Le Monde, on why LREM could get a landslide majority, based on the Ipsos-Cévipof poll.
-LREM is way ahead in the first round (31% to 22% to LR, in the constituencies where LREM is actually opposed to LR it's 33% to 21%) and the LREM vote is high everywhere with no area of weakness: LREM is ahead or slightly behind in the strongholds of PS, FI, FN or LR. Also that means that there is no incumbent advantage.
-Low turnout prevent high numbers of triangulaires, so in majority it will be duels with LREM gaining votes from every other parties.
Also in this Ipsos-Cévipol poll there is some interesting results about French society
-Homosexuality is an acceptable way to live his sexuality: Yes 71% (up 8 since 2015)
-Childs of immigrants born in France are as French as others: Yes 58% (+8)
-There is too many immigrants in France: Yes 53% (-7)
-France needs a strong leader who doesn't care about parliament or elections: Yes 42% (-10)
-Reinstate the death penalty: Yes 35% (-4)
-If the EU were abandoned tomorrow, what would you feel? Big regrets 53% (+9 since 2016), don't care 31% (-2), big relief 16% (-7)
This is the most gladdening poll I've seen in weeks.
