Trump approval ratings thread 1.1

[💥💥 brandon bro (he/him/his)]

Will Vegas help or hurt his approvals?

Probably help because (1) it distracts from Trump's Puerto Rico incompetence and utter failure, and (2) it's a national tragedy, his response wasn't horrible (at least so far, but you never know what he'll say about it tomorrow), and Americans tend to come together in tragedy.

I actually think it’ll sink the approvals. It’s obvious that he isn’t going to do anything about it and once all of the “thoughts and prayers” posts and tweets are posted, the media is going to start criticizing the GOP and Trump on their records. Remember that trump did sign an EO in his first week in office to ease restrictions for purchasing firearms for the mentally ill and the GOP has a bill similar to this on the floor now.

When have we seen any substantial media criticism, or any criticism that stuck, for Republicans after mass shootings before? Nothing will happen. Any criticism that is brought up will be dismissed for a) trying to politicize the issue, b) trying to restrict the rights of non-violent gun owners, or c) mental health or some other deflection.

I think Trump's ratings may go up a little bit but not by much. Nobody will pay attention to his speech today because he didn't say or do anything outrageous or uncharacteristic. If he's not advocating for any type of reform he will stay quiet and remain a non-factor. People aren't going to give him any credit if he's not doing anything so there won't be much improvement for his numbers.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Will Vegas help or hurt his approvals?

Probably help because (1) it distracts from Trump's Puerto Rico incompetence and utter failure, and (2) it's a national tragedy, his response wasn't horrible (at least so far, but you never know what he'll say about it tomorrow), and Americans tend to come together in tragedy.

I actually think it’ll sink the approvals. It’s obvious that he isn’t going to do anything about it and once all of the “thoughts and prayers” posts and tweets are posted, the media is going to start criticizing the GOP and Trump on their records. Remember that trump did sign an EO in his first week in office to ease restrictions for purchasing firearms for the mentally ill and the GOP has a bill similar to this on the floor now.

When have we seen any substantial media criticism, or any criticism that stuck, for Republicans after mass shootings before? Nothing will happen. Any criticism that is brought up will be dismissed for a) trying to politicize the issue, b) trying to restrict the rights of non-violent gun owners, or c) mental health or some other deflection.

I think Trump's ratings may go up a little bit but not by much. Nobody will pay attention to his speech today because he didn't say or do anything outrageous or uncharacteristic. If he's not advocating for any type of reform he will stay quiet and remain a non-factor. People aren't going to give him any credit if he's not doing anything so there won't be much improvement for his numbers.

Have you been paying attention for the past nine years? The media always attacks the GOP on the issues.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

We're starting to see the Maria effect. Trump is plummeting in the RCP averages.

September 24, 2017 -

Approve: 41.7%
Disapprove: 52.4%

-10.7

October 2, 2017

Approve: 39.1%
Disapprove: 55.4%

-16.3

[Virginiá]

Gallup (October 2nd)

Approve 38% (+1)
Disapprove 57% (nc)

[Frodo]

It says a lot about Trump loyalists that they will only start to question Trump if he goes soft on immigration, the travel ban, or the Wall...especially considering everything else he has said or done that most normal people would regard as far more damning.   

[KingSweden]

It says a lot about Trump loyalists that they will only start to question Trump if he goes soft on immigration, the travel ban, or the Wall...especially considering everything else he has said or done that most normal people would regard as far more damning.   

Those libtard snowflakes won't trigger themselves!

[GeorgiaModerate]

Gallup, 10/3

Approve 39 (+1)
Disapprove 57 (nc)

[GeorgiaModerate]

YouGov weekly tracker, Oct 1-3, 1500 adults, 1125 RV

Adults:

Approve 39 (+2) -- Strongly 20 (+1)
Disapprove 54 (+1) -- Strongly 42 (+1)

RV:

Approve 42 (+2) -- Strongly 22 (nc)
Disapprove 55 (nc) -- Strongly 45 (nc)

[American2020]

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https://www.cbsnews.com/news/new-polls-same-numbers-trump-job-approval-stuck-near-40-percent/

[pbrower2a]

Virginia, Washington Post:

 Trump, approval 33%[18 strong, 15 somewhat], disapproval 59%[11 somewhat, 48 strong] (registered voters)

https://www.washingtonpost.com/page/2010-2019/WashingtonPost/2017/10/05/National-Politics/Polling/release_495.xml

The focus of this poll is in the gubernatorial race. Northam (D) has an overwhelming 54-41 lead over Gillespie (R), the libertarian getting 4% of the vote.  Gillespie is seen as a Trump supporter, but President Trump is not a factor for 54% of voters -- but support for the President will influence their votes positively for 17% of voters and opposition to him will influence 28% of voters negatively.   
 

