How will these states be identified in 2032?

[Young Moderate Republican]

-Connecticut - Tossup

Why would Connecticut be a tossup? Trump lost it by more than Bush did.

Bush had connections to CT. I think he was born in new haven. And I doubt it'll be a toss up either given the high black population in the Hartford area and the rich city types in Fairfield county. Best republicans can hope for are the house seats in district 2 and 5

Ah, you mean our historic base in the state and the easiest voters to win back??

If it were a true reverse southern strategy scenario, it wouldn't be unthinkable. Much more likely than MA or VT.

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

-Connecticut - Tossup

Why would Connecticut be a tossup? Trump lost it by more than Bush did.

Bush had connections to CT. I think he was born in new haven. And I doubt it'll be a toss up either given the high black population in the Hartford area and the rich city types in Fairfield county. Best republicans can hope for are the house seats in district 2 and 5

Ah, you mean our historic base in the state and the easiest voters to win back??

If it were a true reverse southern strategy scenario, it wouldn't be unthinkable. Much more likely than MA or VT.

VT could actually be easier than CT. But a lot depends on who the nominees are over the next 3-4 cycles.

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

-Connecticut - Tossup

Why would Connecticut be a tossup? Trump lost it by more than Bush did.

If GA is Likely D, and TX is Lean D, Republicans will be necessity need to compete for NJ, CT and ILL to stay competitive in the electoral college.

Politics is about evolution and I expect Dems to win 2020-2032.

RinoTom might be the GOP nominee in 2032.

[RFayette]

This is my hunch:

-Arizona:  Lean R
-Colorado:  Lean D
-New Mexico:  Tossup/Lean D
-Virginia:  Likely D
-Florida:  Lean R
-Alaska:  Lean D
-Texas:  Tossup
-South Carolina:  lean R
-Georgia:  lean D
-Utah:  safe R
-Montana:  safe R
-Ohio:  likely R
-Iowa
-North Carolina:  lean D
-Indiana:  safe R
-Minnesota:  Tossup
-Wisconsin:  lean R
-Michigan:  lean R
-Oregon:  safe D
-New Hampshire:  lean R
-Nevada:  lean D
-Pennsylvania:  lean R
-Connecticut:  lean D
-Rhode Island:  lean D
-Maine:  lean R

I see Southwest as holding fairly steady, the Rust Belt and New England drifting rightward, and the Southeast shifting D (with the exception of Florida).

[Since I'm the mad scientist proclaimed by myself]

-Arizona: tilt D
-Colorado: likely D
-New Mexico: Solid D
-Virginia: likely D
-Florida: tossup
-Alaska: tossup
-Texas: tilt R
-South Carolina: likely R
-Georgia: lean D
-Utah: Safe R
-Montana: Solid R
-Ohio: lean R
-Iowa: likely R
-North Carolina: tilt D
-Indiana: Safe R
-Minnesota: tossup
-Wisconsin: lean R
-Michigan: tilt R
-Oregon: solid D
-New Hampshire: lean R
-Nevada: tilt D
-Pennsylvania: tilt R
-Connecticut: lean D
-Rhode Island: lean D
-Maine: tilt R

[Spark]

-Arizona Lean D
-Colorado Likely D
-New Mexico Safe D
-Virginia Likely D
-Florida Tilt D/Toss up
-Alaska Likely R
-Texas Lean R
-South Carolina Likely R
-Georgia Toss-up
-Utah Safe R
-Montana Likely R
-Ohio Lean R
-Iowa Likely R
-North Carolina Tilt R
-Indiana Safe R
-Minnesota Tilt R
-Wisconsin Lean R
-Michigan Tilt R
-Oregon Likely D
-New Hampshire Tilt R
-Nevada Safe D
-Pennsylvania Lean R
-Connecticut Tilt R
-Rhode Island Toss up
-Maine Likely R