Post Random Maps Here 2.0.

[West_Midlander]

2020

[X] Trump
Clinton
McMullin

[West_Midlander]

2016

[X] Fmr. Gov. Jeb Bush (R-FL) / Gov. Susanna Martinez (R-NM) 279 EVs
Fmr. Sec. Hillary Clinton (D-NY) / Sen. Tim Kaine (D-VA) 259 EVs

[West_Midlander]

People's Republic of North Carolina presidential election, 2032

(Map didn't turn out too well)

[X] Peebs / West_Midlander
Socialist Party
Orange is "Liberty Party" -- right-wing to far right
Blue is "The Right" -- right-center
Light Blue is "American" -- American Unionist, centrist

[West_Midlander]

any thoughts

247-291 rep win.

Hm. Interesting map. I think perhaps a Southern Democrat / Iowan (or South Dakotan/Montanan) running mate vs. a conservative Pennsylvanian-turned-Georgian (or Virginian) / Californian running mate. I would guess the whole South would be very close and the margins wouldn't get much higher than ~5% in most of the Plains, West and North.

[West_Midlander]

Alternate 2016: The electoral college has been abolished and a majority is required to win. Trump drops out of the Republican nomination and runs as an Independent. When Webb loses the nomination, he runs as an Independent as well. Sanders does the same, forming the new Progressive party. Bloomberg enters the race and surprisingly Johnson places last.

Round 2: Haley is 10.5% short of a majority. To ensure Haley could hypothetically reach a majority next time, the bottom four candidates are eliminated bringing the freed up vote to 11.7%. And then there were three.

Round 3: Sanders outdoes Clinton and makes it into the runoff.

The running mates were Pataki (R), Chafee (D), Ellison (P), Angus King (I), Manchin (D; running as an Indy), iirc Trump's running mate was Ivanka ITTL, Ventura (L)

[West_Midlander]

I guess you altered an existing scenario to create this?

Yes, I modified a scenario someone had put up on the 270soft website. I can't find it now.

[West_Midlander]

Romney enters the Republican field. When Trump exits, Romney becomes the frontrunner. Trump begins an independent campaign. Bush takes the lead late in the race and wins a contested convention, he wins after multiple ballots when Paul Ryan chooses to give his delegates to Bush over Romney (Et tu, Brute?).

Biden doesn't enter the Democratic race until December, after Sanders exits the race. Webb follows and announces an Independent bid for the presidency. Sanders, having gained a substantial following thus far in the primaries, forms the new Progressive party and announces a third-party run for the presidency.

Bloomberg enters the race as an Independent. Ventura overtakes Johnson in the Libertarian primaries and is nominated.

Tickets:
Fmr. Gov. Jeb Bush (R-FL) / Sen. Susan Collins (R-ME)
Fmr. Sec. Hillary Clinton (D-NY) / Sen. Cory Booker (D-NJ)
Sen. Bernie Sanders (P-VT) / Rep. Keith Ellison (P-MN)
Fmr. Gov. Jessie Ventura (L-MN) / Fmr. Gov. Gary Johnson (L-NM)
Fmr. Mayor Michael Bloomberg (I-NY) / Sen. Angus King (I-ME)
Fmr. Sen Jim Webb (I-VA) / Sen. Joe Manchin (I-WV)
Mr. Donald Trump (I-NY) / Fmr. Gov. Jan Brewer (R-AZ)

Jeb! taps the popular moderate Republican senator from Maine to run with him. The other Maine senator, Independent Angus King joins Bloomberg's ticket. Jim Webb, initially planning to invite King to the ticket, announces he will run with Democrat-turned-Independent Joe Manchin. Sanders and Ellison switch to the Progressive party affiliation. Hillary proclaims "most diverse" ticket and picks Cory Booker at the DNC. Gov. Ventura picks his primary opponent to run with him. Donald Trump taps Jan Brewer to run with him. Brewer remains registered Republican. Webb registers Independent.

The Greens resolve to not contest the 2016 election, putting their influence behind the Progressives.


Washington, D.C. doesn't vote Democratic [Progressive]. Maryland goes red due to vote splitting between Sanders and Clinton. North Carolina goes strongly for Sanders.

