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NHI
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #100 on: June 25, 2017, 07:47:43 PM »

Next update coming Monday. Gubernatorial Analysis and final leg before 2018 midterms.
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NHI
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« Reply #101 on: June 26, 2017, 07:30:02 PM »
« Edited: June 30, 2017, 12:13:04 PM by NHI »

2018 Gubernatorial Breakdown

Safe/Solid Democrat: CA, OR, NY, RI
Light Red Lean Democrat: CO, HI< NM, MN, PA, CT

Safe/Solid Republican: AZ, ID, IA, WY, SD, NE, OK, TX, AR, TN, AL, GA, SC, MD, MA
Light Blue Lean Republican: KS, WI, IL, OH, VT
Lean Independent: AK

Tossup: ME, NH, MI, FL, NV

Alabama: Safe Republican
Despite the resignation of Gov. Bentley, Gov. Kay Ivey will more likely than not win election in 2018. Current polls show her ahead, of State Senator Bill Beasley 57% to 36%.


Alaska: Lean Independent
Incumbent Governor Bill Walker is running for reelection against Former U.S. Senator Mark Begich and perennial GOP candidate Joe Miller. Polls show a competitive race between Walker, the independent candidate and Begich the Democrat. Analysts give the advantage to Walker. Current polls put him ahead 43% to Begich's 32%.

Arizona: Safe Republican ( ✓ Trump: 47.08% Clinton: 45.68%)
Governor Doug Doucey is heading to win reelection over his Democratic opponent Greg Stanton, the Mayor of Phoenix. Despite, Donald Trump, only winning Arizona by a razor thin margin in 2016, polls put Doucey ahead of Stanton 52% to 43%.

Arkansas: Safe Republican
In a state where Donald Trump won with over 60% of the vote, incumbent Governor Asa Hutchinson is cruising to win by double digits. Most polls show him ahead 57% to 39%.

California: Safe Democrat
Retiring Governor Jerry Brown's exit from the stage has paved the way for his Lieutenant Governor Gavin Newsom to run for the top job. The result of California's Jungle Primary will pit Newsom, a Democrat against State Treasurer John Chiang, also a Democrat. Polls show Newsom as the favorite to win in November. He leads Chiang in the latest poll 51% to 38%.

Colorado: Lean Democrat
Democrat Cary Kennedy is vying to replace outgoing Governor John Hickenlooper. The Republican candidate is Lew Gaiter. Pundits put the safe in the lean Democratic column. Polls show Kennedy ahead 48% to 41%.

Connecticut: Lean Democrat
Despite outgoing Governor Dan Malloy's unpopularity, Democrat Dan Drew is leading former FL Congressman and Former MSNBC host Joe Scarborough 50% to 44%.

Florida: Tossup ] ( ✓ Clinton: 48.60% Trump: 47.69%)
Governor Rick Scott is running for the United States Senate, and the Republican primary electorate chose Adam Putnam as the nominee. Democrats nominated Gwen Graham, a US Representative and daughter to former Governor and Senator Bob Graham. Polls show a tight race with Putnam leading by 0.5%. 48.0% to 47.5%.

Georgia: Safe Republican
Lt. Governor Casey Cagel is on track to defeat Democratic nominee, Stacey Evans. Polls show Cagel leading 51% to 42%.

Hawaii: Safe Democrat
 One term Governor David Ige is considered a safe bet for reelection. Polls put him ahead 60% to 35%

Idaho Safe Republican
Lt. Governor Brad Little is poised to become Governor. A recent poll finds him safely ahead of his Democratic rival; 61% to 34%.

Illinois: Lean Republican
Despite a rocky first term, Governor Bruce Rauer is holding his own against Attorney General  Lisa Madigan. Polls find Rauer ahead 50% to 44%.


Iowa Safe Republican ( ✓ Trump: 49.15% Clinton: 43.74%)
Incumbent Governor Terry Branstad will likely win reelection to a seventh term. Polls find him ahead 55% to 40%.

Kansas: Lean Republican
KS Secretary of State SKris Kobach defeated the Lt. Governor Jeff Coyler to win the GOP nomination, in part thanks to Governor Sam Brownback's unpopularity. However, despite the incumbent's unfavorables, and the second campaign of 2014 Democratic nominee Paul Davis Kobach is seen as the favorite in the race to replace Brown. He leads Davis, 49% to 42%.


