Nov. 2017 general election predictions?

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

VA-GOV
49% Northam (D)
47% Gillespie (R)

VA-LT GOV
50% Fairfax (D)
46% Vogel (R)

VA-AT GEN
52% Herring (D)
45% Adams (R)

NJ-GOV
59% Murphy (D)
37% Guadagno (R)

New York Mayor
70% DeBlasio (D)

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Alright take it to the bank on these results
Virginia's races
ED GILLESPIE 48.72%
RALPH NORTHAM 48.31%

JILL VOGEL 48.26%
JUSTIN FAIRFAX 51.05%

JOHN ADAMS 47.84%
MARK HERRING 50.43%

That's quite a bold prediction there friend. Yet, it is still within the realm of possibility, hopefully you are wrong though.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Alright take it to the bank on these results
Virginia's races
ED GILLESPIE 48.72%
RALPH NORTHAM 48.31%

JILL VOGEL 48.26%
JUSTIN FAIRFAX 51.05%

JOHN ADAMS 47.84%
MARK HERRING 50.43%

That's quite a bold prediction there friend. Yet, it is still within the realm of possibility, hopefully you are wrong though.

That's why I made these results actually think the governors race could be even closer like Washington in 2004. The one I'm most unsure about is the Adams herring race just because of how close it was last time.

I too think Herring is overated. Everyone is biting their nails in gov and lt gov races, but nearly everything and everyone (including early polls) are shrugging and saying, oh that guy, lol, he's a shoo in. Something makes me not buy it... I still think he will win, but by small margins, and possibly a plurality, though probably a slim majority.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Alright take it to the bank on these results
Virginia's races
ED GILLESPIE 48.72%
RALPH NORTHAM 48.31%

JILL VOGEL 48.26%
JUSTIN FAIRFAX 51.05%

JOHN ADAMS 47.84%
MARK HERRING 50.43%

That's quite a bold prediction there friend. Yet, it is still within the realm of possibility, hopefully you are wrong though.

That's why I made these results actually think the governors race could be even closer like Washington in 2004. The one I'm most unsure about is the Adams herring race just because of how close it was last time.

I too think Herring is overated. Everyone is biting their nails in gov and lt gov races, but nearly everything and everyone (including early polls) are shrugging and saying, oh that guy, lol, he's a shoo in. Something makes me not buy it... I still think he will win, but by small margins, and possibly a plurality, though probably a slim majority.

I agree plus with the name john Adams that should help him out.

VA Dems should sweep all three races.

As a reminder of turnout: (June primary #'s)
Total D votes for Gov: 543,000
Total R votes for Gov: 366,000
177,000 Vote Lead for the Dems

Total D votes for Lt Gov: 514,000
Total R votes for Lt Gov: 355,000
159,000 Vote Lead for the Dems

Trump Fatigue and Dem motivation should create a situation where Dems finish even stronger than their respective primary percentages. Can't wait to see the tweets from Trump on election eve.

Let's hope you are right.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Virginia (Governor):

Ralph Northam (D): 49.0%
Ed Gillespie (R): 46.5%
Cliff Hyra (L): 3.0%
Other: 1.5%

There is no “Other”.

Probably WI's.