Congressional Special Elections Results Thread (OLD, PLEASE UNSTICKY)

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Cloud is leading early.

Yeah, it's pretty much decided rn. Congrats Congressman Cloud I guess...

[KingSweden]

Cloud by 8 is not a bad result for Dems in all honesty

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

By how much did Trump win this district?

[ON Progressive]

Not surprising at all.

The Democratic base in this district is Latinos, and they always have bad turnout. It also doesn't help that it's a Saturday election that had almost no real attention (I've seen more coverage of state legislative specials than this election).

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

RACE   NAME      PARTY   EARLY VOTES   PERCENT   TOTAL VOTES   PERCENT
U. S. Representative District 27 - Unexpired Term               
Raul (Roy) Barrera   DEM   491   5.72%   507   5.46%
Bech Bruun   REP   459   5.34%   484   5.21%
Michael Cloud   REP   5,731   66.78%   6,139   66.12%
Judith Cutright   IND   32   0.37%   36   0.38%
Eric Holguin   DEM   1,648   19.20%   1,876   20.20%
Marty Perez   REP   48   0.55%   56   0.60%
Christopher Suprun   IND   6   0.06%   6   0.06%
Daniel Tinus   LIB   21   0.24%   26   0.28%
Michael Westergren   DEM   145   1.68%   154   1.65%
-----------      -----------   
Race Total      8,581      9,284   
Precincts Reported      17   of   184 Precincts      9.24%

[Sestak]

Wait. On a Saturday?

From Texas of all states this is a pleasant surprise.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

RACE   NAME      PARTY   EARLY VOTES   PERCENT   TOTAL VOTES   PERCENT
U. S. Representative District 27 - Unexpired Term               
Raul (Roy) Barrera   DEM   508   5.65%   537   5.37%
Bech Bruun   REP   463   5.15%   491   4.91%
Michael Cloud   REP   5,732   63.84%   6,324   63.29%
Judith Cutright   IND   32   0.35%   36   0.36%
Eric Holguin   DEM   1,956   21.78%   2,293   22.94%
Marty Perez   REP   49   0.54%   58   0.58%
Christopher Suprun   IND   6   0.06%   6   0.06%
Daniel Tinus   LIB   67   0.74%   72   0.72%
Michael Westergren   DEM   165   1.83%   175   1.75%
-----------      -----------   
Race Total      8,978      9,992   
Precincts Reported      33   of   184 Precincts      17.93%

[Sestak]

NYT has Cloud at 52 with 27% in.

[Sestak]

Michael Cloud
Republican
12,302   52.6%   
Eric Holguin
Democrat
7,568   32.4   
Roy Barrera
Democrat
1,298   5.6   
 Others   
2,215   9.5   
23,383 votes, 27% reporting (50 of 184 precincts)

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Both Trump and Farentholdt won the district by 24 points btw.

[Thunder98 🇮🇱 🤝 🇵🇸]

NYT has Cloud at 52 with 27% in.

Do you have a source, if you don't mind?

[Sestak]

NYT has Cloud at 52 with 27% in.

Do you have a source, if you don't mind?

NYT has Cloud at 52 with 27% in.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

So combined vote so far-

GOP: 58.2%
Dems: 40.8

So far we are looking at around a 7-point swing from 2016

NYT Link: https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2018/06/30/us/politics/election-results-texas-house-district-27.html

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

RACE   NAME      PARTY   EARLY VOTES   PERCENT   TOTAL VOTES   PERCENT
U. S. Representative District 27 - Unexpired Term               
Raul (Roy) Barrera   DEM   558   5.79%   717   4.91%
Bech Bruun   REP   548   5.68%   691   4.73%
Michael Cloud   REP   6,400   66.41%   9,472   64.87%
Judith Cutright   IND   38   0.39%   54   0.36%
Eric Holguin   DEM   1,816   18.84%   3,240   22.19%
Marty Perez   REP   58   0.60%   101   0.69%
Christopher Suprun   IND   8   0.08%   20   0.13%
Daniel Tinus   LIB   45   0.46%   88   0.60%
Michael Westergren   DEM   166   1.72%   217   1.48%
-----------      -----------   
Race Total      9,637      14,600   
Precincts Reported      91   of   184 Precincts      49.46%

[ON Progressive]

Note that there's a tabulation error on the AP's part on the NYT page. The actual result is Cloud 308, Holguin 46, Bruun 20, Barrera 17.