The race quickly became a three-way contest. Sanders got into the debates and overtook Clinton.
 Jeb's 10 point lead fell to 3% on election day with 7% undecided.

No one got enough electoral votes to win.

[West_Midlander]

The House decides the President.
Alabama goes for Bush.
Alaska goes for Bush.
Arizona. Bush.
Arkansas, Bush.
California. For Sanders.
Colorado for Sanders.
Connecticut. Sanders.
Delaware. Sanders.
Florida. Bush.
Georgia, Bush.
Hawaii. Sanders.
Idaho goes for Bush.
Illinois goes for Sanders.
Indiana goes for Sanders. Despite the representatives, citizen lobbying flipped the state to the PV winner in that state.
Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana. For Bush.
Maine throws its vote away. 1-1. The Republican Representative there votes against the PV result in Maine, at the insistence of Maine Senator Susan Collins.
Maryland turns against the PV winner of their state. They choose Clinton.
Massachusetts. Sanders.
Michigan. Minnesota. Both Sanders. Citizens' pleas triumphed in Michigan as the majority Republicans there chose Sanders.
Mississippi, Montana, Missouri. For Bush. Montana holds firm despite populist pleas in the state, to vote for Sanders.
Nebraska. Nevada. Bush.
New Hampshire's 1 Democrat and 1 Republican choose Sanders.
The New Mexico delegation, mostly Democratic, subverts the popular vote in their state. Seeing a Clinton vote as futile, they choose Sanders.
New Jersey and New York vote Clinton.
The North Carolina delegation is convinced by citizen pleas to vote Sanders.
North Dakota and Oklahoma vote Bush.
Ohio goes Sanders.
Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island go Sanders.
South Carolina for Bush.
Tennessee, Texas, Utah. For Bush.
Vermont goes Sanders.
West Virginia goes Republican.
Virginia and Washington go Sanders.
Wyoming goes red.
Wisconsin votes Sanders.
The final count is:
Bush: 25
Sanders: 21
Clinton: 3
Abstain: 1
No one has a majority (26+).
I would guess Collins will be chosen as VP by the Senate and will be Acting President until/if the tie in the House is broken.

[West_Midlander]

2020: Collins defeats Trump in the primary. Clinton renominated.

[West_Midlander]

2016

Johnson takes enough from Clinton to flip Minnesota, New Hampshire and Virginia. Gary Johnson wins New Mexico, ME-02 and Alaska. Clinton wins ME-01 and ME-at large. Trump wins all 5 in Nebraska.

[West_Midlander]

2016
Cruz/Fiorina 44.2%
Clinton/Kaine 45.5%
Johnson/Ventura 7.5%
Cruz is elected by the House. Fiorina is elected by the Senate.

Maine EVs:
Cruz 1
Clinton 3
Nebraska EVs:
Johnson 1
Cruz 4

[West_Midlander]

2016
Rubio/Ayotte 50.4%
Clinton/Kaine 41.4%
Johnson/Weld 5.8%
Stein/Baraka 2.5%

[West_Midlander]

I ran a few more in Simulation Mode on PI.
In one scenario, Clinton managed 41% and Huckabee got a majority (50.1%). Huckabee scored 400 electoral votes.

In another Huntsman defeated Clinton 432-106 electoral votes. Yet he tied her in the popular vote, 48.6% both.

*Edit: Maps added.
*Edit 2: These are both from the 2016 scenario.

[West_Midlander]

Result from Win The White House

Biggest battleground states: MN, CA
States Flipped R to D during the campaign season: OR, TX, NC, VA, CA, LA, PA, IN, WV, MN, IL, AK, TN

[West_Midlander]

Result from Win The White House

Biggest battleground states: MN, CA
States Flipped R to D during the campaign season: OR, TX, NC, VA, CA, LA, PA, IN, WV, MN, IL, AK, TN

Looks like a bizarro version of the BTM map

BTM?

[West_Midlander]

God bless the People's Republic of North Carolina.

[West_Midlander]

Result from Win The White House

Biggest battleground states: MN, CA
States Flipped R to D during the campaign season: OR, TX, NC, VA, CA, LA, PA, IN, WV, MN, IL, AK, TN

Played this game again. ITTL the incumbent Pres/VP ran again.

