pollard, Andre   Ind   
Quigg, Rebecca   Dem   
Slotin, Ron   Dem   
Wilson, Kurt   GOP   

Results were posted here: http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2017/by_state/GA_Page_0418.html?SITE=AP&SECTION=POLITICS

This is how the district has behaved in recent presidential elections:

Trump 48-47
Romney 61-38
McCain 59-40

WINNERS: OSSOFF AND HANDEL (RUNOFF)

-------------------

The fourth election was held on Tuesday, May 2nd in the 5th district of South Carolina. Polls closed at 7 PM EST. This was the first step to replace Mick Mulvaney, who is now the director of the office of management and budget. This was a primary election, there was a democratic primary and a republican primary. As no republican candidate received 50% of the vote, a runoff was held on May 16th. These were the candidates:

Dem Primary
Parnell, Archie   
Frank, Alexis   
Murphy, Les   

GOP Primary
Connelly, Chad   
Few, Sheri   
Wampler, Kris   
Pope, Tommy   
Craig, Ray   
Norman, Ralph   
Mullikin, Tom   

Results were posted here:
http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2017/by_state/SC_Page_0502.html?SITE=AP&SECTION=POLITICS

D WINNER: PARNELL
R WINNERS: POPE AND NORMAN (RUNOFF)

----------------------

The fifth election was held on Tuesday, May 16th in the 5th district of South Carolina. Polls closed at 7 PM EST. This was the second step to replace Mick Mulvaney, who is now the director of the office of management and budget. This was a runoff election for the republican primary, necessitated by no one receiving 50% of the vote in the republican primary. These were the candidates:

Pope, Tommy   
Norman, Ralph   

Results were posted here: http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2017/by_state/SC_Page_0516.html?SITE=AP&SECTION=POLITICS

WINNER: NORMAN

------------------------------------

The sixth election was held on Thursday, May 25th, in the at-large house seat for the state of Montana. Polls closed at 10 PM EST. This was to replace Ryan Zinke, who is now Secretary of the Interior. Candidates were selected by convention, or could petition their way onto the ballot. This was a standard FPTP general election. These were the candidates:

Name   Party
Quist, Rob   Dem   
Gianforte Assaulterforte, Greg   GOP   
Wicks, Mark   Lib   

Results were posted here: http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2017/by_state/MT_Page_0525.html?SITE=AP&SECTION=POLITICS

This is how the district has behaved in recent presidential elections:

Trump 57-36
Romney 55-42
McCain 50-47

WINNER: GIANFORTE ASSAULTERFORTE (R HOLD)


------------

The seventh election was held on Tuesday, June 6th in the 34th district of California. Polls closed at 11 PM EST. This was the final step to replace Xavier Becerra, who is now the Attorney General of California. This was a runoff election for the general election, necessitated by no one getting 50% of the vote in the general election. Voters were able to choose between two democrats:

Gomez, Jimmy
Ahn, Robert

Results were posted here: http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2017/by_state/CA_Page_0606.html?SITE=AP&SECTION=POLITICS

WINNER: GOMEZ (D HOLD)

---------------

The eighth election was held on Tuesday, June 20th, in the 5th District of South Carolina. Polls closed at 7 PM EST. This was the final step to replace Mick Mulvaney, who is now the director of the Office of Management and Budget. Candidates were selected by primary elections held in May. This was a standard FPTP general election. These were the candidates:

Name   Party   
Parnell, Archie   Dem   
Norman, Ralph   GOP   
Kulma, David   Grn   
Kocher, Victor   Lib   
Thornton, Josh   American

Results will be posted here:

http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2017/by_state/SC_Page_0620.html?SITE=AP&SECTION=POLITICS

This is how the district has behaved in recent presidential elections:

Trump 57-39
Romney 55-44
McCain 55-44

WINNER: NORMAN (R HOLD)

--------------

The ninth election was held on Tuesday, June 20th, in the 6th district of Georgia. Polls closed at 7 PM EST. This was the final step to replace Tom Price, who is now the Director of Health and Human Services. This was a runoff election for the general election, necessitated by no one getting 50% of the vote in the general election. These were the candidates:

Name   Party   
Ossoff, Jon   Dem   
Handel, Karen   GOP

Results were posted here:

http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2017/by_state/GA_Page_0620.html?SITE=AP&SECTION=POLITICS

This is how the district has behaved in recent presidential elections:

Trump 48-47
Romney 61-38
McCain 59-40

WINNER: HANDEL (R HOLD)

