ND-SEN: But you are, Blanche, you are
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  ND-SEN: But you are, Blanche, you are
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Author Topic: ND-SEN: But you are, Blanche, you are  (Read 106604 times)
Bidenworth2020
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« Reply #125 on: September 16, 2017, 05:30:43 PM »


Huh 

ya sure bro?
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Maxwell
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« Reply #126 on: September 16, 2017, 05:32:22 PM »

Probably high 50s early 60s, which means she probably barely leads/in a statistical tie with any GOP contender.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #127 on: September 16, 2017, 05:35:34 PM »


No, I just think ND is too polar for her to win again.
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Bidenworth2020
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« Reply #128 on: September 16, 2017, 05:39:56 PM »


ah that makes more sense
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #129 on: September 16, 2017, 05:53:29 PM »


I could be wrong though Bro. She's a decent fit, and Trump essentially endorsed her, and I have it as lean R, so it's still winable. Plus the GOP has put forth crap candidates, also keep in mind we don't have any precedents to our guesses, so we are taking shots into the dark.
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UncleSam
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« Reply #130 on: September 17, 2017, 04:24:17 AM »

Approval probably outpaces polling by a fair margin for her, I'd guess she is sitting around 60-65% approval but not cracking 50% in private polls with lots of undecideds (basically winning something like 45-38 or something against Cramer / 44 - 40 against generic R). She's an impressive candidate but ND is gonna be hard to win in no matter how you cut it.

The lack of a quality contender combined with more attention spent on other targets + her genuine moderate streak and willingness to be seen with Trump all help her though and could ensure enough crossover support to win in the end. Dems are really really unpopular in the Dakotas right now however.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #131 on: October 20, 2017, 06:50:37 AM »

Cramer moving closer to decision

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Kamala
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« Reply #132 on: October 20, 2017, 08:57:22 AM »

Pretty funny he told Heitkamp’s brother this.
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GlobeSoc
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« Reply #133 on: October 24, 2017, 11:25:08 AM »

Campbell internal has him up 3 on Heitkmamp, but Atlas told me this race was likely D

lol
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IceSpear
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« Reply #134 on: October 24, 2017, 11:26:21 AM »

Campbell internal has him up 3 on Heitkmamp, but Atlas told me this race was likely D

And Kirk's internals showed a tie.

Not that I disagree with your point. I think the race is a toss up.
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BudgieForce
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« Reply #135 on: October 24, 2017, 11:27:14 AM »

Campbell internal has him up 3 on Heitkmamp, but Atlas told me this race was likely D

lol
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BudgieForce
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« Reply #136 on: October 24, 2017, 11:32:42 AM »

You guys are laughing, but there are Democratic candidates like Lucas St. Clair in ME-02 who release internals showing themselves behind against supposedly far less popular incumbents than Heitkamp.

Thats fine, but an internal from a no name pollster without a website does not mean ND isnt lean D. It isnt a toss-up either. We dont know what it is because we havent gotten any decent polls yet.
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Chancellor Tanterterg
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« Reply #137 on: October 24, 2017, 12:09:35 PM »

You guys are laughing, but there are Democratic candidates like Lucas St. Clair in ME-02 who release internals showing themselves behind against supposedly far less popular incumbents than Heitkamp.

Thats fine, but an internal from a no name pollster without a website does not mean ND isnt lean D. It isnt a toss-up either. We dont know what it is because we havent gotten any decent polls yet.

It's toss-up tilt-D, but not because of this poll.
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Virginiá
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« Reply #138 on: October 24, 2017, 12:41:17 PM »

I'm not too worried. There is no way to know how this particular race will go next year (except to wait), but I do know that it is no easy task for the party that controls the White House to knock off opposition party incumbents in a bad midterm. So until next summer, until proven otherwise, I think it would be best to take a pro-incumbent outlook.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #139 on: November 03, 2017, 08:47:16 PM »

Trump apparently encouraging Cramer to jump into the race
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Cactus Jack
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« Reply #140 on: November 03, 2017, 08:57:27 PM »


Yet again, Trump displays all the long-term political instincts of a carp.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #141 on: December 01, 2017, 06:42:40 PM »
« Edited: December 01, 2017, 06:44:23 PM by MT Treasurer »

Kathy Neset (R) is apparently out, and Tammy Miller (R) isn't running either
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Bidenworth2020
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« Reply #142 on: December 17, 2017, 01:38:14 PM »

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=g3rxpf8j63I
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #143 on: January 03, 2018, 05:19:18 PM »

Cramer hasn't made a final decision yet, but seems to be leaning heavily toward running against Heitkamp. He's also... uh, "fairly" confident that he'd beat her.

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https://www.rollcall.com/news/politics/trump-urging-cramer-to-challenge-heitkamp
http://www.grandforksherald.com/news/government-and-politics/4380562-weighing-many-factors-cramer-considers-senate-race-and
http://www.wdaz.com/news/4382171-commentary-cramer-trending-toward-challenging-heitkamp
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Cactus Jack
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« Reply #144 on: January 03, 2018, 05:37:40 PM »

So the Republican primary here is going to come down to a prick and a handsome cardboard cutout.

Heitkamp must be delighted right now.
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junior chįmp
Mondale_was_an_insidejob
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« Reply #145 on: January 03, 2018, 05:42:50 PM »

So the Republican primary here is going to come down to a prick and a handsome cardboard cutout.

Heitkamp must be delighted right now.

Heitkamp was never going to lose anyway
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King Lear
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« Reply #146 on: January 03, 2018, 05:54:20 PM »

If Cramer runs he’ll have a large lead over Hentkemp, I currently rate this race Likely Republican because I expect Cramer to run and Trump to campaign hard for him, and in this polarized climate it’s hard for me to imagine Democrats holding a senate seat in a state as Republican as North Dakota.
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Cactus Jack
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« Reply #147 on: January 03, 2018, 06:11:18 PM »

If Cramer runs he’ll have a large lead over Hentkemp, I currently rate this race Likely Republican because I expect Cramer to run and Trump to campaign hard for him, and in this polarized climate it’s hard for me to imagine Democrats holding a senate seat in a state as Republican as North Dakota.

You don't actually know anything about politics at all, do you.
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Kamala
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« Reply #148 on: January 03, 2018, 06:31:16 PM »

I think Trump actually likes Heitkamp personally.
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #149 on: January 03, 2018, 06:34:39 PM »

I think Heitkamp wins by a razor-thin margin, similar to 2012.
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