2018 Congressional Recruitment/Fundraising/Ratings Megathread

[KingSweden]

MN-03: Wealthy businessman Dean Phillips (D) is officially IN against Eric Paulsen.

NY-24: The DCCC is reportedly very close to recruiting Syracuse Mayor Stephanie Milner. Milner had previously declined to run in 2016.

Miner would be a big get. The suburbs of course are where Katko has had his margins but she'd be the top recruit bar none

[KingSweden]

Why is Michael Hein not talking about running for 2018? Faso is vulnerable and he is popular

He'd be a great choice. Curious about that too

[KingSweden]

https://twitter.com/greggiroux/status/862677191880060929

Richard Ojeda in for the Dems in WV-03. Great recruit, extremely tough district.

Great!  Ojeda's definitely an A-list recruit.

Wow! This is exactly the kind of recruit you need to win here. Great get

[KingSweden]

Looks like Bryan Caforio is going to announce a rematch bid for CA-25 against Steve Knight.

https://twitter.com/BryanCaforio/status/862390491559505920

By all accounts ran a weak campaign last year. Hope for someone better.

You'd probably like Katie Hill, already running for this seat

[KingSweden]

Sittenfeld would honestly be better vs Chabot, IMO

[KingSweden]

From Dave Wasserman at Cook Political Report:

You must be logged in to read this quote.

That'd be what, 70 seats or so?

[KingSweden]

Can a man named Harbaugh win in Ohio, though?

[KingSweden]

Kenneth Queen is running for NC-10, Patrick McHenry's seat. White, straight, married with three (I think, judging from photos) kids, and a military background. His website has a issues page, but it's not very flushed out and there is nothing really specific. A "strong supporter" of the Second Amendment, Medicare-for-all, pro-choice but for free birth control and "fact based sex education" among other things to lessen the need for abortion, education as a right (not sure if this refers to free-college, or just fighting further restrictions), for a secure border (nothing about amnesty), and 100% renewable energy by 2035.

http://www.queenforcongress.com/issues/

He apparently spoke at a March for Truth rally here in Asheville, NC today (June 3rd). I did not attend, but it is reported on their website.

https://indivisibleavl.org/06-01-2017/march-for-truth-against-russianties-on-saturday-june-3/

This guy sounds like my political spirit animal

[KingSweden]

Apparently Herb Kohl's nephew is debating getting in vs Grothman?

[KingSweden]

State Rep. Tom Patton (R) has announced for OH-16 which is being vacated by Jim Renacci in hopes of running for Governor.

Active unionist and active pro-lifer..... Interesting combination, and not so rare in Midwest...

Interesting profile.

[KingSweden]

Impressive intro for Dem challenger to Andy Barr in KY-06

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CcjG2fK7kNk

Jim Gray should still run. He won KY-06 by six last year. KY was a blowout for the GOP, and it's doubly impressive because Gray's gay.

Yeah I liked Gray. Still, impressive video intro

[KingSweden]

Impressive intro for Dem challenger to Andy Barr in KY-06

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CcjG2fK7kNk

Darn! At the time of this post, the video was #2 trending in the entire world! Totally endorsed!

*whistles*

[KingSweden]

WA-5:

Per DKE, it sounds like (as we expected) former WSU Spokane Chancellor and Senate Majority Leader Lisa Brown is entering against Cathy McMorris-Rodgers.

Honestly, Stuckart dropping out may have worked out in Democrats' favor. Brown is a massive recruiting coup in a tough district

[KingSweden]

You must be logged in to read this quote.

Pete Gallego has announced that he will not seek election in the district he lost in 2014 and 2016.

Democrats will probably seek someone from San Antonio

Too bad, but not surprising.

[KingSweden]

Rossi's previous losses have nothing to do with his strength as a candidate for WA-08.

Rossi is almost certainly going to do strongly in the Sammamish/Issaquah area of the district, which is one of the areas D's need to maximize their share of the vote in in order to win the seat. That's why I have it as Lean R.

^^^

[KingSweden]

If we're lucky this will be the map come January 2019.

Need a good challenger in the 3rd. Is it (finally) Tim Leavitt time?

[KingSweden]

If we're lucky this will be the map come January 2019.

You really think Lisa Brown has a chance of knocking off Rodgers in WA-05?

Total wave insurance. I can't think of a stronger candidate for this district (it sure as hell wasn't Ben Stuckart)

[KingSweden]

Peter King (NY-02) has drawn a challenger which is well-funded. Businessman Tim Gomes has loaned his campaign 1 Million Dollar to become King's first credible challenger in ages. Might King retire instead?

Heartily endorsed. The last thing King needs is to face a self-funding political outsider in a terrifically bad year.

The last thing America needs is an unreformed Provo in the House

[KingSweden]

Huh look at that the blue hacks are nowhere to be seen

[KingSweden]

Democrats up 15 in Marist:

https://twitter.com/DKElections/status/930501516376657921

Democrats up 13 points, 51-38, in the congressional ballot in Quinnipiac's latest poll.

So. Much. WINNING.

[KingSweden]

Honestly what Barton is doing isn't resign worthy. What Franken and Conyers has done is.

It all is. Is there proof for Conyers though?

The allegations against him are much more severe, IMO, and he hasn’t been man enough to own up to it frankly

[KingSweden]

Van Drew entering race on Wednesday.

https://www.insidernj.com/van-drew-launch-cd2-bid-wednesday/

D+1

Easy pickup.

[KingSweden]

It seems the GOP tax bill is losing the Republicans support.

Shh nobody tell LimoTroll

[KingSweden]

PPP has a bunch of (I think) new House polls:

CA-10: Denham trails Generic Democrat 49-41
CA-39: Royce trails Generic Democrat 46-43
CA-45: Walters trails Generic Democrat 45-41
NJ-11: Frelinghuysen trails Generic Democrat 49-40
PA-08: Fitzpatrick trails Generic Democrat 47-41

https://mobile.twitter.com/ppppolls/status/943596029068312576?ref_src=twcamp%5Eshare%7Ctwsrc%5Eios%7Ctwgr%5Eother

This is the first time I’ve seen Denham and Royce trailing

[KingSweden]

When do Q4 fundraising numbers come out?

A lot of candidates are self reporting right now, I believe the deadline is the end of this month. DKE has a wealth of information on this sort of thing, usually with daily updates in their live digests. They may have a master list somewhere on the site.