--------------

The tenth election was held on Tuesday, August 15th, in the state of Alabama. Polls closed at 8 PM EST. This was the first step to replace Jeff Sessions, who is now the Attorney General of the United States. This was a primary election, there was a democratic primary and a republican primary. Since no one received 50% in the republican primary, there was a runoff on September 26th. These were the candidates:

Democratic Primary

Hansen, Michael   
McGee, Brian   
Caldwell, Vann   
Fisher, Jason   
Boyd, Will   
Kennedy, Robert   
Jones, Doug   
Nana, Charles   

Republican Primary

Strange, Luther (appointed incumbent)   
Brooks, Mo   
Brinson, Randy   
Breault, Joseph   
Moore, Roy   
Maxwell, Mary   
Pittman, Trip   
Peeples, Bryan   
Beretta, James   
Gentile, Dom   

Results were posted here: http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2017/by_state/AL_Page_0815.html?SITE=AP&SECTION=POLITICS

D Winner: JONES
R Winners: MOORE AND STRANGE (RUNOFF)
-------------------

The eleventh election was held on Tuesday, August 15th, in the 3rd congressional district of Utah. Polls closed at 10 PM EST. This was a primary to select the republican nominee for the november special election to replace Jason Chaffetz, who has retired from politics. Other parties have already selected their nominees by convention. The candidates for the republican primary were:

Ainge, Tanner   
Curtis, John   
Herrod, Christopher

Results were posted here: http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2017/by_state/UT_Page_0815.html?SITE=AP&SECTION=POLITICS

WINNER: CURTIS

-----

The twelfth election was held on Tuesday, September 26th, in the State of Alabama. Polls closed at 8 PM EST. This was the second step to replace Jeff Sessions, who is now the Attorney General of the United States. This was a runoff election for the republican primary, necessitated by no one receiving 50% of the vote in the republican primary. These were the candidates:

Moore, Roy   
Strange, Luther (appointed incumbent)


Results were posted here: http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2017/by_state/AL_Page_0926.html?SITE=AP&SECTION=POLITICS

WINNER: MOORE

------------

The thirteenth election was held on Tuesday, November 7th, in the 3rd district of Utah. Polls closed at 10 PM ET. This was the final step to replace Jason Chaffetz, who has retired from politics. Most parties selected their nominees by convention, except for the republican party which held a primary in August. This was a standard FPTP general election. These were the candidates:

Name   Party   
Allen, Kathie   Dem   
Curtis, John   GOP   
Christensen, Jason   IAP   
Buchman, Joe   Lib   
Bennett, Jim   UUT   
Whalen, Sean   Una

Results were posted here: http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2017/by_state/UT_Page_1107.html?SITE=AP&SECTION=POLITICS

This is how the district has behaved in recent presidential elections:

Trump 47, McMullin 24, Clinton 23
Romney 78-20
McCain 68-30

WINNER: CURTIS (R HOLD)

----------------------

The fourteenth election was held on Tuesday, December 12th, in the State of Alabama. Polls closed at 8 PM EST. This was the final step to replace Jeff Sessions, who is now the Attorney General of the United States. Candidates were selected by primary elections held in August and September. This was a standard FPTP general election. These were the candidates:

Name   Party   
Moore, Roy   GOP   
Jones, Doug   Dem   
Various Write-In Candidates   NPD   


Results were posted here:

http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2017/by_state/AL_Page_1212.html?SITE=AP&SECTION=POLITICS

This is how the state has behaved in recent presidential elections:

Trump 62-34
Romney 61-38
McCain 60-39

WINNER: JONES (D GAIN)

-------------

The fifthteenth election was held on Tuesday, Feburary 27th, in the 8th District of Arizona. Polls closed at 9 PM ET. This was the first step to replace Trent Franks, who has retired from Politics. This was a primary election, there was a democratic primary and a republican primary. These were the candidates:

Republicans

Allen, Chad
Dilley, Brenden
Dolgos, Stephen
Lesko, Debbie
Lien, David "Dave"
Lovas, Phil
Mack, Richard
Montenegro, Steve
Stump, Bob
Sylvester, Christopher
Van Steenwyk, Clair
Yates, Mark

Democrats

Tipirneni, Hiral
Westbrook, Brianna

Results were posted here: http://results.arizona.vote/#/federal/5/0

D WINNER: TIPIRNENI
R WINNER: LESKO

-------------
The sixteenth election was held on Tuesday, March 13th, in the 18th district of Pennsylvania. Polls closed at 8 PM EST. This was to replace Tim Murphy, who has retired from Politics. Candidates were selected by convention, or could petition their way onto the ballot. This was a standard FPTP general election. These were the candidates:

