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  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs? (Moderator: Dereich)
  Post Random Maps Here 2.0. (search mode)
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Author Topic: Post Random Maps Here 2.0.  (Read 207784 times)
Lord Admirale
Admiral President
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Posts: 3,880
United States Minor Outlying Islands


Political Matrix
E: -1.94, S: -0.70

P P P

« on: May 14, 2017, 01:41:49 PM »

Chris Christie doesn't do Bridgegate and spends more time in his state, rather than campaign for himself and others.

Governor Chris Christie (R-NJ)/Governor Susana Martinez (R-NM) - 349 EV
Fmr. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton (D-NY)/Senator Tim Kaine (D-VA) - 183 EV
Officer Evan McMullin (I-UT)/Businesswoman Mindy Finn (I-DC) - 6 EV
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Lord Admirale
Admiral President
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,880
United States Minor Outlying Islands


Political Matrix
E: -1.94, S: -0.70

P P P

« Reply #1 on: May 14, 2017, 08:45:47 PM »

Chris Christie doesn't do Bridgegate and spends more time in his state, rather than campaign for himself and others.

Governor Chris Christie (R-NJ)/Governor Susana Martinez (R-NM) - 349 EV
Fmr. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton (D-NY)/Senator Tim Kaine (D-VA) - 183 EV
Officer Evan McMullin (I-UT)/Businesswoman Mindy Finn (I-DC) - 6 EV

Why is McMullin in this race?
Same reason as OTL. Christie is not a "true conservative".
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Lord Admirale
Admiral President
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,880
United States Minor Outlying Islands


Political Matrix
E: -1.94, S: -0.70

P P P

« Reply #2 on: May 20, 2017, 11:57:21 AM »

If Hillary won every state she lost at ~40%

Fmr. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton (D-NY)/Senator Tim Kaine (D-VA) - 340 EV
Businessman Donald J. Trump (R-NY)/Governor Mike Pence (R-IN) - 198 EV

If Trump won every state he lost at ~40%

Businessman Donald J. Trump (R-NY)/Governor Mike Pence (R-IN) - 355 EV
Fmr. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton (D-NY)/Senator Tim Kaine (D-VA) - 183 EV
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Lord Admirale
Admiral President
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,880
United States Minor Outlying Islands


Political Matrix
E: -1.94, S: -0.70

P P P

« Reply #3 on: May 20, 2017, 03:30:11 PM »

JFK is not assassinated.

President John F. Kennedy (D-MA)/Vice President Lyndon B. Johnson (D-TX) - 276 EV
Governor Nelson A. Rockefeller (R-NY)/Congressman John W. Byrnes (R-WI) - 262 EV
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Lord Admirale
Admiral President
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,880
United States Minor Outlying Islands


Political Matrix
E: -1.94, S: -0.70

P P P

« Reply #4 on: May 31, 2017, 10:57:26 PM »



2020 map Cory Booker/Jason Kander 332
 v Trump/Pence 206
A State Secretary of State getting the Democratic vice presidential nomination in the 21st century?
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Lord Admirale
Admiral President
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,880
United States Minor Outlying Islands


Political Matrix
E: -1.94, S: -0.70

P P P

« Reply #5 on: June 02, 2017, 11:43:41 AM »



2020 map Cory Booker/Jason Kander 332
 v Trump/Pence 206
A State Secretary of State getting the Democratic vice presidential nomination in the 21st century?

Whomever Booker picks can must be free of DC and ethics free. Just like the anti Bush era Dems came to power in 2006-2010. Jason Kander has the charisma just like Sherrod Brown did in 2006 to be on the nat'l ticket in 2020.  And he is a Vet, and that's what Booker lacks.
Fair point
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Lord Admirale
Admiral President
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,880
United States Minor Outlying Islands


Political Matrix
E: -1.94, S: -0.70

P P P

« Reply #6 on: June 02, 2017, 08:02:01 PM »


Pres. Donald Trump (R-NY) / VP Mike Pence (R-IN)
Sen. Sherrod Brown (D-OH) / Sen. Beto O'Rourke (D-TX)
How does Trump lose his home state but win Massachusetts?
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Lord Admirale
Admiral President
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,880
United States Minor Outlying Islands