Maine: Tossup ( ✓ Clinton: 49.52% Trump: 46.01%)
After Republican Senator Susan Collins ruled out a run for Governor, the race became wide open to replace incumbent Paul LePage. This election is the first to have a ranked choice voting system. The top contenders are Democrat Justin Alfond, Republicans Mary Mayhew, and Bruce Polliquin, Independent Terry Hayes. Polls find Mayhew leading the pack with 35% of the vote.

MarylandSafe Republican
Governor Larry Hogan remains one of the most popular Governor in America, second only to Massachusetts' Charlie Baker. Hogan is set to win a second term, with the polls finding him ahead 54% to 41%.

Massachusetts Safe Republican
The most popular Governor is America, Charlie Baker is going to win reelection over Democrat Setti Warren. Baker, like MD Governor Larry Hogan is viewed highly by both Democrats and Republicans. Polls find Baker, who is reportedly considering a run for President in 2020, ahead 55% to 43%.

Michgian: Tossup ( ✓ Clinton: 49.25% Trump: 45.04%)
Democratic candidate and US Reprsentative Dan Kildee and Republican Lt. Governor Brian Calley are in a competitive race to succeed Governor Rick Synder. Polls find Kildee ahead narrowly 47% to 45%.

Minnesota: Lean Democrat
The race for Governor is expected to be close, with Democratic candidate Chris Coleman, Republican Erik Paulsen and former Governor Jesse Ventura all vying for the top spot. Polls find Coleman narrowly ahead 39% to 26%. Ventura is polling at 19%, but is seen as a wildcard in the race.


NebraskaSafe Republican
After defeating former Governor Dan Heineman in the Republican primary, 79% to 21%; Governor Pete Ricketts is in no danger of winning reelection.


Nevada: Tossup ( ✓ Clinton: 48.93% Trump: 45.50%)
After a bruising primary, Lt. Governor Brian Krolicki won the GOP nomination. He is facing Democrat Aaron Ford in the general election. Polls Krolicki ahead narrowly over Ford: 48% to 45%.

New Hampshire: Tossup ( ✓ Clinton: 49.83% Trump: 45.76%)
Governor Chris Sununu faced no primary challenge from the right; allowing him to focus on the general. After a bruising primary on the Democratic side, Executive Councilor Andru Volinkski. Polls show a competitive race. The latest poll put Sununu ahead 49% to 47%.


New Mexico: Lean Democrat
Michelle Lujan-Grisham, the Democratic candidate is currently leading Lt. Governor John Sanchez 50% to 42%.

New York: Safe Democrat
Andrew Cuomo is following in the footsteps of his father and running for a third term. Despite, tweets and idle rumor that either Donald Trump Sr, or Mayor Donald Trump Jr. would run, both passed and Republicans selected retiring Congressman Chris Gibbons. Polls put Cuomo ahead 54% to 39%.


Ohio: Lean Republican ( ✓ Trump: 48.02% Clinton: 45.00%)
Attorney General Mike DeWine is likely to succeed outgoing Governor John Kasich. Polling finds him ahead of Former Representative Betty Sutton; 51% to 43%.


OklahomaSafe Republican
Lt. Governor Todd Lamb is heading for a landslide victory in the November election. Polls put him ahead 64% to 34%.

Oregon: Safe Democrat
Despite initial polling showing a competitive race Governor Kate Brown has pulled out ahead of her Republican rival, and is now leading 52% to 44%.

Pennsylvania: Lean Democrat ( ✓ Clinton: 49.77% Trump: 44.46%)
Governor Tom Wolfe is expected to defeated State Senator Steve Waggoner. Polls put the Governor ahead 51% to 45%.

Oregon: Safe Democrat
Kate Brown will likely win a comfortable reelection in November. Polls find her leading Republican Peter Kilmartin 54% to 40%.

South Carolina: Safe Republican
Lt. Governor Henry McMaster is likely to succeed outgoing Governor Nikki Haley. He leads Democrat Brad Hutto 53% to 43%.

South Dakota: Safe Republican
 Kristi Noem is leading her Democratic opponent 56% to 39%.

Tennessee Safe Republican
Despite a bruising GOP primary Steve Fincher is most likely going to be the next Governor of Tennessee. He leads 54% to 40%.