Party   Name   
Dem   Lamb, Conor   
GOP   Saccone, Rick
Lib   Miller, Drew

Results were posted here: https://elections.ap.org/gannett/election_results/2018-03-13/state/PA/race/G/raceid/40301

This is how the district has behaved in recent presidential elections:

58-39 Trump
58-41 Romney
55-44 McCain

WINNER: LAMB (D GAIN)

-----------

The seventeenth election was held on Tuesday, April 24th, in the 8th district of Arizona. Polls closed at 10 PM EST. This was to replace Trent Franks, who has retired from Politics. Candidates were selected by primary elections held in February. This was a standard FPTP general election. These were the candidates:

Name                  Party
Lesko, Debbie       REP
Tipirnini, Hiral       DEM

Results were posted here: https://www.vox.com/policy-and-politics/2018/4/23/17263138/arizona-special-election-live-results-lesko-tipirneni

This is how the district has behaved in recent presidential elections:

58-37 Trump
62-37 Romney
61-38 McCain

WINNER: LESKO (R HOLD)

----------

The eighteenth election was held on Tuesday, May 8th in the 12th district of Ohio. Polls closed at 7:30 PM EST. This was the first step to replace Bob Turner, who has retired from politics. This was a primary election, there was a Democratic primary and a republican primary. These were the candidates:

Democrats:

Danny O'Connor   
Jackie Patton   
John Russell   
Doug Wilson   
Ed Albertson   
Zach Scott   

Republicans:

Kevin Bacon   
Mick Shoemaker   
Larry Cohen   
Carol O'Brien   
Melanie Leneghan   
Troy Balderson   
Tim Kane
Pat Manley   
Jon Halverstadt

Results were posted here: https://www.politico.com/election-results/2018/ohio/

D WINNER: O'CONNOR
R WINNER: BALDERSON

--------------

The nineteenth election was held on Saturday, June 30th, in the 27th District of Texas. Polls closed at 8 PM EST. This was to replace Blake Farenthold, who has retired from Politics. All candidates from all parties were on the same ballot, and no primary election occurred to lower the # of candidates. There were a total of 9 candidates on the ballot. As Republican Michael Cloud received a majority of the vote, he was elected to congress. These were the candidates:

Raul (Roy) Barrera   DEM   
Bech Bruun   REP   
Michael Cloud   REP   
Judith Cutright   IND   
Eric Holguin   DEM   
Marty Perez   REP   
Christopher Suprun   IND   
Daniel Tinus   LIB   
Michael Westergren   DEM

Results were posted here: https://enrpages.sos.state.tx.us/public/jun30_329_state.htm?x=0&y=140&id=715

This is how the district has behaved in recent presidential elections:

Trump 60-37
Romney 61-38
McCain 59-40

WINNER: CLOUD (R HOLD)

---------------

The Twentieth and final election was held on Tuesday, August 7th, in the 12th District of Ohio. Polls closed at 7:30 PM EST. This was the final step to replace Pat Tiberi, who has retired from politics. Nominees were selected by primaries held in May, and could also petition their way onto the ballot. This was a standard FPTP general election. These were the candidates:

Name                  Party
Balderson, Troy       REP
Manchik, Joe          GRN
O'Connor, Danny      DEM

Results were posted here (use incognito mode): https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2018/08/07/us/elections/results-ohio-special-house-election-district-12.html

This is how the district has behaved in recent presidential elections:

Trump 53-42
Romney 54-44
McCain 54-45

WINNER: BALDERSON (R HOLD)
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Chief Justice Keef
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« Reply #1 on: April 03, 2017, 12:15:04 PM »

I'm hoping Wendy Carrillo wins after Carmona's proven to be a piece of s--t, but it's probably going to Gomez.
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publicunofficial
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« Reply #2 on: April 03, 2017, 12:54:03 PM »

I'm guessing a Gomez/Anh run-off.
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Figueira
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« Reply #3 on: April 03, 2017, 02:43:41 PM »

I'm predicting a Gomez vs. Hernandez runoff. Gomez probably wins that.
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Virginiá
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« Reply #4 on: April 03, 2017, 03:21:42 PM »

I'm sticky'ing this for general 2017 special election coverage. The GA-6 one is a hot race, so I'll keep that thread up as well, but otherwise let's try and keep the generic special election coverage for this batch in this thread.
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Figueira
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« Reply #5 on: April 03, 2017, 03:27:54 PM »

Oh, and I'm predicting Estes, the Republican, will win KS-04. Bold prediction I know. Tongue
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ProgressiveCanadian
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« Reply #6 on: April 04, 2017, 02:39:44 AM »

Not that he's going anywhere but Arturo Carmona seems to be a sexist pig.
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Figueira
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« Reply #7 on: April 04, 2017, 12:32:52 PM »

Not that he's going anywhere but Arturo Carmona seems to be a sexist pig.

