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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
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Author Topic: Post Random Maps Here 2.0.  (Read 208575 times)
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,738


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« on: August 30, 2017, 09:28:53 AM »



what might this map be?
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,738


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #1 on: September 10, 2017, 08:35:42 AM »


Since no one guessed, I will tell now:

This map is based on the number of times each state voted for landslide losers in the past 100 years.

The landslide losers are:

Smith in 1928
Hoover in 1932
Landon in 1936
Wilkie in 1940
Dewey in 1944
Stevenson in 1952
Stevenson in 1956
Goldwater in 1964
McGovern in 1972
Carter in 1980
Mondale in 1984

Gray states never voted for a landslide loser.
The lightest shade of green voted for a landslide loser once.
The darkest shade of green voted for 5 landslide losers (Georgia).
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,738


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #2 on: September 12, 2017, 11:13:23 AM »

funny how your timeline has Arkansas going from Democrat in 2008 to Republican in 2012 even as 2008 is a close Republican win and 2012 is a comfortable Democrat win.
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,738


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #3 on: October 20, 2017, 06:58:30 AM »

hmm, what were the weakest D swings in 1992? It's be worth it to explore some of those, maybe
Wisconsin, North Dakota, Hawaii, South Dakota, Nebraska, Minnesota.
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,738


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #4 on: October 21, 2017, 07:16:04 PM »

U.S. presidential election, 1968

Vice Pres. Hubert H. Humphrey (Minn.) / Sen. Robert F. Kennedy (N.Y.) - 447 votes, 52.8% ✔️
Gov. George Wallace (Ala.) / Ret. GEN Curtis LeMay (Calif.) - 77 votes, 17.1%
Fmr. Vice Pres. Richard M. Nixon (Calif.) / Fmr. Gov. Nelson Rockefeller (N.Y.) - 14 votes, 30.1%

Closest states:
Nebraska, Humphrey 44.77%Nixon 44.61%Wallace 10.62%
Utah, Humphrey 46.33%43.13% Nixon
Wyoming, Nixon 45% — Humphrey 43.49% — Wallace 11.51%
Arizona, Nixon 44.92% — Humphrey 42.67% — Wallace 12.41%
Florida, Humphrey 37.35% — Wallace 34.66%Nixon 27.99%
North Carolina, Wallace 38.19% — Humphrey 35.32% — Nixon 26.49%

Largest wins:
District of Columbia, Humphrey 89.22%
Hawaii, Humphrey 74.53%
Rhode Island, Humphrey 73.49%
Massachusetts, Humphrey 73.13%
Alabama, Wallace 71.62%
Mississippi, Wallace 69.66%
Maine, Humphrey 67.83%
Minnesota, Humphrey 66.06%

how was this map generated?
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,738


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #5 on: October 22, 2017, 06:27:31 PM »

What was the game id?
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,738


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #6 on: October 30, 2017, 12:11:53 PM »
« Edited: October 30, 2017, 12:37:05 PM by Solid4096 »

The election of 1968:



✓ President Lyndon B. Johnson (Liberal-TX)/Vice President Nelson A. Rockefeller (Liberal-NY): 324 EV. (51.11%)
Governor Ronald Reagan (Conservative-CA)/Governor George Wallace (Conservative-AL): 214 EV. (46.83%)

Edited to what I think would happen.
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,738


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #7 on: October 31, 2017, 07:02:38 PM »

This would be a sure way to guarantee Republican victory every time.
Also beyond a doubt unconstitutional (supreme court might uphold such a measure if it apportioned value based on county population though)
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,738


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #8 on: November 04, 2017, 09:46:06 AM »
« Edited: November 04, 2017, 09:51:30 AM by Solid4096 »



2012 Presidential Election with NPV reversed.

Minnesota is decided by less than .05%.
Mitt Romney barely fails to receive a majority in Colorado.
Electoral vote is 331-207 Romney.
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,738


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #9 on: November 05, 2017, 04:51:07 PM »

Hypothetical Scenario:

Lyndon Johnson makes different decisions regarding the Vietnam War, pulling out in 1965, and continuing the same domestic policy as in OTL, and runs for election in 1968.  George Wallace becomes a Republican, and consistently attacks Johnson for withdrawing from Vietnam, narrowly defeating Richard Nixon (who decided to support Johnson policy regarding the Vietnam War) in the 1968 Republican primaries.



Johnson/Humphrey: 370 EV (56.7%)
Wallace/LeMay: 168 EV (43.3%)
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,738


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #10 on: November 05, 2017, 06:19:43 PM »

Mississippi
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,738


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #11 on: November 05, 2017, 06:33:00 PM »

Wyoming, Oklahoma, Alabama
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,738


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #12 on: November 05, 2017, 06:36:33 PM »


That is also right. Mississippi is the closest state in this scenario, being decided by 0.99%. Wyoming (1.83%), Oklahoma (2.30%), and Alabama (5.21%) are the next three close states, in that order. West Virginia (7.36%), Kentucky (9.03%), and Tennessee (9.73%) round out the list of close states.

What would the popular vote look like here? What about the major racial demographics?
66.05% - 32.45%
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,738


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #13 on: November 05, 2017, 06:41:02 PM »


That is also right. Mississippi is the closest state in this scenario, being decided by 0.99%. Wyoming (1.83%), Oklahoma (2.30%), and Alabama (5.21%) are the next three close states, in that order. West Virginia (7.36%), Kentucky (9.03%), and Tennessee (9.73%) round out the list of close states.

What would the popular vote look like here? What about the major racial demographics?
66.05% - 32.45%

I guess you are one of the posters on the Alternate History board, since you know the exact percentage. What is your username there?
I am not registered in the Alternate History board.
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,738


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #14 on: November 11, 2017, 10:13:19 PM »

Senate, 2016

Democrats - 55 (+9)
Republicans - 45 (–9)[/center]
Lee switches parties? Poor Misty Snow...
seems like a mistake to me.
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,738


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #15 on: November 29, 2017, 02:15:10 PM »



2016-1976 fusion
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,738


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #16 on: December 02, 2017, 01:06:06 PM »



1924 with all votes for Coolidge removed.
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,738


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #17 on: December 02, 2017, 07:43:39 PM »

Hillary Clinton: 348 (51.68%)
Donald Trump: 190 (44.01%)

where did that map come from?
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,738


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #18 on: December 06, 2017, 10:02:34 PM »

Chris Murphy would never accept a VP pick of Jason Kander.
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,738


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #19 on: December 07, 2017, 10:08:30 PM »



anyone want to take a guess?
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,738


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #20 on: December 08, 2017, 03:09:13 PM »


States that trended towards McGovern(in 1972) or Carter(in 1980)?

Nope

It is based on electoral procedure, colors are interchangeable, and not based on political parties.
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,738


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #21 on: December 08, 2017, 05:35:44 PM »

And also, a fun map I did to see how I could edit Wikipedia infoboxes. Posted it on reddit to a chorus of hate and Trump tears.

Her performance in the Electoral College is downright embarrassing considering she's winning the popular vote by the same margin as Nixon '72. also Trump still wins 21 states.

Yeah I probably should have either humbled her PV win, or given her an electoral mega win with those numbers. But is it possible for Trump to win all those states with just 38 million? I mean the country would have to be incredibly polarized.

Kamala Harris would not win the general.
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,738


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #22 on: December 08, 2017, 05:37:17 PM »

how do people make wiki infoboxes?
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,738


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #23 on: December 08, 2017, 06:46:52 PM »

Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,738


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #24 on: December 08, 2017, 07:31:12 PM »

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