De Blasio still has baggage, from the newspapers. He avoids the press. He does play to play but he'll talk about ending stop and frisk and raising taxes on rich people. He'll win reelection, but his mayoralty has lots of flaws. He still has to do well with white voters. White New York voters are the swing voters. Staten Island and Queens isn't really fond.
Since his being quoted elsewhere in the thread got around the fact I have bronz on ignore anyway, I'll simply point out that this is not a good representation of Queens demographics.