2018 Congressional Recruitment/Fundraising/Ratings Megathread

[Dr. Arch]

Via quinnipiac, Trump's approval in upstate NY has fallen to 38%. Could play a big role on if Michael Hein and/or Svante Myrick join races

Haven't upstate NY and the Upper Midwest tracked eerily close together in the past? If this keeps up that is bad news in MI, MN and WI.

Yep, I was about to mention just that. I saw a former Trump supporter protesting down Washington street a week ago when Trump made the announcement about trans troops. His flag-decored signs read "Trump is a traitor."

[Dr. Arch]

Billings attorney John Heenan (D) is running against Gianforte

Good recruit or?

[Dr. Arch]

Grant Kier (D), the former director of a Missoula nonprofit, is running for MT-AL

Good recruit?

He might be, but its worth noting he isn't originally from Montana. Neither is Assaultforte, but that seems like the type of edge Democrats would need.

Assaulterforte should be fine, even though he isn't from Assualtana. He seems to be pretty popular from what I understand despite Assaultgate. I think he overperforms the GOP Senate nominee (who'll get AT LEAST 45%) by about 5 points or so, should be enough to get above 50%, even though they'll almost certainly bring up the incident.

lol, there will be no excuses to hide behind if he gets re-elected.

[Dr. Arch]

If we're lucky this will be the map come January 2019.

Pretty map

[Dr. Arch]

Money means nothing.

[Dr. Arch]

28-year old State Rep Kaniela Ing is running for Hanabusa’s seat. Hawaii will now have 2 beautiful Representatives.

I just became gayer.

lool

[Dr. Arch]

NH-01: Chris Pappas (D) is in: http://www.wmur.com/article/wmur-first-democrat-pappas-announces-candidacy-for-1st-district-us-house-seat/13509553

Cute guy

[Dr. Arch]

NH-01: Chris Pappas (D) is in: http://www.wmur.com/article/wmur-first-democrat-pappas-announces-candidacy-for-1st-district-us-house-seat/13509553

Cute guy

Who wants to write the Kaniela/Chris fanfiction and OK I guess I'll do it.

lmao, that was fast

[Dr. Arch]

🌊 🌊 🌊

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Oh my

[Dr. Arch]

Jesus, people, it's ten months to the election. Were Republicans crapping themselves in 2010, when Democrats were getting leads in some reputable generic ballot polls as late as September?

We just saw, what, a 30+ point swing in deep Wisconsin? 2018 is going to be good to us.

This

[Dr. Arch]

Wow. Republicans only down 47-45 in Minnesota generic ballot. Buh bye, Peterson, MN-1, and Nolan.
https://twitter.com/kkondik/status/954040514155827204

Bad poll after bad poll for Democrats.

I see your New Year's resolution has worn off.  Time to put you back on Ignore.

And you're not coming off this time.

[Dr. Arch]

Weinzapfel

Gesundheit

lmao

[Dr. Arch]

Dem registrations surfing in Kansas. Many saying GOP=done

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I'm actually looking forward to the potential of a reverse-2010 this year. I'm cautiously optimistic.

[Dr. Arch]

~BlUe WaVe ImMiNeNt~ 🌊🌊🌊

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Wait, caucus for what? I need some context here.

[Dr. Arch]

~BlUe WaVe ImMiNeNt~ 🌊🌊🌊

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Wait, caucus for what? I need some context here.

Nomination caucuses.

Gotcha, thanks. That's good news

[Dr. Arch]

Big rebound for Democrats from Quinnipiac:

House:

Democrats 53% (+4)
Republicans 38% (-2)

Senate

Democrats 54% (+5)
Republicans 39% (-3)

Source

D+15

[Dr. Arch]

ND-AL: State Senator John Grabinger (D-Jamestown) is running. He first won in 2012 as Romney was carrying his district 57-40, and easily won reelection in 2016, 59-41, even as Trump was carrying it 63-28.

Wow, sounds like a good candidate on paper.

[Dr. Arch]

https://www.twitter.com/ThePlumLineGS/status/973928664688746497

*creams pants*

With this change of focus, the upper Midwest can go back to 2008 times, electorally. PA-18 is certain evidence that Democrats can sweep the entire region easily.