Political Matrix
E: -1.94, S: -0.70

P P P

« Reply #7 on: June 03, 2017, 11:56:42 AM »
« Edited: June 03, 2017, 12:00:13 PM by Admiral President »

Jimmy's Upset (Carter wins all states Reagan won with <50%)

President Jimmy Carter (D-GA)/Vice President Walter Mondale (D-MN) - 284 EV
Fmr. Governor Ronald Reagan (R-CA)/Fmr. CIA Director George H. W. Bush (R-TX) - 254 EV

EDIT: I could see Reagan winning the popular vote here, while Carter (obviously) wins the electoral vote
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Lord Admirale
Admiral President
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,880
United States Minor Outlying Islands


Political Matrix
E: -1.94, S: -0.70

P P P

« Reply #8 on: June 15, 2017, 06:05:06 PM »
« Edited: June 16, 2017, 01:28:07 PM by Irritable Moderate »


General Colin L. Powell (R-NY)/Senator John McCain - 379 EV, 49.2%
Vice President Al Gore (D-TN)/Senator Bob Graham - 159 EV, 43.8%
Ralph Nader (G-CT)/Winona LaDuke (G-MN) - 0 EV, 3.87%
Pat Buchanan (C-VA)/Curtis Frazier (C-MO) - 0 EV, 2.99%
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Lord Admirale
Admiral President
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,880
United States Minor Outlying Islands


Political Matrix
E: -1.94, S: -0.70

P P P

« Reply #9 on: July 07, 2017, 12:13:16 AM »

Return of the Southern Centrists


Senator Jim Webb (D-VA)/Senator Joe Manchin (D-WV) - 385 EV
President John McCain (R-AZ)/Vice President Tim Pawlenty (R-MN) - 149 EV
Senator Bernie Sanders (I-VT)/Activist Ralph Nader (I-CT) - 4 EV
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Lord Admirale
Admiral President
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,880
United States Minor Outlying Islands


Political Matrix
E: -1.94, S: -0.70

P P P

« Reply #10 on: July 16, 2017, 10:50:53 PM »


Mayor Rudy Giuliani (R-NY)/Governor Mitt Romney (R-MA) - 275 EV 48.2%
Senator John Edwards (D-NC)/Senator Blanche Lincoln (D-AR) - 263 EV 47.8%
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Lord Admirale
Admiral President
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,880
United States Minor Outlying Islands


Political Matrix
E: -1.94, S: -0.70

P P P

« Reply #11 on: August 30, 2017, 08:56:32 PM »
« Edited: August 30, 2017, 09:08:12 PM by Blue Dog Moderate »

Alternate McCain's Way

2000:

Senator John McCain (R-AZ)/Governor Tom Ridge (R-PA) - 297 EV
Vice President Al Gore (D-TN)/Senator Bob Graham (D-FL) - 241 EV

2004:

President John McCain (R-AZ)/Vice President Tom Ridge (R-PA) - 481 EV
Governor Howard Dean (D-VT)/Senator Dick Durbin (D-IL) - 57 EV

2008:

Senator Christine Whitman (R-NJ)/Former Governor Jeb Bush (R-FL) - 293 EV
Governor Ed Rendell (D-PA)/Governor Tom Vilsack (D-IA) - 245 EV

2012:

President Christine Whitman (R-NJ)/Vice President Jeb Bush (R-FL) - 276 EV
Former Governor Kathleen Sebelius (D-KS)/Governor Ted Strickland (D-OH) - 262 EV

2016:

Senator Mark Warner (D-VA)/Senator Mary Landrieu (D-LA) - 314 EV
Vice President Jeb Bush (R-FL)/Governor Susana Martinez (R-NM) - 224 EV
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Lord Admirale
Admiral President
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,880
United States Minor Outlying Islands


Political Matrix
E: -1.94, S: -0.70

P P P

« Reply #12 on: August 31, 2017, 05:14:40 PM »

What on earth happened here
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Lord Admirale
Admiral President
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,880
United States Minor Outlying Islands