Texas: Safe Republican
Governor Gregg Abbott is far ahead of his Democratic opponent Annise Parker: 58% to 37%.

Vermont: Lean Republican
Republican Governor Phil Scott is facing a rematch against 2016 Democratic Nominee Sue Minter, but polls put the Governor ahead and he will likely win reelection. Current poll put Scott at 51% to Minter's 43%.


Wisconsin: Lean Republican ( ✓ Clinton: 49.22% Trump: 45.01%)
Governor Scott Walker flirted with not running for reelection, but announced his campaign, possibly with an eye on the White House in 2020. Polls find him narrowly leading Democrat Timothy Cullen: 49% to 43%.


Wyoming: Safe Republican
Former Representative Cynthia Lummis will more likely than not be the next Governor of Wyoming. She is leading her Democratic rival 57% to 24%, with Don Willis, the independent taking 13%.
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Not_Madigan
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« Reply #102 on: June 26, 2017, 07:35:03 PM »

Quote
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Smiley
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NHI
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #103 on: June 30, 2017, 11:45:43 AM »

President Clinton Campaigns for Congressional Democrats; Face Backlash
President Clinton returned to the campaign, stumping for her party's candidates across the country, but as her approval rating continues to tank many Democrats are running away from the President over fear her presence will jeopardize their own chances. While speaking at a rally in Florida for Gubernatorial Candidate Gwen Graham, protests interrupted the President multiple times; echoing chants of 'lock her up'. The protesters were removed from the auditorium, but the incident reportedly left the President flustered.

Sources: Clinton 'exhausted' and frustrated'
The White House continues to deny leak from unnamed sources who claim the President is exhausted over political gridlock on Capitol Hill, as well as from the day to day rigors of the job. Clinton is also said to be frustrated over a 'lack of accomplishments'. Her administration had hoped to tackle immigration reform prior to the midterms, but now with a Republican wave building all hopes looked to be dashed.

A long time political observer noted, President Clinton 'has all the markings of a one-term President.' Despite, the relatively strong economy the President has succeed in achieving any significant milestones in terms of legislation or policy. 'The window is closing for her to shape an already crumbling legacy.'


Trump sounds off on Clinton with a Tweet
Continuing to fuel speculation he may seek the Presidency, again in 2020, Donald Trump blasted the President over the alleged 'leak' suggesting President Clinton is tired and frustrated. Trump used the incident to question the President's stamina and ability to successfully do the job. The White House offered no comment.

Bad Day on Wall Street; as Markets Continue to Tumble
The increasingly bleak picture on Wall Street has investors white knuckled the US may be heading for another recession. The White House has suggested a stimulus package, not quite the size of the one passed in 2009; as well as for the Fed to halt the idea of raising interest rates.

Generic Congressional Ballot: Republican vs Democrat
Republican: 48%
Democrat: 42%
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MAINEiac4434
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« Reply #104 on: June 30, 2017, 12:08:45 PM »

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Mayhew is a Republican and an extremely conservative one at that

Raimondo is a from Rhode Island. Kate Brown is the governor of Oregon.

I'm really enjoying this TL!
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NHI
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #105 on: June 30, 2017, 12:10:47 PM »

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Mayhew is a Republican and an extremely conservative one at that

Raimondo is a from Rhode Island. Kate Brown is the governor of Oregon.

I'm really enjoying this TL!

Thanks for catching that!

Great, glad you're enjoying it.
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Jaguar4life
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« Reply #106 on: June 30, 2017, 02:03:54 PM »

Still pulling for Gabbard to challenge Clinton
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Not_Madigan
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« Reply #107 on: June 30, 2017, 02:24:06 PM »

When will election night be?
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NHI
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #108 on: July 01, 2017, 07:38:23 AM »

Hope to have it up before the holiday weekend is out.
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NHI
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« Reply #109 on: July 02, 2017, 07:23:06 AM »

Election Night: 2018
Pres. Clinton casts her vote in New York. "I hope all Americans get out and vote today." The midterm elections are largely seen as a referendum on President Clinton, and her lack of legislative accomplishment.

