Post Random Maps Here 2.0.
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 23, 2024, 03:12:39 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs? (Moderator: Dereich)
  Post Random Maps Here 2.0.
« previous next »
Pages: [1] 2 3 4 5 6 ... 80
Author Topic: Post Random Maps Here 2.0.  (Read 207597 times)
MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!
Kalwejt
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 57,380


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: April 15, 2017, 03:09:14 PM »

With over 6000 replies over the course of 12 years, the old thread is locked.

Have fun Smiley
Logged
Mike Thick
tedbessell
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,085


Political Matrix
E: -6.65, S: -8.26

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: April 15, 2017, 05:12:13 PM »

RIP Cry
Logged
NHI
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,140


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: April 15, 2017, 06:21:19 PM »

Let the games begin!

Goldwater in '68
Goldwater: 352 (46.1%)
Johnson: 157 (41.0%)
Wallace: 29 (11.2%)
Logged
mencken
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,222
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: April 15, 2017, 06:31:36 PM »

Goldwater would not have won any New England state.
Logged
P. Clodius Pulcher did nothing wrong
razze
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,078
Cuba


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -4.96


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: April 15, 2017, 06:32:53 PM »

1996 if every non-Bill Clinton voter voted for Bob Dole (aka if Clinton only won states where he won a majority):

And the reverse:
Logged
President of the great nation of 🏳️‍⚧️
Peebs
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 16,024
United States



Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: April 15, 2017, 06:42:18 PM »

Logged
Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: April 16, 2017, 03:10:03 PM »

1972 - Hatfield defeats Humphrey



Senator Mark Hatfield (R-OR)/Senator Howard Baker (R-TN) - 42.3%, 265 EV's
President Hubert Humphrey (D-MN)/Vice President Edmund Muskie (D-ME) - 41.3%, 191 EV's
Mayor Sam Yorty (I-CA)/Doctor Larry McDonald (I-GA) - 15.3%, 82 EV's
Logged
Former Senator Haslam2020
Haslam2020
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,345
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: April 16, 2017, 10:25:00 PM »
« Edited: April 17, 2017, 12:01:07 PM by Fmr. House Majority Leader Haslam2020 »

The Prequel of a Dynasty: An American House of Cards

Act I: 1940



Amb. Joseph Kennedy/Sec. Cordell Hull: 509 E. Votes, 61.3%
Fmr. Amb. Hanford MacNider/Gov. Arthur James: 25 E. Votes, 37.3%

In late 1939, President Roosevelt suffered a crippling heart attack, leaving him unable to govern. Roosevelt then suffered a subsequent stroke, leading to complete body paralysis and him communicating by blinking, or tapping a pen. Vice President Garner went against many of the now even more crippled President's wishes, and decided to run for president, claiming he "was the real president". Ambassador Kennedy declared his interest in running for the Presidency, causing a major stir in the Democratic Party. Vice President Garner invited Kennedy to be his running mate, but Kennedy declined. He stated that if Garner did not drop out, he would blackmail him with crippling information, launching the country into chaos. Garner decided to drop out, and was promised to be Secretary of Agriculture. Kennedy cleared Secretary of State Cordell Hull from possibly being a candidate by offering him the Vice Presidency. The Democratic Primary was rigged for Kennedy, while the Republicans had a very open one. Former President Herbert Hoover, Senator Arthur Vandenburg and Governor Alf Landon were all in fierce competition, resulting in Former WW1 hero Hanford MacNider winning the Republican Nomination, after giving a good evening speech to the delegates. MacNider was forced to choose someone with experience to be his running mate, but was denied by all major candidates except for Former President Hoover and new Governor of Pennsylvania Arthur James. MacNider chose James. Kennedy had the charisma, the star power, and the promise of no new war. Kennedy slammed MacNider as a "relic of old times", and secretly ran ads out of the KKK accusing the war hero as being involved in homosexual acts. Kennedy promised no war in Europe, and challenged MacNider to a debate. MacNider initially declined, but was forced to, where he was bashed by both Kennedy and the Audience. Ambassador Kennedy was elected to the presidency in a landslide, and upon hearing the news, the paralyzed President Roosevelt shed a tear. He would have another stroke ten days after President-elect Kennedy was inaugurated.