Approval

Trump ahead      Trump behind

55% or higher    45% to 49%
50% to 54%       40% to 44%  
45% to 49%       under 40%

Ties are in white.



Disapproval:

60% or higher  (deep red)
57% to 59%
55% to 56%
50% to 54%
46% to 49%
43% to 45%
42% or less


Ties are in white.


[/quote]

[GeorgiaModerate]

Gallup, 10/4

Approve 39 (nc)
Disapprove 56 (-1)

[GeorgiaModerate]

USA Today/Suffolk, Sep 27-Oct 1, 1000 RV (change from June)

Approve 38 (-4) Strongly 13 (-3)
Disapprove 56 (+3) Strongly 35 (-3)  (Not a typo, strongly disapprove really did go from 38 to 35)

[H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY]

USA Today/Suffolk, Sep 27-Oct 1, 1000 RV (change from June)

Approve 38 (-4) Strongly 13 (-3)
Disapprove 56 (+3) Strongly 35 (-3)  (Not a typo, strongly disapprove really did go from 38 to 35)

Any reason both strong opinions seem lower in this poll than in others? I've generally seen strong approvals in the 20s and strong disapprovals in the 40s.

[American2020]

Trump and hispanics

National
Approve: 24%
Disapprove: 76%

Florida
Approve: 36%
Disapprove: 64%

http://www.sun-sentinel.com/news/politics/fl-reg-florida-hispanic-poll-trump-20171004-story.html

[Person Man]

Trump and hispanics

National
Approve: 24%
Disapprove: 76%

Florida
Approve: 36%
Disapprove: 64%

http://www.sun-sentinel.com/news/politics/fl-reg-florida-hispanic-poll-trump-20171004-story.html

Many of the Florida Hispanics are really white Cubans.

[pbrower2a]

Trump and hispanics

National
Approve: 24%
Disapprove: 76%

Florida
Approve: 36%
Disapprove: 64%

http://www.sun-sentinel.com/news/politics/fl-reg-florida-hispanic-poll-trump-20171004-story.html

This may explain how execrably President Trump is doing in Colorado and new Mexico and why he is doing about as badly in Texas as in Iowa and Ohio. 

[Absolution9]

Trump and hispanics

National
Approve: 24%
Disapprove: 76%

Florida
Approve: 36%
Disapprove: 64%

http://www.sun-sentinel.com/news/politics/fl-reg-florida-hispanic-poll-trump-20171004-story.html

This may explain how execrably President Trump is doing in Colorado and new Mexico and why he is doing about as badly in Texas as in Iowa and Ohio. 

Is this really that bad?  The Florida number is actually higher than his 35% Hispanic vote according to exit polls in 2016.  Nationally his approval among Hispanics seems to be down less than among the electorate overall and I wouldn't assume all people that disapprove of him wont vote for him.  Some don't like him but will vote for him for ideological reasons.

[pbrower2a]

Many of the Hispanics in Florida are right-wing Cuban-Americans.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Gallup, 10/5

Approve 39 (nc)
Disapprove 57 (+1)

[American2020]

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http://www.newsweek.com/trump-approval-rating-democrats-poll-679613

[Doimper]

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http://www.newsweek.com/trump-approval-rating-democrats-poll-679613

Isn't this just a consequence of less voters identifying as Republicans?

[Dr. Arch]

Looking at approvals, it seems that most mainland Americans don't care about Puerto Rican Americans. No surprise there.

[Person Man]

AP: 32/67
http://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/ap-poll-just-24-percent-say-us-heading-in-right-direction/ar-AAsZSgo

Freezing.

[ajc0918]

AP: 32/67
http://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/ap-poll-just-24-percent-say-us-heading-in-right-direction/ar-AAsZSgo

Freezing.

YIKES!

[Tintrlvr]

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http://www.newsweek.com/trump-approval-rating-democrats-poll-679613

Isn't this just a consequence of less voters identifying as Republicans?

I don't think there's been a decrease in Republican identification relative to 2001 (at least pre-9/11; I hope they're only comparing to pre-9/11 GWB data because post-9/11 first-term GWB presidency data is pretty useless for comparisons to other presidents). Republican identification was quite low back then because there were still a lot of Dixiecrats identifying with the Democrats (while voting for Bush).