The President saw diving approval ratings during the race and burned away a huge lead. California was a major tossup but started trending Republican in the early weeks of the race. Oregon and Arizona went the same way. Nebraska and New York were shored up as Democratic with heavy campaigning in the final weeks. Iowa and Colorado were initially Republican. Illinois was shored up with some rallies there, with the earliest polls showing it as just D+2. Kentucky was flipped Republican and back again. Alabama was very close, but was the prime target for the Republican campaign. The same went for Georgia. Pennsylvania was flipped in the last week of the campaign and the same went for West Virginia.
The initial result was a very close. The Republican won 272-266 without the popular vote (lost by 103,859 votes). A recount in the last called state, Maine, was in order. ME-02 stayed Democratic in the recount but ME-at large and ME-01 flipped Democratic as well, resulting in a 269-269 tie.
 The incumbents went on to be elected by the House and Senate.

[West_Midlander]

Result from Win The White House

Biggest battleground states: MN, CA
States Flipped R to D during the campaign season: OR, TX, NC, VA, CA, LA, PA, IN, WV, MN, IL, AK, TN

Played this game again. ITTL the incumbent Pres/VP ran again.

The President saw diving approval ratings during the race and burned away a huge lead. California was a major tossup but started trending Republican in the early weeks of the race. Oregon and Arizona went the same way. Nebraska and New York were shored up as Democratic with heavy campaigning in the final weeks. Iowa and Colorado were initially Republican. Illinois was shored up with some rallies there, with the earliest polls showing it as just D+2. Kentucky was flipped Republican and back again. Alabama was very close, but was the prime target for the Republican campaign. The same went for Georgia. Pennsylvania was flipped in the last week of the campaign and the same went for West Virginia.
The initial result was a very close. The Republican won 272-266 without the popular vote (lost by 103,859 votes). A recount in the last called state, Maine, was in order. ME-02 stayed Democratic in the recount but ME-at large and ME-01 flipped Democratic as well, resulting in a 269-269 tie.
 The incumbents went on to be elected by the House and Senate.

Change between the two elections.
Electoral
Democratic: -79
Republican: +79

State Changes
Democratic Flip
Republican Flip
Same

[West_Midlander]

Continuing off that previous post:

There were other candidates, but they didn't win anything and were irrelevant.

- Male Former Governor of Virginia (dropped out after he failed to win even 5% in SC)
- Female Governor of Georgia (dropped out after Governor of N. Carolina upset her in SC and MO)

And some other interesting info about the candidates list in the previous post:

- FL Senator: He is Half-Cuban and Half-Irish/Scott. (Catholic)
- NC Governor: American Jew.
- AZ Senator: Mexican-American (and her husband is Mexican-born) (Catholic)
- MN Congressman: Polish-American convert to Buddhism
- IA Maj. Leader: American Jew.
- Fmr USAG/OH Governor: Lutheran
- MT Governor: Lutheran
- RNC Chair/NV Governor: Non-denominational Christian

VA and GA Governors are Methodist and Southern Baptist, respectively.

Very interesting read.

[West_Midlander]

If the UK parties won the same % in the US that they won in the UK. EVs are proportional to %.

Exit Poll
Conservative 230
Labor 217
Lib Dem 40
SNP (California National Party) 16 (All "other" EVs in CA are CNP's)
UKIP (American Independence Party; right wing populist, anti NAFTA, etc.) 10
Green 9
DUP (Texas Unionist Party) 5
Sinn Fein (Texas National Party) 4
Plaid Cymru (Quaker Independence Party) 3
SDLP (Free Texas Liberal Party) 2
UUP (United Texas Party) 1
Alliance (Philadelphia Independence) 1
The 4 Other in PA are Philly Indep. & Quaker Indep.
The 12 Other in TX are TUP, TNP, FTLP & UTP

[West_Midlander]

If the UK parties won the same % in the US that they won in the UK. EVs are proportional to %.