(Damn, I got deep. Was that good?)
Logged
Unconditional Surrender Truman
Harry S Truman
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,142


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: April 17, 2017, 04:48:55 PM »


Marine Le Pen (FN) 290 electors, 25% votes
Emmanuel Macron (EM) 248 electors, 26% votes
François Fillon (LR) 21% votes
Jean-Luc Mélenchon (FI) 19% votes
Benoît Hamon (PS) 9% votes

Methodology
In the 2016 U.S. presidential election, of the total number of votes cast for one of the two major parties, the main rightist party (GOP) won approximately 49% and the main leftist party (Dem) won approximately 51%. These percentages were adjusted by a margin of -3 and 3 respectively, utilizing a uniform nationwide swing, to reflect the share of the vote afforded to the two principal rightist parties (LR, FN) and three principal leftist parties (PS, FI, EM) in the most recent national opinion polls of the 2017 French presidential election. These recalculated totals were then divided proportionally among the various candidates of the right and left, according to the share they currently claim of the overall "rightist" and "leftist" vote. For instance, Emanuel Macron is supported by 48% of those who plan to support one of the three primary leftist parties in the first round of the general election, and is therefore awarded a national total of 26% (0.48 x 54 = 26).
Logged
NHI
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,140


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: April 17, 2017, 10:05:12 PM »


Frm. Speaker of the House: Newt Gingrich/Frm. Sen. Rick Santorum: 279 (46.58%)
Pres. Barack Obama/Vice Pres. Joe Biden: 259 (50.00%)
Other: 0 (3.42%)

Frm. Vice Pres. Joe Biden/Gov. Brian Schweitzer: 358 (51.01%)
Vice Pres. Rick Santorum/Gov. John Kasich: 180 (44.99%)
Other: 0 (4.00%)

Logged
mencken
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,222
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: April 17, 2017, 10:23:17 PM »
« Edited: April 18, 2017, 07:53:27 AM by mencken »

Using a similar method as above, except assuming that Trump primary votes = Le Pen first round votes and Sanders primary votes = Melenchon/Hamon first round votes (adjusted for current polling numbers)



Macron 26% 245 EV
Le Pen 25% 173 EV
Fillon 21% 98 EV
Melenchon 19% 22 EV
Logged
Orthogonian Society Treasurer
CommanderClash
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,561
Bermuda


Political Matrix
E: 0.32, S: 4.78

P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: April 19, 2017, 10:50:36 PM »

1992: Conservatives of the Heart



Former White House Communications Director Patrick Buchanan/HUD Secretary Jack Kemp - 270 EV (48.74%)
Governor Bill Clinton/Governor Mario Cuomo - 268 EV (49.26%)
Logged
FEMA Camp Administrator
Cathcon
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,302
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: April 22, 2017, 10:39:22 PM »

Trump v. Sanders, primary percentage edition:

Mr. Donald J. Trump (R-NY) 344 electoral votes
Senator Bernard Sanders (D-VT) 194 electoral votes
Logged
FEMA Camp Administrator
Cathcon
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,302
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: April 23, 2017, 10:11:48 AM »

1992 Primary v. 2008 Primary

Governor William J. Clinton (Democrat-Arkansas) 287 electoral votes
Senator Hillary R. Clinton (Democrat-New York) 251 electoral votes
Logged
mencken
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,222
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: April 23, 2017, 09:35:05 PM »

Swing/Trend in White Vote 1988 to 2016


Each shade is an interval of 5% (plus or minus 5% were left blank due to inherent imprecision of the estimate)
Logged
NHI
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,140


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: April 24, 2017, 02:33:47 PM »