Political Matrix
E: -1.94, S: -0.70

P P P

« Reply #13 on: October 05, 2017, 07:54:22 AM »
« Edited: October 05, 2017, 08:04:36 AM by Moderate Democrat »

Bernie-favored Sanders vs. Kasich matchup
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Lord Admirale
Admiral President
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,880
United States Minor Outlying Islands


Political Matrix
E: -1.94, S: -0.70

P P P

« Reply #14 on: December 17, 2017, 03:27:11 PM »

Deep in the Heart of Texas


Fmr. Governor Chris Bell (D-TX)/Senator Mary Landrieu (D-LA) - 310 EV (44.2%)
Fmr. Attorney General Chris Christie (R-NJ)/Senator Marco Rubio (R-FL) - 228 EV (41.8%)
State Senator Nina Turner (G-OH)/William Kreml (G-SC) - 0 EV (10.4%)

Try guessing what happened Wink
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Lord Admirale
Admiral President
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,880
United States Minor Outlying Islands


Political Matrix
E: -1.94, S: -0.70

P P P

« Reply #15 on: December 18, 2017, 06:29:46 PM »

2016

President Mitt Romney (R-MA)/Vice President Paul Ryan (R-WI) - 450 EV (55.8%)
Senator Bernie Sanders (D-VT)/Congresswoman Tulsi Gabbard (D-HI) - 88 EV (43.0%)

The 2016 Democratic Primaries ended in chaos at an open convention, where Senator Bernie Sanders managed to secure the nomination from former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, former Vice President Joe Biden, and Senator Jeff Merkley. Sanders ran his campaign as a staunch populist and railing against income inequality, bashing the Romney Administration for their practices. However, Sanders' insurgent-styled campaign didn't work as well in the general election as it did in the primaries, causing the Sanders/Gabbard ticket to sink well-below Romney/Ryan in national polls. Bad went to worse when Republican leaders dug into the Vermont Senator's past regarding support for the Castro regime, the "rape essay", and support for the Sandinistas.

On November 8, 2016, President Romney won reelection by an astounding 13-point popular vote landslide, including winning his home state by a thin margin and nearly taking the State of California by 0.3%.
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Lord Admirale
Admiral President
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,880
United States Minor Outlying Islands


Political Matrix
E: -1.94, S: -0.70

P P P

« Reply #16 on: December 28, 2017, 11:46:34 AM »

3 point swing towards Hillary Clinton

Hillary Clinton / Tim Kaine - 350 EV
Donald Trump / Mike Pence - 188 EV
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Lord Admirale
Admiral President
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,880
United States Minor Outlying Islands


Political Matrix
E: -1.94, S: -0.70

P P P

« Reply #17 on: December 28, 2017, 04:59:39 PM »

Bernie VS Trump 2016
I took the polling of Bernie vs Trump in May 2016 and then brought Trump and Sanders up by the same # of points as the two candidates did in reality (+1.3R, +3.0 Dem) I then did a similar MoE as to what happened in reality. (-1.2 Dem,+2.5 Rep)
That leaves us with a whopping spread of 8.4%. As much of a Bernie lover as I am, that's highly unlikely. However, I still mapped it.

Senator Bernard Sanders/Senator Elizabeth Warren: 51.5%, 411 EV
Businessman Donald J. Trump/Governor Michael Pence: 43.1%, 121 EV
Former Policy Director Evan McMullin/Businesswoman Mandy Finn: .6%, 6 EV
Former Governor Gary Johnson/Former Governor Bill Weld: 3.7%, 0 EV
Attorney Darrell Castle/Businessman Scott Bradley: .4%, 0 EV
Others: .7%
Jill Stein doesn't even get 4th place due to most of her base going to Bernie. Bernie's nomination gets the farther right of america to vote in great plains states, causing Castle to get a commanding 4th place. Bernie splits more votes with Trump in Utah over economic issues, allowing McMullin to win. Alaska very nearly goes to Johnson.

lol
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Lord Admirale
Admiral President
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,880
United States Minor Outlying Islands


Political Matrix
E: -1.94, S: -0.70

P P P

« Reply #18 on: December 29, 2017, 07:33:09 PM »