Battle for the U.S. Senate
Republicans:
Democrats:

Blitzer: One of the first races we are watching closely tonight is the Senate Race in Indiana. Former Governor and 2016 Vice Presidential nominee Mike Pence is looking to beat Democrat Joe Donnelly. It what has become the most expensive Senate Race in US history, Republicans are feeling bullish about Pence's chances.

IN: Senate <1%
Mike Pence: 55.76%
Joe Donnelly: 44.10%

Blitzer: We do have another race Virginia. Senator Bobby Scott is running for a full term against Republican pundit and talk show host Laura Ingraham. Scott, was first appointed by then Governor Terry McAuliffe after Tim Kaine became President. Scott, then narrowly won a special election over Republican Ken Cuccinelli. Tonight, we are watching a very competitive race, with Ingraham doing better than expected; this after an especially bruising Republican primary where Ingraham defeated Representative Barbara Comstock.

Tapper: This seat was largely brushed off by the national Republicans, with many not seeing Ingraham as a strong candidate, but tonight looking at the numbers, perhaps Republicans made a mistake.

VA: Senate 2% Reported
Bobby Scott: 49.79%
Laura Ingraham: 47.91%

Blitzer: CNN can make one projection already tonight. In West Virginia, we project Senator Joe Manchin will retain his seat. He defeats Republican Evan Jenkins; this coming after an especially close primary for Senator Manchin, but tonight he easily defeats his Republican opponent.

WV: 20% Reported
✓ Joe Manchin: 57.59%
Evan Jenkins: 40.00%

Blitzer: CNN can also project in the battle for the House, in Virginia's 10th Congressional District, Representative Barbara Comstock will win reelection, defeating Democrat Kimberly Adam. 53.04% to 44.09%.

Tapper: Another race we are continuing to watch is in New Hampshire, where incumbent Congresswoman Carol Shea-Porter is trying to fend off a challenge from Republican and former party vice chairman in the state Matt Mayberry. This is considered a tossup state for either party, with it trading hands back and forth over the last eight years. Tonight, Shea-Porter is narrowly ahead, but it is still close.

Mayberry won the Republican nomination after a bruising fight between State Senator Andy Sanborn and former Liquor Commissioner Eddie Edwards.

NH CD 1: 5% Reporting
Carol Shea-Porter: 48.66%
Matt Mayberry: 46.97%

Blitzer: We can project that in New Hampshire's Second Congressional District, incumbent Ann Kuster will be reelected over Republican nominee Jack Flannigan. 52.05% to 43.99%
 
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NHI
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« Reply #110 on: July 02, 2017, 09:32:39 AM »

Blitzer: ...and CNN can now project Senator Elizabeth Warren will win reelection. She defeats her Republican challenger Geoff Diehl.

King: A long shot seat for Republicans, and they were hopeful and tried to make her race a national one, but Senator Warren manages to still win reelection.

MA Senate: 45% Reported
✓ Elizabeth Warren: 54.96%
Geoff Diehl: 45.01%

Blitzer: CNN can also project incumbent Senator Angus King will defeat outgoing Governor of Maine Paul LePage in a hotly contested and bitter race.

MA Senate: 39% Reported
✓ Angus King: 49.66%
Paul LePage: 32.91%
Eric Brakey: 18.43%

Blitzer: Another call to make. Senator Tammy Baldwin of Wisconsin will defeat Republican candidate Sheriff David Clarke.

WI: Senate: 25% Reported
✓ Tammy Baldwin: 55.06%
David Clarke: 42.98%



King: Here is the state of play at this hour. Pretty much going as we expected Wolf. Still, the battle for who will control the US Senate and thus the Congress, will be determined in the races where we have yet to project a winner, Florida, Indiana, Pennsylvania, Ohio.

FL Senate: 37% Reported
Ben Nelson: 51.99%
Rick Scott: 47.77%

OH Senate: 49% Reported
Josh Mandel: 50.01%
Sherrod Brown: 48.54%

MO Senate: 51% Reported
Carl Edwards: 51.01%
Claire McCaskill: 48.77%

TX Senate: 31% Reported
Ted Cruz: 53.59%
Beto O'Rouke: 45.79%

PA Senate: 48% Reported
Bob Casey: 52.05%
Rick Saccone: 45.99%

VA Senate: 57% Reported
Bobby Scott: 49.26%
Laura Ingraham: 48.91%

Blitzer: CNN does have another projection to make and it is a big one. In the state of Indiana, we project Former Governor Mike Pence will defeat Senator Joe Donnelly. Mike Pence wins the seat, giving the Republicans so far a net gain of one for tonight.