Yeah, someone on Atlas (Chickenhawk I think?) said that Carmona was widely disliked within the Sanders campaign. Now we know why.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #8 on: April 04, 2017, 02:49:33 PM »

Turnout seems like it's going to be very very low.
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BuckeyeNut
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« Reply #9 on: April 04, 2017, 03:22:17 PM »

Haven't seen any polling for this, but I'm ostensibly rooting for Campoverdi.
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Figueira
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« Reply #10 on: April 04, 2017, 03:56:44 PM »

Honestly any of the Democrats would be fine except Carmona, and maybe some of the no-names.
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #11 on: April 04, 2017, 03:58:57 PM »

Early Vote:

60% Dem
27% Ind
12% Rep

35% Asian American (35% of this is Korean American)
28% Latino

60% 55 or older

6% of all registered voters have already voted. Final Turnout is expected to be between 9% and 21%.

http://www.latimes.com/politics/essential/la-pol-ca-essential-politics-updates-who-s-already-voted-in-the-34th-1491282940-htmlstory.html
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« Reply #12 on: April 04, 2017, 04:08:43 PM »

Wait, so 100% of the Asian voters are Korean?
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BuckeyeNut
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« Reply #13 on: April 04, 2017, 04:24:52 PM »

Wait, so 100% of the Asian voters are Korean?
I think he means 35% of the Asian vote is Korean-American. How exactly that can be known...
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100% pro-life no matter what
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« Reply #14 on: April 04, 2017, 05:15:28 PM »

With so many Democrats and only one Republican, is getting 15-20% and a spot in the runoff (to be killed, I know) too much to ask for?
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« Reply #15 on: April 04, 2017, 05:16:36 PM »

With so many Democrats and only one Republican, is getting 15-20% and a spot in the runoff (to be killed, I know) too much to ask for?

It is too much to ask for, yes.
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« Reply #16 on: April 04, 2017, 05:24:05 PM »

Haven't seen any polling for this, but I'm ostensibly rooting for Campoverdi.
I am as well, it wouldn't hurt to have some new, (and young especially might I ad) blood in the party
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Maxwell
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« Reply #17 on: April 04, 2017, 05:32:30 PM »

Team Gomez all the way tho. Solidly progressive, not a true leftist ala carrillo and (lol) carmona.

Not really sure what Campoverdi stands for other than generic platitudes.
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Jeppe
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« Reply #18 on: April 04, 2017, 07:30:55 PM »

Would like to see Campoverdi elected. She seems like she'd make a great statewide candidate down the line.
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Chancellor Tanterterg
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« Reply #19 on: April 04, 2017, 07:34:16 PM »

Team Gomez all the way tho. Solidly progressive, not a true leftist ala carrillo and (lol) carmona.

Not really sure what Campoverdi stands for other than generic platitudes.

Agreed, Gomez is easily the best option here.
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TheSaint250
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« Reply #20 on: April 04, 2017, 07:47:01 PM »

Any results yet?
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Holmes
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« Reply #21 on: April 04, 2017, 07:52:29 PM »


Not for another 2+ hours.
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Figueira
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« Reply #22 on: April 04, 2017, 07:54:25 PM »

Polls close at 8 Pacific Time I believe?

Yeah, after learning more about Gomez he seems like the best option. Campoverdi would also be good though.
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« Reply #23 on: April 04, 2017, 07:58:10 PM »

With so many Democrats and only one Republican, is getting 15-20% and a spot in the runoff (to be killed, I know) too much to ask for?

This district voted 83/14 Obama/Romney, and then 84/11 Clinton/Trump. So 15% is probably out of reach; although with so many Democrats I'm not sure that necessarily means a spot in the runoff is unrealistic, though it's definitely unlikely.
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Figueira
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« Reply #24 on: April 04, 2017, 08:49:17 PM »

I predict it will be Gomez vs. Ahn (with Gomez being the ultimate winner). I don't think the Republican has a path to the runoff.
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