Zanas
Zanas46
Sr. Member
Posts: 2,947
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« on: April 18, 2017, 05:31:35 AM » |
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« edited: April 18, 2017, 07:13:43 AM by Watermelon sin Jamón »
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Le Pen : one of Vaucluse, Var, Haute-Marne, Aisne. Y'all say Vaucluse, but I just went and saw that Bompard had endorsed Fillon in the primary runoff. Since then, I've seen nothing, but you can count on the Bompard clan to do anything they can to undermine a potential FN victory. Of course, the Bompard influence is not what it used to be, so maybe it won't matter anywhere else than in Orange and Bollène, if anywhere. So I'd say Aisne.
Macron : Paris, I don't see any other who could fit that well.
Fillon : Sarthe, obviously. Var, Alpes-Maritimes, Yvelines, Vendée and Loir-et-Cher should also be good fits.
Mélenchon : y'all say Seine-Saint-Denis, but I'd guess he'll get fierce competition from Hamon, Arthaud and Poutou there. I'd say Mélenchon polls better in Puy-de-Dôme and maybe even Val-de-Marne than Seine-Saint-Denis. So I'll say Puy-de-Dôme.
Hamon : Paris, Finistère or Seine-Saint-Denis. Pick one : Finistère.
Dupont-Aignan : Essonne, obviously.
Poutou : Seine-Saint-Denis. Gironde (home effect) and Territoire-de-Belfort (because Peugeot workers) should be up there too.
Lassalle : maybe the easiest of them all : Pyrénées-Atlantiques.
Arthaud : see Poutou, without Gironde.
Asselineau : I'm gonna make an educated guess and say Sarthe, which was their best performance in the régionales 2015 as far as I can tell. Cher, Mayenne and Marne were good fits as well.
Cheminade : who gives a fukc ? I'll say Haut-Rhin, which seems to have been his best result in 2012 with 0,33%, because why the hell not.
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