IN Senate: 55% Reported (R+1)
✓  Mike Pence: 54.92%
Joe Donnelly: 44.91%

Blitzer: Another call to make in Texas. CNN can project Senator Ted Cruz will win reelection.
Republicans: +1
Democrats:

Gubernatorial Results:

Blitzer: We are watching a few hotly contested Gubernatorial Elections across the country. So far the results have been going as expected. We are able to make a call in New Hampshire. CNN can now project Governor Chris Sununu will win reelection and defeat his Democratic challenger.

NH Gov: 56% Reported
✓ Chris Sununu: 51.05%
Andru Volinsky: 47.10%

Blitzer: Another race we continue to watch is in Connecticut where former Florida Congressman and MSNBC host Joe Scarborough is trying to defeat Democrat Dan Drew. Mr. Scarborough holds a narrow lead at the current count. In this election the unpopularity of incumbent Governor Dan Malloy, who Scarborough has tied Mr. Drew too seems to be paying off.


CT: Gov: 59% Reported
Joe Scarborough: 50.50%
Dan Drew: 48.90%
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Lord Admirale
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« Reply #111 on: July 02, 2017, 12:17:39 PM »

I'm surprised Bob Menendez won reelection. If Hillary was POTUS, 2018 could've been Tom Kean Jr.'s time to shine.
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Not_Madigan
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« Reply #112 on: July 02, 2017, 04:43:38 PM »

Illinois isn't called yet, slightly worried.
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NHI
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« Reply #113 on: July 03, 2017, 10:14:27 AM »
« Edited: July 08, 2017, 01:40:28 PM by NHI »

CNN Projection: Bruce Rauer Wins Reelection
✓ Bruce Rauer: 52.01%
 Lisa Madigan: 46.50%

Blitzer: Governor Rauer, despite a state on the verge of economic collapse, has been reelected defeating his Democratic opponent State Attorney General Lisa Madigan.

NH Congressional Race: Inc. Carol Shea-Porter wins Reelection

Blitzer: Another seat Republicans hoped they could compete for, remains in the Democratic column tonight. Longtime incumbent Carol Shea-Porter wins reelection over her challenger Matt Mayberry, the former Vice Chair of the State Party.

CNN has projected Republicans will remain in control of the House of Representatives, but control for the US Senate remains up for grabs. We are still watching a few crucial seats including the Senate race in Ohio where Senator Sherrod Brown is trying to hold on, and in Virginia, where an unexpectedly close race has taken place between Senator Bobby Scott, the Democratic Candidate and Republican candidate Laura Ingraham.

FL SEN: 66% Reported (D HOLD)
✓ Bill Nelson: 52%
Rick Scott: 47%

Tapper: And CNN can now project Senator Ben Nelson will win reelection, defeating Governor Rick Scott in one of the most expensive Senate races in history and the most expensive race in Florida's history.

Blitzer: And we have a major projection to make at this time. In Missouri, CNN is now calling the race for Carl Edwards, he defeats Senator Claire McCaskill. We have just learned she has called Mr. Edwards and conceded the race and is now on stage addressing supporters.

Sen. McCaskill Speaks to Supporters; Concedes to Carl Edwards.

Breaking News: Control of the Senate Decided


Blitzer: CNN can now project Republicans will win back control of the United States Senate. The defeat of Claire McCaskill in Missouri and now CNN's projection that Josh Mandel will defeat Sherrod Brown in Ohio -- this gives Republicans the numbers they need to win back the Senate.



OH SEN: 77% Reported (R+3)
✓ Josh Mandel: 50.99%
Sherrod Brown: 48.00%
Republicans: +3
Democrats: +0

Blitzer: We continue to watch the two remaining races yet to be called. In Nevada, with Republican Senator Dean Heller and in Virginia with Democratic Senator Bobby Scott.

