Next election with 55% of the popular vote?

[President Johnson]

Will there ever be a presidential election with the winner garnering at least 55% of the national popular vote? (I mean for both parties).

Thoughts whether that's going to happen again, and if so, when? And under which circumstances?

[pbrower2a]

2020 should President Trump be a disaster or should the Republicans successfully rig the election.

[DPKdebator]

55% Democratic PV win would probably be this:

375 - 163 (though an independent might win Utah)

55% Republican PV win would probably be this:

390 - 148

[Lord Admirale]

If the Democrats put Warren in, then you'd see Trump hit 55%.

[Skill and Chance]

55% is a really high bar, especially if 3rd parties remain usually strong in the Trump era as the major party coalitions sort themselves out.  I think the best chance would be a 1932-like scenario in 2024 if Trump is narrowly reelected and then the economy crashes during his 2nd term due to protectionism, etc.

[Virginiá]

2020 or 2024 would be my guess. I'm a firm believer in the theory that the 2020s will see a break in the stalemate both parties have found themselves in, and that after it is broken, the 'winning' party will temporarily have lopsided political power. This is a theme that has played out consistently in American history. While not completely aligned with my beliefs, TD's Between Two Majorities timeline sums up this general idea.

[Shadows]

Dems - 55%
GOP - 43%
Libertarians - 1.5%
Green - 0.5%

A 12% victory looks really hard (I mean there would be some Lib/Green folks)!

I think the most optimistic scenario is like -

Dems - 53-53.5%
GOP - 44.5-45 %

(Rest unchanged)

While I fully believe if Dems have a good candidate, beating Trump by a wide margin is possible, I think that margin will be around 8-9% odd maybe 10% at best, 12% looks incredibly hard (Obama in 08 won by 7.2%).

Having said that I think Indiana, Missouri, Montana, Georgia are all winnable if a Dem nominee wins by 8-9 % !