ND-SEN: But you are, Blanche, you are

[The Other Castro]

Gary Emineth drops out.

https://t.co/1TPw3OPFJ3?amp=1

[LimoLiberal]

But I thought saying this was Likely D and less likely to flip than WV and MT was delusional?

Called it.

You spoke too soon. Emineth just dropped out, saying Cramer was going to enter.

Lean D >> Tilt R.

[The Other Castro]

Cramer can speak for himself on whether he’s going to enter, we don’t need to rely on a guy looking for excuses to drop out.

[publicunofficial]

Cramer is in - Just announced.

Lean D

[Hindsight was 2020]

I get Cramer is better than the alternatives but he is not a great canidate

[The Other Castro]

Cramer is in - Just announced.

Lean D

He’s not in yet, other people have said he is citing the comments made by Emineth.

[The Other Castro]

Manu Raju‏ @mkraju
After passing on a Senate bid, Kevin Cramer tells @deirdrewalshcnn of challenging Heitkamp in #ndsen: “We're just respectfully reconsidering right now; I'll have a decision by the end of the weekend."

9:08 PM - 13 Feb 2018

https://twitter.com/mkraju/status/963595759223484417

[Former Kentuckian]

Manu Raju‏ @mkraju
After passing on a Senate bid, Kevin Cramer tells @deirdrewalshcnn of challenging Heitkamp in #ndsen: “We're just respectfully reconsidering right now; I'll have a decision by the end of the weekend."

9:08 PM - 13 Feb 2018

https://twitter.com/mkraju/status/963595759223484417

What a great way to start a campaign against an incumbent with positive approvals in a year likely to be unfavorable to your party.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Let's wait to see if Cramer actually enters before we reevaluate the state of the race.

[The Other Castro]

Elaina Plott‏ @elainaplott
North Dakota scoops! Tom Campbell tells me that if Kevin Cramer runs, he'll likely drop out and run for Cramer's House seat instead. And oil tycoon Harold Hamm has offered to be Cramer's finance chair -

https://twitter.com/elainaplott/status/963854425818324992

[BuckeyeNut]

Guys, seriously. Heitkamp is a master of retail politics and has been raising money for this seat for years. It won't be a cakewalk because it's still North Dakota, but she should still be okay.

[Former Kentuckian]

Elaina Plott‏ @elainaplott
North Dakota scoops! Tom Campbell tells me that if Kevin Cramer runs, he'll likely drop out and run for Cramer's House seat instead. And oil tycoon Harold Hamm has offered to be Cramer's finance chair -

https://twitter.com/elainaplott/status/963854425818324992

lol I hope Ben Hanson uses all the dirt that's been uncovered about Campbell

[Cactus Jack]

Guys, seriously. Heitkamp is a master of retail politics and has been raising money for this seat for years. It won't be a cakewalk because it's still North Dakota, but she should still be okay.

And from what I understand, Kevin Cramer is a colossal asshole a la Todd Rokita. The NDGOP bench is, quite frankly, utter garbage.

[Former Kentuckian]

Elaina Plott‏ @elainaplott
North Dakota scoops! Tom Campbell tells me that if Kevin Cramer runs, he'll likely drop out and run for Cramer's House seat instead. And oil tycoon Harold Hamm has offered to be Cramer's finance chair -

https://twitter.com/elainaplott/status/963854425818324992

lol I hope Ben Hanson uses all the dirt that's been uncovered about Campbell

Speaking of Ben Hanson, he's raised $114,628 since announcing in August (as of Dec. 31) and 51% of it is from small donations (45.79% from large donations, 0.44% from PACs, and 2.80% from self-financing).

[TheRocketRaccoon]

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/cramer-schedules-senate-rally-amid-speculation-hell-run/2018/02/15/6405c72c-1265-11e8-a68c-e9374188170e_story.html

Cramer likely announcing his Senate run on Friday evening.

[Ebsy]

Cramer is better than who they had but far from an inspiring candidate.

[Pollster]

Put the non-vulnerable House incumbent into an uphill battle against a popular incumbent in a possible wave so that the House seat is made potentially vulnerable by a weak candidate whose name has been on the air for months, will spend endlessly on his own behalf, and on whom opposition research has already been published?

Surely the national Dems are not savvy enough to pull off this level of ratf***ing.

[Pandaguineapig]

This race is still a toss up, my guess is Cramer sees a much better path to victory with trumps numbers improving nationally. Also to say Heitkamps political skills have been overhyped on this thread would be a gross understatement, she is a great retail politician but she still barely defeated an incredibly weak candidate in 2012, the national democratic party has only gotten more toxic in ND since then and she also now has a voting record to defend now

[Pandaguineapig]

Granted I know that barring a new 9/11 that this climate is much better from democrats than 2014 but Mary Landrieu, Evan Bayh, and Mark Pryor were all gifted retail politicians on tge same level as Heitkamp but it didn't stop them from getting curbstomped by boring candidates

[Warren 4 Secretary of Everything]

Congressional Republicans really seem to be betting on Trump’s approval rating not dropping back below pre- tax cut/State of the Union levels. That’s my best explanation for Wagner, Corket, and now Cramer all deciding to take another look at Senate races. Only time will tell if it was smart to second guess their original decisions, but if I had to say, they’re making dumb moves. Trump himself hasn’t stepped in sh**t for a couple weeks, but it’s a really insane idea to think that he won’t again between now and November.

[UWS]

North Dakota Republican congressman Kevin Cramer is reconsidering running against Heidi Heitkamp and many people consider that he would have a better chance against her than Tom Campbell since he has a higher name recognition than Campbell.

What would be the likelyhood of a Republican senatorial gain in North Dakota if Kevin Cramer runs for senate in 2018 and becomes the Republican senatorial nominee? Would he improve the GOP's chances?

[KingSweden]

The GOP tried to recruit someone other than him, then that fizzled out and they had to go back to him. Draw your own conclusions.

[Free Bird]

https://t.co/i9QIb6wX7a

[Ebsy]

Another Republican flees the House.

[Free Bird]

I’m moving it from Tilt D to Tossup but closer to Tilt R than Tilt D