ND-SEN: But you are, Blanche, you are

[TML]

An incumbent down by 4 to 12% in a state where the natural bias is not in her favor..

She is at 42% in the RCP average....    Stick a fork in her.... she's done.

Using your logic, Rick Berg should have beaten her in 2012.

A more accurate statement about her present status should be that she's down but not out.

[wesmoorenerd]

An incumbent down by 4 to 12% in a state where the natural bias is not in her favor..

She is at 42% in the RCP average....    Stick a fork in her.... she's done.

Using your logic, Rick Berg should have beaten her in 2012.

A more accurate statement about her present status should be that she's down but not out.

I'd say she's pretty much out. She was trailing before Kavanaugh and the ad scandal, and those two things have pretty much sealed her fate. I wouldn't be surprised if she lost by double digits.

[MT Treasurer]

this is probably bad news for Heitkamp. She needs gangbusters turnout in the east. On the other hand, the west is bad for Cramer.

You’d think after 2016 people would have learned to not read too much (if anything) into early voting numbers, but apparently not.

[Former Kentuckian]

this is probably bad news for Heitkamp. She needs gangbusters turnout in the east. On the other hand, the west is bad for Cramer.

You’d think after 2016 people would have learned to not read too much (if anything) into early voting numbers, but apparently not.

That's why I avoided adding any commentary to my post. I just wanted to show the early voting by region so people could see where the numbers are coming in from.

[MT Treasurer]

That's why I avoided adding any commentary to my post. I just wanted to show the early voting by region so people could see where the numbers are coming in from.

Oh I know, and thanks for doing this, I really appreciate it. I was thinking about doing something similar for MT (like I did in 2017), but we’ll see.

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

It's because Heitkamp voted No on Kavanaugh.

[Xing]

No, it's because North Dakota is one of the most Republican states in the country.

[Politician]

No, it's because Heitkamp has ran a terrible campaign and Cramer has run a strong one.

Yes, ND is red, but so is WV, and Manchin is smoking Morrissey.

[Zaybay]

No, it's because North Dakota is one of the most Republican states in the country.

Yep, if/when/if Cramer wins, it wont be because of Kavanaugh, it will be because its ND.

[IceSpear]

It's because Heitkamp voted No on Kavanaugh.

No, it's because North Dakota is one of the most Republican states in the country.

Mostly the second one, with a pinch of the first, and a small helping of the fact that she just got massive amounts of negative press for accidentally publishing the names of sexual assault survivors without their permission. It's funny Atlas thought wouldn't matter. Democrats are held to a far higher standard than Republicans, especially in red states.

[Zaybay]

It's because Heitkamp voted No on Kavanaugh.

No, it's because North Dakota is one of the most Republican states in the country.

Mostly the second one, with a pinch of the first, and a small helping of the fact that she just massive amounts of negative press for accidentally publishing the names of sexual assault survivors without their permission.

Now that I think about it, will that last till election day? I mean, Kavanaugh has already kinda died after just a week and a 1/2.

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

What hail mary move would you make as Heidi to try and win the election?

[Technocracy Timmy]

Start offering free weed to every 20 something/30 something year old Cramer voter.

[junior chįmp]

Bodyslam a journalist

[ElectionsGuy]

Can we stop with these threads, please?

[RI]

Democrats are held to a far higher standard than Republicans, especially in red states.

Which is why Menendez will lose while Moore won.

[ON Progressive]

Democrats are held to a far higher standard than Republicans, especially in red states.

Which is why Menendez will lose while Moore won.

Moore won 91% of Republicans.

[Gass3268]

Democrats are held to a far higher standard than Republicans, especially in red states.

Which is why Menendez will lose while Moore won.

What is it with Republicans comparing corruption with pedophila?

[RI]

Democrats are held to a far higher standard than Republicans, especially in red states.

Which is why Menendez will lose while Moore won.

What is it with Republicans comparing corruption with pedophila?

Because Menendez is accused of pedophilia as well?

[Politician]

Democrats are held to a far higher standard than Republicans, especially in red states.

Which is why Menendez will lose while Moore won.

Moore won 91% of Republicans.

Over half of Republicans stayed home.

[OBD]

Kill Cramer and make it look like suicide

[IceSpear]

Have Kevin Cramer whacked and hope that voters don't want to vote for a dead person.

[IceSpear]

Kevin de Leon
Mike Braun (Nate Silver's junk model unironically disagrees)
John James
Karin Housley
Matt ROSENdale
Jacky Rosen
Dean Heller
Bob Hugin
Jim Renacci
Lou Barletta
Beto O'Rourke
Patrick Morrisey
Leah Vukmir
Walker Stapleton
Bob Stefanowski
Ron DeSantis
Ben Jealous
Bill Schuette
Jeff Johnson
Molly Kelly
Steve Pearce
Knute Buehler
Allan Fung
Barbara Comstock
Keith Rothfus
Pearl Kim
Mike Coffman
Erik Paulsen
Jason Lewis
Kevin Yoder

Feel free to add your own!

[Stranger in a strange land]

Unsarcastically and unioronically, go all out with ads and mailers of Cocaine Mitch talking about how he's going to cut medicare and social security after the election.

[Antonio the Sixth]

That's bullsh*t. She was down by comparable numbers before announcing her vote.