General Colin Powell (R-NY) / Senator John McCain (R-AZ) 427 EV
Vice President Al Gore (D-TN) / Senator Bob Graham (D-FL) - 111 EV
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Lord Admirale
Admiral President
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,880
United States Minor Outlying Islands


Political Matrix
E: -1.94, S: -0.70

P P P

« Reply #19 on: December 29, 2017, 07:38:12 PM »


General Colin Powell (R-NY) / Senator John McCain (R-AZ) 427 EV
Vice President Al Gore (D-TN) / Senator Bob Graham (D-FL) - 111 EV
I like this map. why does Gore win Missouri though?
Boosted support from rural whites, Gore runs a more populist campaign when running against Powell.
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Lord Admirale
Admiral President
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,880
United States Minor Outlying Islands


Political Matrix
E: -1.94, S: -0.70

P P P

« Reply #20 on: March 25, 2018, 10:41:29 AM »


President Mitt Romney / Vice President Paul Ryan - 370 EVs (54.1%)
Senator Bernie Sanders / Congresswoman Tulsi Gabbard - 168 EVs (44.5%)

After a bitter contested convention between former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, former Vice President Joe Biden, Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders, former Montana Governor Brian Schweitzer, West Virginia Senator Joe Manchin, former Maryland Governor Martin O'Malley, Illinois Governor Pat Quinn, and other candidates, the Vermont Senator narrowly secured the Democratic nomination for himself.

At the convention, Sanders failed to unite the Democratic Party behind him and his running mate, Tulsi Gabbard. As a result, Romney took a strong lead in national polls and began reaching out to wealthy, "wine track," suburban Democrats who backed Hillary Clinton or Joe Biden, similarly to President Bill Clinton's suburban strategy in 1996 to win over rich and traditionally Republican voters.

In November of 2016, that strategy proved to be successful, with the Republican ticket of Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan winning 370 electoral votes to Sanders' and Gabbard's 168 electoral votes.
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Lord Admirale
Admiral President
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,880
United States Minor Outlying Islands


Political Matrix
E: -1.94, S: -0.70

P P P

« Reply #21 on: March 27, 2018, 09:35:37 AM »

Donald J. Trump (R-NY) - ☑
Fmr. Sec. of State Hillary R. Clinton (D-NY) - 191
Sen. Bernard Sanders (I-VT) - 17


I don't see how Clinton still wins CO, VA, NV, NM, WA, but loses MD in this scenario.
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Lord Admirale
Admiral President
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,880
United States Minor Outlying Islands


Political Matrix
E: -1.94, S: -0.70

P P P

« Reply #22 on: March 27, 2018, 02:00:37 PM »


Gov. Nelson A. Rockefeller (R-NY) / Gov. Mark Hatfield (R-OR) - 349 EV
Pres. John F. Kennedy (D-MA) / Gov. Terry Sanford (D-NC) - 162 EV
Gov. Ross Barnett (SR-MS) / Sen. Richard Russell (SR-GA) - 27 EV

(SR = States' Rights Party)
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Lord Admirale
Admiral President
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,880
United States Minor Outlying Islands


Political Matrix
E: -1.94, S: -0.70

P P P

« Reply #23 on: May 15, 2018, 07:18:27 PM »



Similar idea as the previous post.
GA would go to a runoff if no one got a majority.

Who'd win?
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Lord Admirale
Admiral President
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,880
United States Minor Outlying Islands


Political Matrix
E: -1.94, S: -0.70

P P P

« Reply #24 on: May 29, 2018, 03:46:08 PM »

2000:

Senator John McCain (R-AZ) / Governor John Engler (R-MI) - 276 EV (49.9%)
Vice President Al Gore (D-TN) / Senator Bob Graham (D-FL) - 262 EV (48.4%)

2004:

President John McCain (R-AZ) / Vice President John Engler (R-MI) - 470 EV (55.0%)
Governor Howard Dean (D-VT) / Senator Jay Rockefeller (D-WV) - 68 EV (43.5%)

2008:

Senator Hillary Clinton (D-NY) / Senator Evan Bayh (D-IN) - 273 EV (50.4%)
Vice President John Engler (R-MI) / Senator George Allen (R-VA) - 265 EV (48.6%)
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