Clinton/Warner: 329 (51.1%)
Romney/Pawlenty: 209 (46.9%)

Gingrich/Huntsman: 302 (48.9%)
Clinton/Warner: 236 (48.6%)

Obama/Feingold: 272 (48.1%)
Gingrich/Huntsman: 266 (47.4%)

Obama/Feingold: 305 (50.9%)
Huntsman/Sandoval: 233 (47.1%)
Logged
mencken
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,222
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: April 24, 2017, 08:53:41 PM »

On a similar theme, the 2016 election with 1988 demographics:

Logged
Orthogonian Society Treasurer
CommanderClash
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,561
Bermuda


Political Matrix
E: 0.32, S: 4.78

P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: April 24, 2017, 09:20:26 PM »

On a similar theme, the 2016 election with 1988 demographics:


I'm surprised that Maine-at-large doesn't flip.
Logged
mencken
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,222
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: April 25, 2017, 07:18:16 AM »

On a similar theme, the 2016 election with 1988 demographics:


I'm surprised that Maine-at-large doesn't flip.

Clinton surprisingly won white voters in Maine IRL.
Logged
Mr. Smith
MormDem
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 33,188
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: April 25, 2017, 02:17:45 PM »
« Edited: April 25, 2017, 02:21:10 PM by L.D. Smith »

2016 with all the close plurality states flipped



Clinton/Kaine 300 EV
Trump/Pence 238 EV


Also, here's 1976 with the same idea



Carter/Mondale
Ford/Dole
Logged
President of the great nation of 🏳️‍⚧️
Peebs
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 16,024
United States



Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: April 25, 2017, 02:27:06 PM »

You missed Minnesota and New Mexico (unless that was intentional). Also Utah, but that wasn't close.
Logged
bagelman
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,630
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -4.17

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: April 25, 2017, 09:05:20 PM »



State vote tied to passport ownership
Logged
mianfei
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 322
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: April 26, 2017, 02:52:00 AM »
« Edited: April 26, 2017, 03:08:45 AM by mianfei »

Following on from the locked "Post Random Maps Here" and its bisection of states by Wallace vote in 1968, I have done a map of the La Follette vote from 1924:



Green: States where Robert La Follette received more than 12% of the vote
Red: States where Robert La Follette received less than 12% of the vote

Unsurprisingly, La Follette played very poorly in the South, where very few of the lower classes could vote. He also fared poorly in the border states excepting Maryland (where he did best in urban Baltimore and German Western Maryland), and in the Northeast outside of anti-Prohibition precincts in the New York and Boston metropolitan areas. Closest state to the divide is Massachusetts at close to 12.50 percent: the next below it being Connecticut and Michigan at between 10.50 and 10.60 percent.

In addition, here is a similar map for John Anderson in 1980, using a threshold of 7 percent to bisect the states:



Green: States where John Anderson received more than 7% of the vote
Red: States where John Anderson received less than 7% of the vote

There are many similarities with the La Follette map, with the major difference being the Northeast, especially upper New England, which was La Follette's weakest region outside the antebellum slave states, but contained Anderson's strongest states. The most marginal states are Wyoming, Delaware and Kansas, where Anderson received between 6.80 percent and 7.00 percent, and on the other side Nebraska, Alaska, Michigan, Wisconsin and Nevada at between 7.00 percent and 7.12 percent.
Logged
MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!
Kalwejt
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 57,380


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: April 26, 2017, 05:00:02 AM »

Making another thread after posting here already is spamming.
Logged
Mr. Smith
MormDem
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 33,188
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24 on: April 26, 2017, 03:19:01 PM »

You missed Minnesota and New Mexico (unless that was intentional). Also Utah, but that wasn't close.

I forgot Minnesota yes.

As for NM and Utah, neither of those were close at all. NM was pretty much because of Gary Johnson eating into Hillary's share.
Logged
Pages: [1] 2 3 4 5 6 ... 80  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.15 seconds with 11 queries.