[Kyle Rittenhouse is a Political Prisoner]

Possibly a sign of relative underperformance in Hispanic-heavy districts this Nov.

[Sestak]

Note that there's a tabulation error on the AP's part on the NYT page. The actual result is Cloud 308, Holguin 46, Bruun 20, Barrera 17.

The actual result where?

[ON Progressive]

Note that there's a tabulation error on the AP's part on the NYT page. The actual result is Cloud 308, Holguin 46, Bruun 20, Barrera 17.

The actual result where?

Texas Secretary of State's website

https://enrpages.sos.state.tx.us/public/jun30_329_county5.htm?x=0&y=0&id=304

[Sestak]

Note that there's a tabulation error on the AP's part on the NYT page. The actual result is Cloud 308, Holguin 46, Bruun 20, Barrera 17.

The actual result where?

Texas Secretary of State's website

https://enrpages.sos.state.tx.us/public/jun30_329_county5.htm?x=0&y=0&id=304

You're reading the early vote. The total vote matches the NYT total for Jackson county.

[ON Progressive]

Note that there's a tabulation error on the AP's part on the NYT page. The actual result is Cloud 308, Holguin 46, Bruun 20, Barrera 17.

The actual result where?

Texas Secretary of State's website

https://enrpages.sos.state.tx.us/public/jun30_329_county5.htm?x=0&y=0&id=304

You're reading the early vote. The total vote matches the NYT total for Jackson county.

They fixed it then. I first saw it showing Holguin at 308, the Libertarian at 46, and some random Dem in third. Those kinds of tabulation errors happen a lot but get fixed in a few minutes.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

RACE   NAME      PARTY   EARLY VOTES   PERCENT   TOTAL VOTES   PERCENT
U. S. Representative District 27 - Unexpired Term               
Raul (Roy) Barrera   DEM   1,193   5.72%   1,368   5.21%
Bech Bruun   REP   1,111   5.33%   1,264   4.81%
Michael Cloud   REP   11,395   54.70%   14,709   56.07%
Judith Cutright   IND   100   0.48%   118   0.44%
Eric Holguin   DEM   6,164   29.59%   7,747   29.53%
Marty Perez   REP   171   0.82%   215   0.81%
Christopher Suprun   IND   25   0.12%   37   0.14%
Daniel Tinus   LIB   73   0.35%   118   0.44%
Michael Westergren   DEM   599   2.87%   654   2.49%
-----------      -----------   
Race Total      20,831      26,230   
Precincts Reported      115   of   184 Precincts      62.50%

[Sestak]

NYT calls it for Cloud.

[ON Progressive]

Looks like Bastrop only went 52.2-46.2 Republican in this election. The part of Bastrop that is in TX-27 went 59-36 Trump.

As for Nueces, Dems got 50.4% while Reps got 49.6%. The whole county is in TX-27, and it went 48.8-47.2 Trump in 2016.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

WULFRIC PROJECTION: CLOUD WINS OUTRIGHT

RACE   NAME      PARTY   EARLY VOTES   PERCENT   TOTAL VOTES   PERCENT
U. S. Representative District 27 - Unexpired Term               
Raul (Roy) Barrera   DEM   1,275   5.83%   1,696   4.84%
Bech Bruun   REP   1,182   5.41%   1,546   4.41%
Michael Cloud   REP   12,101   55.39%   18,901   53.99%
Judith Cutright   IND   108   0.49%   167   0.47%
Eric Holguin   DEM   6,288   28.78%   11,398   32.56%
Marty Perez   REP   178   0.81%   264   0.75%
Christopher Suprun   IND   26   0.11%   51   0.14%
Daniel Tinus   LIB   75   0.34%   141   0.40%
Michael Westergren   DEM   611   2.79%   841   2.40%
-----------      -----------   
Race Total      21,844      35,005   
Precincts Reported      159   of   184 Precincts      86.41%

[Arkansas Yankee]

Everything is so quiet in mudeville tonight.  

Wonder why?