2018 Congressional Recruitment/Fundraising/Ratings Megathread

[Hindsight was 2020]

Solomon Ortiz Jr. is thinking about running for his dad's old seat (currently held by Blake Farenthold) of the courts redistrict the map https://www.texastribune.org/2017/04/18/2018-texas-congressional-races-begin-take-shape/?utm_campaign=trib-social-buttons&utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social

[Hindsight was 2020]

Why is Wexton the top recruit anyway?

[Hindsight was 2020]

I do wonder why NY seems to have a recruitment problem and we don't hear about a people like Stephanie A. Miner hungry to Katko or Bellone wanting King like we are hearing about in California or Virginia

[Hindsight was 2020]

Because Bellone is probably waiting until King (who is unbeatable) retires. He'd be the favorite in an open seat

Probably but my point was NY is still blue heavy an hates the Donald but dems seem to have a an early recruiting problem here

[Hindsight was 2020]

Because Bellone is probably waiting until King (who is unbeatable) retires. He'd be the favorite in an open seat

Probably but my point was NY is still blue heavy an hates the Donald but dems seem to have a an early recruiting problem here

NY-2 doesn't hate Trump.  It voted 53-44 for Trump.  Suffolk County and the south shore of Nassau County that is in NY-2 isn't as heavily blue as you think.

I know it's not heavy blue but King has been making mistakes like Lee Zeldin in skipping town halls that look really bad

[Hindsight was 2020]

Telling it now house will flip

[Hindsight was 2020]

IIRC, Dems dominated in the generic congressional poll in late 2013, only to be immediately overtaken by the Republicans because of the ACA rollout, never to retake the lead.

Americans are fickle.

Apples to oranges Obama was president but a (R) is now

[Hindsight was 2020]

Would Jonathan Rothschild be a good canidate aganist McSally https://mobile.twitter.com/ericawerner/status/860138281064943617

[Hindsight was 2020]

David Jolly told Poltico he is seeing serious early warning signs for 2018 http://www.politico.com/story/2017/05/06/obamacare-repeal-house-2018-238064

[Hindsight was 2020]

Why is Michael Hein not talking about running for 2018? Faso is vulnerable and he is popular

[Hindsight was 2020]

Politico Pro is reporting that House Majority PAC released internals on 3 Trump GOP reps who are all losing to "unnamed democrats" take it with a grain of salt obviously but:

IA-01: Blum trails 32-47

MI-06: Upton behind 37-41

ME-02: Poliquin down 43-44

(all against unnamed Democrat)

From @AliLapp on twitter

I think Poliquin will be safe but Blum is in serious trouble and I can see Upton going down over the AHCA

[Hindsight was 2020]

https://twitter.com/greggiroux/status/862677191880060929

Richard Ojeda in for the Dems in WV-03. Great recruit, extremely tough district.

Man dems are getting the A list recruits to run

[Hindsight was 2020]

Yeah, I somehow doubt that Ann Kirkpatrick running against Martha McSally is a good idea. I mean, she could win if people are mad enough at Republicans, but she doesn't seem like a great option to me.

McSally is already losing to a generic Dem by a significant margin.. 43-50.
https://perma.cc/FQ4L-ZWV2

That is a blue trending district and "carpetbagging" isn't a real attack in Arizona from what I've heard

[Hindsight was 2020]

Not sure if anyone has posted this yet, but Issaquah City Councilmember Tola Marts is running against Reichert in WA-8. Marts sounds like exactly my favorite kind of Democrat, but then again, I'm not a WA-8 voter, and I don't suspect I'm close what a swing voter in the district looks like, so we shall see:

https://insurancenewsnet.com/oarticle/issaquah-councilmember-tola-marts-to-challenge-dave-reichert-in-8th-district

A stronger recruit then they have had in the past

[Hindsight was 2020]

Nate Silver,

You must be logged in to read this quote.

Source.

Legitimate question: How much clout should we continue to give Silver after his seriously botched 2016 prediction.

Legitimate question: do you follow Nate at all or are you unaware he was constantly saying Trump had a shot an all the big swing states are with MOE?

[Hindsight was 2020]

A really good read on dem recruitment in California https://mobile.nytimes.com/2017/06/01/us/democrats-bid-to-regain-hold-on-house-begins-in-california.html?referer=https://t.co/WkeORrhLs2?amp=1

[Hindsight was 2020]

I was wondering do the dems have anyone good to take on Carlos Curbelo?

[Hindsight was 2020]

Are there any rumors of Ds recruting Lynwood Lewis jr for Vir 2nd? Be a great land

[Hindsight was 2020]

WA-04: Former news anchor Christine Brown files to run against Newhouse.
http://www.rollcall.com/news/politics/newhouse-gets-challenger-washington

Interesting that so far two of Washington's house republicans have a challenger named Brown. We'll see who will stand against Buetler and Riechert.

Out of curiosity can any members of King County council run for Riechert seat? Cause if so dccc needs to get on recruiting someone from that group to run

[Hindsight was 2020]

Michael Hein the 1st and current County Executive of Ulster County said he will make a decision on running against Faso in July http://blog.timesunion.com/capitol/archives/275229/democratic-field-in-ny-19-swells-to-six/

[Hindsight was 2020]

Man only 6 months in an dems lead by 8 already

[Hindsight was 2020]

Per Alex Burns Phoniex mayor Greg Staton is considering running aganist Flake https://mobile.nytimes.com/2017/06/23/us/politics/health-care-bill-senate.html?_r=0&referer=https://t.co/btcK86kXDL?amp=1

[Hindsight was 2020]

Not shocking but Ossoff is probably going to try again in 2018 https://mobile.twitter.com/daveweigel/status/879417956639363072

[Hindsight was 2020]

NY-22: State Assemblyman Anthony Brindisi to challenge Rep. Claudia Tenney: http://www.syracuse.com/politics/index.ssf/2017/06/anthony_brindisi_to_challenge_claudia_tenney_for_congress_in_upstate_ny.html

Boom son

[Hindsight was 2020]

NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist 6/21-6/25:

Democrats 48%
Republicans 38%

Source

An there we go