Bigger Bush win in 1988Bush wins all states he lost by 10% or less, gets a swing of 5% to him from Dukakis, so 10% total swing.
George HW Bush/Dan Quayle-Republican: 523 EV 58.37%Michael Dukakis/Lloyd Bentsen-Democratic: 15 EV 40.65%Closer 1988 electionThere is a 6% total swing to Dukakis, so Dukakis gains 3% of the vote and Bush loses 3%. All states that went to Bush by 6% or less go to Dukakis.
George HW Bush/Dan Quayle-Republican: 289 EV 50.37%Michael Dukakis/Lloyd Bentsen-Democratic: 249 EV 48.65%