What will be _____'s best department in the first French election round? (user search)
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  What will be _____'s best department in the first French election round? (search mode)
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Author Topic: What will be _____'s best department in the first French election round?  (Read 2474 times)
Tirnam
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 599
France


Political Matrix
E: -1.94, S: -4.35

« on: April 15, 2017, 04:32:40 PM »

Macron: Paris
Le Pen: Aisne
Mélenchon: Seine-Saint-Denis
Fillon: Vendée
Hamon: Paris

With overseas territories that could change. Fillon should have great score in Saint-Martin/Saint-Barthélémy, in Nouvelle-Calédonie.
Le Pen could have some success in Mayotte, French Polynesia, ...
Mélenchon maybe in La Réunion (he is endorsed by the powerful local Communist Party, even if they had a serious defeat in the 2015 local election)
Hard to guess who is going to win French Guyana with the serious crisis underway there.
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Tirnam
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 599
France


Political Matrix
E: -1.94, S: -4.35

« Reply #1 on: April 16, 2017, 12:12:13 AM »

Le Pen could have some success in Mayotte, French Polynesia, ...

I know very little about French politics but I don't understand why Le Pen would be popular in areas far removed from the EU and immigration.

Well Mayotte is facing a strong immigration pressure from the Comoros (Same in Guyana from Brazil, Haiti, Suriname, ...) and they have a feeling that the State has abandoned them (for example they had a great water shortage a few weeks ago).
In French Polynesia, Le Pen received some local supports, she had 20 signatures from there against 4 in 2012.
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