NV SEN: 81% Reported
Jacky Rosen: 47.04%
Dean Heller: 46.97%

VA SEN: 95% Reported
Laura Ingraham: 49.44%
Bobby Scott: 49.19%

GOV. Races' Called: CT: Scarborough: 51% - Drew: 48% --   ME: Cote: 48% Mayhew: 45% -- FL: Putnam: 50% - Graham: 49% -- CO: Kennedy: 51% - Gaiter: 46% KS:  Kobach: 53% - Davis: 45% -- MD: Hogan: 58% - Jealous: 40% -- MA: Baker: 57% - Warren: 42% -- NV:  Krolicki: 50% - Ford: 48% -- PA: Wolfe: 51% - Waggoner: 47% -- VT: Scott: 52% - Minter: 45%


House. Races' Called: ME: 02 Poliquin: 49% -- Dem: 45%   MN 01: Hagedorn: 51% Jensen: 48% --

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NHI
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« Reply #114 on: July 03, 2017, 10:39:41 AM »

CNN: Polling on 2020 Race

Blitzer: As we wait for more results to come in we do have some interesting polling conducted at various polling places across the country and it has to do with the 2020 race. If the election were held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump, the President would win reelection, but by a much narrower margin.
Hillary Clinton: 47%
Donald Trump: 45%
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Cactus Jack
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« Reply #115 on: July 03, 2017, 02:41:44 PM »

Excellent stuff. It really says something about the Senate map in 2018 that the midterm results here, under an incumbent Clinton, aren't that much worse than what it looks like they'll be in real life, under an incumbent Trump.
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Not_Madigan
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« Reply #116 on: July 03, 2017, 08:10:17 PM »

CNN Projection: Bruce Rauer Wins Reelection
✓ Bruce Rauer: 52.01%
  Lisa Madigan: 46.50%

Blitzer: Governor Rauer, despite a state on the verge of economic collapse, has been reelected defeating his Democratic opponent State Attorney General Lisa Madigan.

NH Congressional Race: Inc. Carol Shea-Porter wins Reelection

Blitzer: Another seat Republicans hoped they could compete for, remains in the Democratic column tonight. Longtime incumbent Carol Shea-Porter wins reelection over her challenger Matt Mayberry, the former Vice Chair of the State Party.

CNN has projected Republicans will remain in control of the House of Representatives, but control for the US Senate remains up for grabs. We are still watching a few crucial seats including the Senate race in Ohio where Senator Sherrod Brown is trying to hold on, and in Virginia, where an unexpectedly close race has taken place between Senator Bobby Scott, the Democratic Candidate and Republican candidate Laura Ingraham.

FL SEN: 66% Reported (D HOLD)
✓ Ben Nelson: 52%
Rick Scott: 47%

Tapper: And CNN can now project Senator Ben Nelson will win reelection, defeating Governor Rick Scott in one of the most expensive Senate races in history and the most expensive race in Florida's history.

Blitzer: And we have a major projection to make at this time. In Missouri, CNN is now calling the race for Carl Edwards, he defeats Senator Claire McCaskill. We have just learned she has called Mr. Edwards and conceded the race and is now on stage addressing supporters.

Sen. McCaskill Speaks to Supporters; Concedes to Carl Edwards.

Breaking News: Control of the Senate Decided


Blitzer: CNN can now project Republicans will win back control of the United States Senate. The defeat of Claire McCaskill in Missouri and now CNN's projection that Josh Mandel will defeat Sherrod Brown in Ohio -- this gives Republicans the numbers they need to win back the Senate.



OH SEN: 77% Reported (R+3)
✓ Josh Mandel: 50.99%
Sherrod Brown: 48.00%
Republicans: +3
Democrats: +0

Blitzer: We continue to watch the two remaining races yet to be called. In Nevada, with Republican Senator Dean Heller and in Virginia with Democratic Senator Bobby Scott.

NV SEN: 81% Reported
Jacky Rosen: 47.04%
Dean Heller: 46.97%

VA SEN: 95% Reported
Laura Ingraham: 49.44%
Bobby Scott: 49.19%

GOV. Races' Called: CT: Scarborough: 51% - Drew: 48% --   ME: Cote: 48% Mayhew: 45% -- FL: Putnam: 50% - Graham: 49% -- CO: Kennedy: 51% - Gaiter: 46% KS:  Kobach: 53% - Davis: 45% -- MD: Hogan: 58% - Jealous: 40% -- MA: Baker: 57% - Warren: 42% -- NV:  Krolicki: 50% - Ford: 48% -- PA: Wolfe: 51% - Waggoner: 47% -- VT: Scott: 52% - Minter: 45%


