ND-SEN: But you are, Blanche, you are

[Ebsy]

Cramer is better than who they had but far from an inspiring candidate.

[Ebsy]

Another Republican flees the House.

[Ebsy]

Heitkamp was the underdog in 2012 as well.

[Ebsy]

Big news:

https://twitter.com/Robillard/status/1023989524865536000

[Ebsy]

Heitkamp raised 3.8 million in Q3.

[Ebsy]

The Blanche Lincoln comparison doesn't actually make any sense, so it makes sense that IceSpear and the usual suspects have latched onto it.

[Ebsy]

The Blanche Lincoln comparison doesn't actually make any sense, so it makes sense that IceSpear and the usual suspects have latched onto it.

It actually does make sense, given that Heitkamp, like Lincoln, had her chances overhyped on here because of her status as an incumbent. We now have polls showing her trailing by a wide margin, and it will be difficult for her to overcome that gap, bar a serious polling error on par with 2012.

Were you here in 2010 such that you have any idea what people were saying about Blanche Lincoln at the time? I know I certainly wasn't.

[Ebsy]

The Blanche Lincoln comparison doesn't actually make any sense, so it makes sense that IceSpear and the usual suspects have latched onto it.

How exactly doesn't it make sense? Due to the Ebsy Mind Model of adding 10 points to the Democrat in any poll?

Blanche Lincoln was an incumbent who went down in a national wave election against her party. That is clearly not happening here. However, not all of us can be as tedious as you, thankfully.

[Ebsy]

Just seems so bizarre she'd end up losing in 2018 while she won in 2012 under much less favorable circumstances. Rick Berg must have been Todd Akin level of bad.

The partisan lean of North Dakota was quite a bit better in 2012 than it is now, unfortunately for Heitkamp.

[Ebsy]

There is such a thing as overcorrection.

[Ebsy]

The Blanche Lincoln comparison doesn't actually make any sense, so it makes sense that IceSpear and the usual suspects have latched onto it.

It actually does make sense, given that Heitkamp, like Lincoln, had her chances overhyped on here because of her status as an incumbent. We now have polls showing her trailing by a wide margin, and it will be difficult for her to overcome that gap, bar a serious polling error on par with 2012.

Were you here in 2010 such that you have any idea what people were saying about Blanche Lincoln at the time? I know I certainly wasn't.

I was, and no one was hyping her up or thinking she had a chance.

Thank you for witnessing BRTD. I'm sure it wasn't pretty.