Exit Poll
Conservative 230
Labor 217
Lib Dem 40
SNP (California National Party) 16 (All "other" EVs in CA are CNP's)
UKIP (American Independence Party; right wing populist, anti NAFTA, etc.) 10
Green 9
DUP (Texas Unionist Party) 5
Sinn Fein (Texas National Party) 4
Plaid Cymru (Quaker Independence Party) 3
SDLP (Free Texas Liberal Party) 2
UUP (United Texas Party) 1
Alliance (Philadelphia Independence) 1
The 4 Other in PA are Philly Indep. & Quaker Indep.
The 12 Other in TX are TUP, TNP, FTLP & UTP

Next, I redistributed the PV totals of parties who didn't make the cut to larger parties. (Simulated RCV for smaller parties, to give their voters some more sway)

I combined the totals for the Speaker's Seat, the "Other Parties" section from Wikipedia (many small parties), the Yorkshire Party & the Official Monster Raving Loony Party under the "Independent" label.

I added the Independent Unionist PV to the UUP total.

I added the National Health Action Party and Women's Equality Party's totals to Labor.

I added the BNP and Christian Peoples Alliance totals to UKIP.

I added the People Before Profit Alliance totals to Green.

I added the Traditional Unionist Voice to the DUP total.

New result:

The new seat allocation was +4 for Independent (from 0) and -2 each for Conservative and Labor. I gave 2 CON seats from TX to the Indies and two CA seats from Labor to Independent.

[West_Midlander]

The French Election in the United States

The "Johnson" label represents all other minor parties
En Marche! (Working Families Party) 129
National Front 115
The Republicans 108
La France Insoumise (America First) 105
Socialist Party 34
Debout la France (America's Time) 25
Resistons! (The Resistance) 6
New Anticapitalist Party 6
Popular Republican Union 5
Lutte Ouvriere (United Workers Party) 3
Solidarity and Progress 2

In parenthesis are the Party's American 'counterpart.'

The Other Parties' EVs are:

Debout la France wins Ohio (18), 1/3 EVs in SD, 2/7 EVs in CT, and 4/14 EVs in NJ.

Resistons! wins 2/3 in SD, DE's 3 and 1/7 in CT.

New Anticapitalist Party wins 3/7 in CT and 3/14 in NJ.

Popular Republican Union wins 5/14 in NJ.

Lutte Ouvriere wins 3/7 in OR.

Solidarity & Progress wins 2/14 in NJ.

[West_Midlander]

The French Election in the United States

The "Johnson" label represents all other minor parties
En Marche! (Working Families Party) 129
National Front 115
The Republicans 108
La France Insoumise (America First) 105
Socialist Party 34
Debout la France (America's Time) 25
Resistons! (The Resistance) 6
New Anticapitalist Party 6
Popular Republican Union 5
Lutte Ouvriere (United Workers Party) 3
Solidarity and Progress 2

In parenthesis are the Party's American 'counterpart.'

The Other Parties' EVs are:

Debout la France wins Ohio (18), 1/3 EVs in SD, 2/7 EVs in CT, and 4/14 EVs in NJ.

Resistons! wins 2/3 in SD, DE's 3 and 1/7 in CT.

New Anticapitalist Party wins 3/7 in CT and 3/14 in NJ.

Popular Republican Union wins 5/14 in NJ.

Lutte Ouvriere wins 3/7 in OR.

Solidarity & Progress wins 2/14 in NJ.

I suppose the above would be the legislative result in a hypothetical unicameral America with a 538-member 'Congress.' The President would be determined by a top-two runoff if there is no majority, as was done in France.

French Runoff

"Democrat"=En Marche!
"Republican"=National Front

[West_Midlander]

2016 Democratic Primary: Fmr. Sen. Joe Biden (D-DE) vs. Fmr. Sen./SoS Hillary Clinton (D-NY)

Narrow Biden victories: OR, CO, MI, WI, IL, HI, GA
Narrow Clinton victories: NM, MD, VA, NC, CT, FL, TX, AR

Who wins the nomination?

[West_Midlander]

Alternate Election 2016
Republican Primary

*Ignore Democratic, Republican, Other labels & EV count.
Blue=Trump win
Red=Cruz win
Yellow=Other win

Other wins:
IA - Santorum
NH, MI, NC, OH - Kasich
SC, KY, ME, HI, MO, UT, WI, RI, KY - Rubio
GA, MA, VA, WY, ID - Bush
TN, LA - Carson
NY, PA - Christie

Territories:
PR, USVI, GU, NMI, AS - Trump