House. Races' Called: ME: 02 Poliquin: 49% -- Dem: 45%   MN 01: Hagedorn: 51% Jensen: 48% --



Why can't I live in the timeline where I know Rauner would win reelection for sure??
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Jaguar4life
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« Reply #117 on: July 03, 2017, 08:37:54 PM »

Rand Paul or Tulsi Gabbard 2020!
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NHI
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« Reply #118 on: July 08, 2017, 11:35:36 AM »

Will wrap up 2018 results by Monday and start the next phase for 2019... stay tuned.
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Heisenberg
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« Reply #119 on: July 08, 2017, 01:13:23 PM »

The Florida Democrat is Bill Nelson, not Ben.
Some of these matchups/candidates are hilarious (Scarborough in CT, Ingraham in VA). How is Ingraham doing in NOVA? I imagine she gets crushed, like any anti-government alt-righter would.
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NHI
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« Reply #120 on: July 11, 2017, 10:12:27 PM »

Republican Net +3 Senate Seats
Democrats Net +1 (NV: Rosen beats Heller 47.01% - 46.89%), (VA stays Democrat: Scott beats Ingraham 49.44% - 49.42%)

GOP Increases Margin in House: 253-182

President Clinton's Popularity Hits 39%.
Pres. Clinton faces a new political reality after Republicans Win Back Congress

In her first press conference since the election, President Clinton called on both parties to 'find common ground', and called the results from the midterm 'a wake up call, that I hear and I hope Congress hears too.' The President reiterated her earlier commitment to work with Senate Leader Mitch McConnell and Speaker of the House Paul Ryan, on 'areas of agreements' including tax reform and 'hopefully immigration'. Republicans have continuously rebuffed the President, and in a post-election press conference Ryan dismissed the idea of bipartisan cooperation, calling the election 'a clear referendum on President Clinton and her out of touch agenda."

Though it is not just Republicans attacking Clinton. She has received jabs from her own party. Congresswoman Tulsi Gabbard, who is reportedly considering a run against Clinton in the 2020 Democratic Primary, blasted the President for her conciliatory nature towards Republicans and said on CBS' Face the Nation; "she is bending over backwards to accommodate Republicans, and forgetting the very people who elected her and expected her to deliver." The White House offered no comment to Gabbard's remarks.


Donald Trump Flirts with 2020 Bid in a Tweet

Mayor Trumps Rules himself out for 2020; Hopes Dad "will run again"
Mayor Donald Trump, Jr, who said he briefly thought about challenging President Clinton in the 2020 election, said running for President 'is out of the cards for him'. He did hold out hope his father will try again, saying 'the country has seen what a disaster [Pres. Clinton] she has been for America.
 I think my father would easily beat her... I hope he will run again." Donald Sr, has made no announcement, or timetable on a 2020 bid.


2020: Rematch?
Clinton: 48%
Trump: 44%

Despite losing to Hillary Clinton in 2016, a new poll finds Donald Trump could be competitive against the President should he run in 2020. The CNN/ORC polls finds Trump only losing to Clinton by four points.
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« Reply #121 on: July 11, 2017, 10:27:30 PM »

I fell like Trump will run again and just like Dewey win the nominaton again...
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Not_Madigan
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« Reply #122 on: July 12, 2017, 11:20:16 AM »

Have Rubio or Cruz win the Primary and Trump be the VP candidate.
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Jaguar4life
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« Reply #123 on: July 12, 2017, 01:36:12 PM »

Once again Rand Paul 2020
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NHI
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« Reply #124 on: July 15, 2017, 11:18:45 AM »

Rand Paul 'weighing all options for 2020'


Senator Rand Paul is reportedly considering a run for President in 2020, as either a Republican - or Libertarian. Paul, who dropped out early in 2016, after a poor showing in the early contests has expressed his frustration over a 'lack of true Republicanism' in the GOP, and criticized both parties for 'being pretty much two sides of the same coin'. Paul, who's libertarian streak puts him at odds with many in the GOP has received some encouragement from a few of fellow Republicans, including Michigan Congressman Justin Amash, who called Paul 'a true leader, who is principled'. Paul, said he will make a decision about 2020 in early 2019.

