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« on: June 30, 2017, 02:22:52 AM » |
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According to the exit polls, it appears the main difference between say Minnesota and Wisconsin was the percentage of voters who were white college educated, in Minnesota, Trump won non-college educated white voters by 27 points and in Wisconsin by 28 points. Among college educated whites, Trump lost in Minnesota by 9 points whilst losing the same group in Wisconsin by 12 points. The crucial difference was the proportions, in Minnesota only 37% of voters were whites without a college degree while the same figure in Wisconsin was 47%, that completely accounts for why MN went C+1.4 and WI went T+0.7, the 2.1% difference was completely a product of the 10 point gap in the share of voters who were non-college educated whites.
I can't post links since I don't enough posts but the data I have is from the CNN exit polls.
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