Presidential elections if they were held in the preceding midterm, part II:
1994/1996 - Dole wins thanks to Americans' dissatisfaction with a lagging economy, tax increases, and the White House's blunders on healthcare policy.
Bob Dole/Jack Kemp (Republican) - 286 EVBill Clinton/Al Gore (Democratic) - 252 EV
1998/2000 - Gore is able to win by a large margin due to prosperous economy, steady state of world affairs, and the backblast from Republicans' inane focus on Clinton's personal and ethical foibles.
Al Gore/Joe Lieberman (Democratic) - 354 EVGeorge Bush/Dick Cheney (Republican) - 184 EV2002/2004 - Bush's popularity following his response to the 9/11 attacks is only blunted by the mild 2002 recession.
George W. Bush/Dick Cheney (Republican) - 355 EVJohn Kerry/John Edwards (Democratic) - 183 EV
2006/2008 - Political neophyte Obama wins a narrow victory in an election where the main focus is on the War on Terror. The Bush administration's response to Hurricane Katrina and ethics scandals in the GOP also play a role in voters' decisions.
Barack Obama/Joe Biden (Democratic) - 278 EVJohn McCain/Sarah Palin (Republican) - 260 EV
2010/2012 - Romney wins a decisive victory due to Americans' dissatisfaction with a moribund economy, continuing involvement in Iraq, and the Obama administration's disastrous attempt to reform healthcare.
Mitt Romney/Paul Ryan (Republican) - 331 EV
Barack Obama/Joe Biden (Democratic) - 207 EV
2014/2016 - Clinton wins narrowly thanks to robust economic growth in the latter half of 2014.
Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine (Democratic) - 278 EV
Donald Trump/Mike Pence - 260 EV