First into the Ring Again: Ted Cruz Makes it Official on 2020
February 2019: Senator Ted Cruz announced his candidacy for President, saying to a crowd of supporters in Des Moines, Iowa he will seek the Republican nomination again in 2020. Cruz, who finished second to Donald Trump in the primary, said 'the time has come for a real conservative who can draw clear and bold distinctions with President Clinton!'. Cruz, who recently won reelection to the Senate had been plotting a second White House bid since Donald Trump's defeat to Hillary Clinton. Cruz, who struggled to unite Evangelical Christians around his candidacy, in part because of Trump, is hoping now a field sans Trump will make him the clear favorite.

By getting in even earlier than he did four years many pundits see him as trying to block out potential candidates Senator Mike Pence and Senator Tom Cotton, both whom would be making big plays for Iowa. The other detail, by announcing his campaign in Iowa, Cruz is seen as placing his entire candidacy on winning again the Iowa Caucuses. Current polls show him running second or third place nationally; depending on the inclusions of Donald Trump in the polling sample.

In head to head matchups with Clinton, the President defeats Cruz - 44% to 41%.


Tulsi Gabbard Likely to Run for President
Tulsi Gabbard. The Hawaii Congresswoman, who supported Bernie Sanders in 2016, and has been an outspoken critic of President Clinton, seems to be drawing closer to announcing a run for President in 2020. Gabbard has been meeting with campaign affiliates in both Iowa and New Hampshire, and continues to draw on the large network of Bernie Sanders. A favorite among the progressive base Gabbard has been making waves since Clinton's Inauguration;
 blasting the President for capitulating to Democrats and failing to live up to her campaign platform.
 Most recently, Gabbard said she has been 'greatly disappointed' by Hillary Clinton's Presidency, and has called it 'a missed opportunity to deliver the bold change the country desperately wants and needs'.

Democrats are already white knuckled at the prospects of a Democratic primary, fearing a divided party will only help the Republicans win in 2020. DNC Chair Tom Perez said of a hypothetical primary for President Clinton, "I want it to be about ideas and not personal attacks, because that doesn't help anyone." The last President to face a challenge from his own party was George H.W. Bush in 1992 from conservative firebrand and commentator Pat Buchanan. Bush, of course won the nomination, but went on to lose to Bill Clinton in the fall election.

Current polls show President Clinton as the top choice among Democrats: 67% favor Clinton, versus 8% for Gabbard.


BREAKING NEWS: President Clinton Collapses While on Trip Abroad

Williams: Word just coming in from across the pond. While making a state visit to England, as part of a European trip abroad, President Clinton reportedly collapsed after a giving a speech to Parliament. No word yet from the White House, but reports are coming in that the President has collapsed. We will keep you updated as we learn more on this breaking story.

CLINTON: OK; WILL FINISH TRIP AS PLANNED
The White House confirmed President Clinton did collapse after delivering a speech to Parliament. The President, had not been feeling well for most of the trip, finished her speech, where she returned to her motorcade, where she felt dizzy and then reportedly faint. Doctors traveling with the President cited exhaustion and fatigue as the likely causes, as well as the result of a head cold the President had recently battled.

While returning to Air Force One, the President gave the thumbs up and said she felt fine, and looked forward to getting back to work.
 


Trump Lashes out at President Clinton in a new Tweet

Morning Mika Crew Floats Idea About President's Health
Mika: This incident does continue to raise serious questions about the President's fitness and health.

Clinton Dismisses Questions on President's Health; Cagey on 2020
While speaking at Part of the Presidential Scholar Series; along side Former President Bush,
 The First Gentleman laid into critics questioning his wife - the President's health and fitness to do the job. "I think this is a whole lot of nonsense," the former President said. "It's the media trying to drive a narrative that she's weak and unable to do the job." When pressed how he would assess his wife's term compared to his own first term, Clinton said, "no comparison. He's is extremely successful and much better than mine ever was." When asked from a question in the audience if President Clinton intended to run again, the First Gentleman offered an answer which drew speculation from those in attendance and in the press. "She will make the decision."

The White House did not immediately comment to the First Gentleman's remarks. 

Mike Pence Will Not Run for President in 2020.

Charlie Baker Announces He's Running for President. "Time to Fix America"


March: BREAKING NEWS
President Clinton Announces She will Not Run for President Again
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